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Statistical Analysis Suggests 2020 Election May Not Have Been the Cleanest and Fairest in History
John Lott is a highly respected academic; an economist with an extensive background in statistical analysis. In a peer-reviewed study, he has uncovered statistical evidence of upwards of 300,000 “excess votes” for Joe Biden in battleground states. In particular, in states that radically changed their absentee ballot laws in 2020 and were targeted by Mark Zuckerberg’s $400 million activist effort.
New research of mine is forthcoming in the peer-reviewed economics journal Public Choice, and it finds evidence of around 255,000 excess votes (possibly as many as 368,000) for Joe Biden in six swing states where Donald Trump lodged accusations of fraud. Biden only carried these states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – by a total of 313,253 votes. Excluding Michigan, the gap was 159,065.
“But” defenders of Brandon will argue. “Courts have already reviewed the 2020 elections and found no evidence of cheating.” That’s not quite what happened, though.
Courts have rejected challenges to the 2020 presidential vote, generally citing the lack of evidence that any alleged fraud would have altered the outcome in a particular state. The Republican plaintiffs argued that since their observers couldn’t watch the vote counts or were prevented from seeing other evidence, they couldn’t provide such proof without investigations backed by subpoena power. Still, while some judges have agreed that irregularities occurred in 2020, they weren’t willing to grant discovery in the absence of evidence that fraud could reverse the election results. Republicans thus faced a Catch-22 situation.
So, it’s not that courts found no evidence of fraud, it’s that courts refused to allow anybody to look for evidence of fraud. The position of the courts was, “You can only look for fraud after you’ve proven that it happened.”
So, Lott’s analysis focused on three factors: Disparities in absentee ballot counts between adjacent voting precincts (there were almost none in 2016, and there were a hell of a lot of them in 2020); disparities in provisional ballot counts between adjacent precincts; and artificially large voter turnouts.
Republican-leaning swing state counties had higher turnouts relative to the 2016 election. Democratic-leaning counties had lower turnouts, except for the Democratic counties with alleged vote fraud, which had very high turnouts.
In other words, the very same counties targeted by Zuckerbucks.
Lott makes it clear that his point isn’t to overturn the election, but rather provide evidence of a broken system that needs to be fixed.
Published in ElectionsThe point of this work isn’t to contest the 2020 election, but to point out that we have a real problem that needs to be dealt with. Americans must have confidence in future elections.
Lott makes it clear that his point isn’t to overturn the election, but rather provide evidence of a broken system that needs to be fixed.
That’s because even if you could convince a judge of fraudulent votes, there’s nothing a judge can do about it. Not unless you can prove and quantify exactly how many votes were fraudulently cast and for which candidate. That’s impossible given how this voter fraud was done. Courts aren’t able to deal with voter fraud on this level.
If chain of custody for trial evidence has not been followed, a judge has a simple solution: throw out the evidence. There’s no equivalent solution for this kind of voter fraud, even though the underlying issue is the same: formalities not being followed. That’s why all these attempts to get courts to rectify the election were doomed before they even began. Not because of bias, but because of the type of problem involved. Even if all the judges were sympathetic, the outcome would have been the same.
All those could be just a remarkable series of coincidences, of course.
And it’s a remarkable coincidence that all the coincidences went the same way – to increase Biden’s vote total.
What a weird collection of coincidences. Wow. That’s really, really, really remarkable…
In before “Every court case was lost!”
When I saw this thread had three comments I anticipated that would be one of them.
What has been uncovered is a successful Get Out The Vote campaign.
So in other words, there’s a new report that reiterates the same data that we provided two years ago documenting the fraud that we proved two years ago that’s been denied and ignored for two years and is and will continue to be ignored.
Several people have documented this stuff all along.
Also, why is the intention not to overturn the 2020 election? They cheated, it’s been proven they cheated. Since when to we let criminals keep the goods they stole?
The founders didn’t allow for overturning an election, regardless of proof, if enough members of Congress decide they like the result.
The founders probably thought anyone caught cheating to win an election would be so ashamed that they would do the right thing and resign. They had no idea how craven their country would become in 200 years.
The point of this investigation is not to find the kidnapped child, return her to her parents, and punish the kidnappers, but to point out that kidnapping is a problem that needs to be dealt with.
