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Statistical Analysis Suggests 2020 Election May Not Have Been the Cleanest and Fairest in History
John Lott is a highly respected academic; an economist with an extensive background in statistical analysis. In a peer-reviewed study, he has uncovered statistical evidence of upwards of 300,000 “excess votes” for Joe Biden in battleground states. In particular, in states that radically changed their absentee ballot laws in 2020 and were targeted by Mark Zuckerberg’s $400 million activist effort.
New research of mine is forthcoming in the peer-reviewed economics journal Public Choice, and it finds evidence of around 255,000 excess votes (possibly as many as 368,000) for Joe Biden in six swing states where Donald Trump lodged accusations of fraud. Biden only carried these states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – by a total of 313,253 votes. Excluding Michigan, the gap was 159,065.
“But” defenders of Brandon will argue. “Courts have already reviewed the 2020 elections and found no evidence of cheating.” That’s not quite what happened, though.
Courts have rejected challenges to the 2020 presidential vote, generally citing the lack of evidence that any alleged fraud would have altered the outcome in a particular state. The Republican plaintiffs argued that since their observers couldn’t watch the vote counts or were prevented from seeing other evidence, they couldn’t provide such proof without investigations backed by subpoena power. Still, while some judges have agreed that irregularities occurred in 2020, they weren’t willing to grant discovery in the absence of evidence that fraud could reverse the election results. Republicans thus faced a Catch-22 situation.
So, it’s not that courts found no evidence of fraud, it’s that courts refused to allow anybody to look for evidence of fraud. The position of the courts was, “You can only look for fraud after you’ve proven that it happened.”
So, Lott’s analysis focused on three factors: Disparities in absentee ballot counts between adjacent voting precincts (there were almost none in 2016, and there were a hell of a lot of them in 2020); disparities in provisional ballot counts between adjacent precincts; and artificially large voter turnouts.
Republican-leaning swing state counties had higher turnouts relative to the 2016 election. Democratic-leaning counties had lower turnouts, except for the Democratic counties with alleged vote fraud, which had very high turnouts.
In other words, the very same counties targeted by Zuckerbucks.
Lott makes it clear that his point isn’t to overturn the election, but rather provide evidence of a broken system that needs to be fixed.
Published in ElectionsThe point of this work isn’t to contest the 2020 election, but to point out that we have a real problem that needs to be dealt with. Americans must have confidence in future elections.
So is Donald Trump. So what? Neither is pushing coercion or mandates.
Or are you more Trumpey than Trump?
Interesting new work by True The Vote. They analyzed one trillion cellphone “pings” (time/location/phone id) to discover 136 people in Milwaukee that made on average 26 trips to a ballot drop box. These same people also frequented certain get-out-the-vote non-profits. Trips to the drop boxes were usually in the middle of the night.
The same group also looked at 4,000,000 minutes of CCTV footage on Georgia ballot drop boxes and found lots of repeat visitors there too.
No, you see him as a disaster because we see right wing news so see his flaws. On the Left he is a strong robust fatherly force keeping them from slavery, and fascism. Anything they see differently is written off as right wing propaganda.
Judging by polls that is inaccurate; however, the fix isn’t in yet so you may be right. I think the left actually thinks he is too centrist.