We all have a favorite dish at our favorite restaurant, and often enough we just can’t help but to stick with it. Could this tendency explain the resounding lead Donald Trump enjoys in the Republican race? Are those 91 indictments resembling five star reviews to the GOP base, or are DeSantis, Haley and Ramaswamy simply unappetizing?

Today Henry sits down with FiveThirtyEight’s Geoffrey Skelley and Cook Political Report’s Amy Walter to go over the menu. He and Geoff consider the Democrat’s lack of alternatives to the underwhelming Joe Biden, along with the ‘No Labels’ third party push. Amy joins to discuss the GOP’s race to second place and whether one of those candidates could go on to pull enough of the Republicans willing to be persuaded away from Trump.

The GOP is one debate into the 2024 primary season, and many are eager to see how the winds have turned. Henry’s back with another batch of polling savants to assess.

Politico’s Steven Shepard considers whether Hurricane Idalia’s big splash in Florida’s Big Bend will breathe some life into Ron DeSantis’ campaign. Brianne Pfannenstiel of The Des Moines Register explains the Iowa caucus, and fills us in on the key lessons to take away from the showing in 2016. And Ramesh Ponnuru joins to discuss last week’s Republican debate—which you may have noticed was missing its party’s frontrunner. Henry also covers Team Biden’s powerful “These Guys” ad.

It’s early days in the fight for 2024, but it’s hard to shake the feeling that it’s shaping up like 2016 where the election was decided by voters who disliked both major party nominees. Henry calls these folks “Double Doubters” and doubles down with his guests this week to see who they are and what they think.

Forecaster extraordinaire Harry Enten delivers insights that cut through post-2016 polling disillusionment; Sabato’s Crystal Ball’s Kyle Kondik has advice for Republican candidates who appear to be jostling for second place; and Post and Courier political editor Schuyler Kropf fills us in on the heretofore neglected heavyweight state, South Carolina.

Presidential election season is approaching. Thankfully Henry Olsen and his guests are back to provide detailed examination of the facts, figures, twists and turns that will whittle down today’s crowded field.

Today we’re hearing from Semafor’s Dave Weigel to assess the Republican Rumble; we’ll take a Democratic Deep Dive with Ruy Teixeira, politcal editor of The Liberal Patriot; AEI’s Karlyn Bowman joins to guage the Polling Barometer; and Dante Scala, professor of political science at the University of New Hampshire, give us the State of Play for that oh-so-important primary battleground.