Coward.
Great Post Victor,
Just the spread of this information that the election was really, actually stolen helps, and makes it more difficult for the Commie Dems and their fellow traveling Never Trumpers to continue to steal elections.
Probably figured the Second Amendment was a sufficient safeguard against vote fraud, and if it wasn’t, the people deserved what they got.
0 court cases were lost. How many of these cases got into a court room, to present an argument to gather evidence? If my memory is correct its near 0.
Rarely do you go file a lawsuit with evidence. I think normally you go to court with your lawsuit and argue for the collection of evidence.
Unfortunately you can’t unring this particular bell. There is no mechanism for it Constitutionally at this time and no way to definitely prove it anymore. Unfortunately one of the drawbacks about living in a fallen world is occasionally the bad guys win and get away with it.
What I do hope we can do is put lie to the fiction that the 2020 election was entirely above board. They cheated and got away with it. Several states changed their rules to keep it from happening again. Unfortunately the best we can do Constitutionally at least at this time. I suppose our other founding document offers alternative solution; however, I hope we haven’t come to a point where we are seriously contemplating that option.
Even with the second amendment there is very little that can be done to fix elections with court battles. In this day and age, a well-crafted lawsuit can take years to resolve, if ever. Not cheating in elections is the only answer, I would think. And this takes an overwhelmingly honest electorate.
I was actually more referring to the Declaration than the 2nd amendment. Although if you are going to contemplate the first you need the second.
Who knew John Lott was a nutjob?
Sure there is. The state legislatures can and should hold votes recognizing that the election was falsely certified, that laws were broken, and state officials were derelict in their duty. Furthermore they should pass decertification measures, making history in the process and putting it on paper that the massive fraud is concrete and recognized officially. Next comes the arrests. The state police or county sheriffs should arrest everyone involved, up to and including corrupt secretaries of state and governors who aided and abetted in the crimes; Jenna Griswold can be the first.
Let’s rattle some cages and start making history instead of whining about how we just have to live with it. Whaaaa.
Screw that.
Everyone acting like this is just a loophole that the founders never anticipated doesn’t understand the power that states have. Nobody is above the law, as much as the lawyer and political class would like you think they are. And if the state legislators are too cowardly to do anything, start with the lowly sheriff who can – and sometimes do – tell the Feds to p*** off and arrest whoever he needs to…including federal agents and self-exalted politicians.
Estremely successful, remarkably successful, belief-defying successful. Likely every Alzheimer’s patient in these precincts miraculously made it to the polls. THE MOST SUCCESSFUL GET OUT THE VOTE EFFORT IN THE HISTORY OF AMERICA!!!. Awesome. Jaw dropping. Go Brandon!!!! Just like if St. Pete’s had won the NCAA title!
Has anyone asked Bill Barr about this study? If so, what did he say?
Absence of evidence is evidence of absence, right?
I’m worried about the election officials who participated in the fraud, and the many Republican officeholders who were complacent about Trump being defeated.
I have no problem with that in principle. I even endorse impeachment for both Biden and Kamala, although this isn’t the only reason to do that. It doesn’t however overturn the 2020 election just puts more stink on it.
Me too. We need to find a way to correct that.
Who’s to say it couldn’t? You make history by making history.
Yes. and I worried about all the sweet moms and grandmoms who have counted ballots for 30 years and for whom cheating is second nature.
Or how stupid. TGP reported a while back that a GOP woman wanted to stop the investigations and analyses because it was destroying faith in the electoral system.
That sounds so . . . Republican. “We mustn’t question the electoral results or people will end up thinking their votes don’t count!” But they don’t. So why vote? And they they blame us for not participating in electoral theater. Fix the process and maybe we’ll join in again. Until then, why should we bother playing your broken game?
The point is to do it rigorously in hopes of being more persuasive.
The only option we have for overturning the election is impeachment. While having Trump get in via being elected Speaker of the House would be absolutely legendary, I do not think that is remotely likely.
There are limits to the ability of the Democratic Party to generate fraudulent ballots. They can’t surpass a 100% “turnout”, for example. A large enough turnout of real voters can overcome them.
Trump’s biggest failure was not to explain that very well to Georgia Senate voters.
They actually do in certain areas.
2020 says otherwise.