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Is Ukraine Winning the War Against Russia?
I have been reading recent posts on social media claiming that Ukraine is recapturing dozens of square miles of territory from Russia, Russian troops are taking heavy casualties, and many Russian troops are cut off from supply lines.
It seems that the western nations are pouring weapons into the Ukraine military, which has outperformed expectations in using these weapons to their advantage. It’s starting to look like Russia’s military is not the second best military in the world, but rather the second best military in Ukraine.
One doesn’t want to read too much into these social media reports of Ukraine’s success. Who knows what is really going on over there? But former General of the US Army in Europe, Ben Hodges, says that Ukraine will recapture Crimea in a year. He seems to have backed off his earlier prediction that Ukraine would retake all of the territory it lost after February 22, 2022, by the end of summer (which would be right about now, it would seem).
Still, I bet that if Putin had known how badly this invasion would go and how unified the liberal-democratic world would be in supporting Ukraine, he would not have ordered the invasion of Ukraine. This shows how wars can start based on miscalculation, the underestimating of the opposition. In any case, we will have to watch over the next month or so to see if Ukraine is able to keep this counter-attack going.
Published in General
Before I forget. Wilkinson was really interesting. Very Austrian. The guy is just extremely pessimistic because the system has not emphasized production and it has clearly stolen wealth from younger people and the lower classes. They are going to make all kinds of stupid voting decisions. They don’t care about inflation because they don’t have anything. They are just going to get transfer payments from the government.
Another thing before I forget it. The guy that was more positive about the EU turning out well made a pretty good case that Putin was stupid. It’s inexplicable that he didn’t build a pipeline to China for all of their fossil fuels. And then he pointed to that stupid Olympics thing he did.
I mean he even said that Europe is probably going to buy LNG produced in Russia. That’s how stupid this whole situation is because of greedy stupid globalists.
This is one of the best interviews I have ever heard. Hidden forces. The whole show.
You seem unable to consider the possibility that these people you listen to could be wrong. Human beings, even very smart human beings, often get things wrong.
I am explaining all sides of this very fairly. They literally had four points of view on that show including yours. These guys do this full-time and they have to retain clients.
If Putin loses, he’s going to have to retaliate. Even if they drop the Mexican standoff, the EU in Germany are in a very bad spot. They have really stupid leaders.
Putin might end up like Jimmy Hoffa the way things are going.
If things continue to go down the drain for Russia in Ukraine, Putin will not likely retaliate- he will have had, what the Russians artfully call, a 9 mm brain hemorrhage. The EU leaders are not nearly as stupid as you think. They are well aware that the worst case scenario is Putin winning. Under such a case he will not only still have his economic blackmail- but an army on their doorsteps. They will not only have to pay more for energy but also massively increase their defense expenditures. That is why they are willing to bankroll Ukraine- a defeated Russia is not only not a military threat, but also needs the money from energy sales to recover- therefore less likely to threaten the EU with energy blackmail. Furthermore, Ukraine adds a great deal of manpower & strategic depth to NATO ( a major problem faced by West Germany- no depth).
He would have ended up like that a long time ago if he didn’t know what he was doing security-wise and corruption-wise. A lot of things have to go wrong before he is exit-ed by force.
Furthermore, let’s all hope if it happens, things go north instead of south.
I talked about this in the other post.
I mean how they manage their government and their economy so they can survive. They are dumber than stumps. Stupid globalists. I forget the guys name, but one of the former Germany presidents is literally on the GOSPLAN board of directors. Corrupt and stupid. They let Russia pay for green advertisement so everybody voted for solar panels and it goes down from there. Is preposterous to say anything positive about any of those guys.
I already explained more sides of this than you have and I’m not so sure about what you are so sure about. I mean Germany’s manufacturing is in real trouble. Furthermore, how much bankrolling are they actually doing? While their economies are going to crap. I think we are doing most of the bank rolling, but I’m not an expert.
I think you are being way too simplistic about this. They had their reasons for not letting them in NATO before. Is the military that wonderful given that it’s such a POS country? I’m skeptical.
A monetary link between Russian intelligence and the German Green Party to be discovered in 3…2…1….
“If Putin loses, he’s going to have to retatliate.”
Putin might be a lousy military analyst, but he’s not suicidal.
MiMac (View Comment):
Ukraine adds a great deal of manpower & strategic depth to NATO ( a major problem faced by West Germany- no depth).
I think you are being way too simplistic about this. They had their reasons for not letting them in NATO before. Is the military that wonderful given that it’s such a POS country? I’m skeptical.
Funny, but the Russians aren’t skeptical about the Ukrainian military…
the hold ups for Ukraine entry into NATO where heavily centered on avoiding a provocative move-Russia blew that the hell out of the water. Ukraine did not have NATO standards for their military- they are adopting them on the fly
The irony is that one of the reasons why NATO didn’t want to invite Ukraine into NATO was because NATO didn’t want to provide Putin.
That is not the way I remember it. It had a lot more to do with their crappy government. Plus, those guys were plenty provocative letting in all of those little countries like Estonia.
Again, despite whatever corruption problems Ukraine suffers from, Ukraine seems to be in the process of defeating Russia in a major war.
Again, whoever is going light on them about their corruption problems is ignorant or lying. There is no reporting that supports this. ***That is what some have been trying to say.***
I have no moral issue about dealing with corrupt governments, either, as long as it’s in our interest or we can advance humanitarian issues.
What about corruption within Russia’s government? Isn’t is possible that much of the money that Russia spent on military readiness was stashed away in the bank accounts of various Russian generals?
Maybe corruption in Russia is something we should pay more attention to.
Maybe Russia is a POS country.
You think Albania, Bulgaria etc had clean governments when let in? Ukraine ranks 122 in corruption, Albania 110, Turkey 96( out of ~180, bigger number worse corruption). Or do you think it was part of an excuse to avoid offending Russia? Do you believe everything the politicians tell you?
You guys are implying it isn’t a big complicating factor in Ukraine. I used to think that.
I don’t remember the exact reporting. There are a bunch of things about the country and not the military they have to check off on and Ukraine wasn’t getting anywhere. The way you are explaining it is not the way I remember it. I’m sure their military is good enough. I’m not talking about generic corruption, although that might have been one of the factors.
I’m not implying any such thing. Let’s stipulate that Ukraine suffers from massive corruption. Still, we see Ukraine consistently defeating Russia on the battlefield, shocking many Russian “experts.”
So, it seems that even a corrupt country like Ukraine can defeat Russia’s military.
What I’m saying is you guys used to say it wasn’t a big deal there. It is. I’m not saying anything more or less.
I never claimed that Ukraine wasn’t corrupt. I have simply said that despite corruption, Ukraine looks like it will defeat Russia in its attempt to subdue it.
It isn’t a determinative factor. It is a concern- but stopping Russia trumps it. Stalin was a sociopathic dictator- but stopping Hitler (who was the greater threat at the time) trumped that, so the US massively supported the USSR’s military. This scenario is far better since the Ukrainian regime is far better than Stalin’s regime.
Nobody is saying you said that like it’s binary. The point is it’s laughable that you don’t have to worry about it, which is what people here have basically said.
I saw this long interview with Zelenskyy and they had a cabinet meeting in some restaurant in the reporter got to spend all day with him and I was all hopeful. That place is a mess even without a war.
This is a fair articulation that I can accept.
Also, it seems that corruption has hindered Russia’s military more than it has hindered Ukraine’s military.
Isn’t it a good thing that we are not having to rely on our military amidst all this corruption?
The person that knows this Ukraine stuff comprehensively is King Banaian. He used to be a contributor here and he literally set up their central bank. He knows everything about that part of the world. He spent months in Ukraine. He would know how to put everything in proper perspective. He personally knows that guy that Putin poisoned.
I’d like to see him on the flagship podcast but they never put any of my suggestions on.
How reliable are they anyway?