Ukrainian Counteroffensive

 

The Ukrainians have started the counteroffensive. We don’t have solid information on how it is going in any specific way, but one key indicator is the Russian response: they blew up a major dam (and thus its 351MW generator), endangering the nuclear power stations that rely on it for cooling water. This suggests desperate panic and a “burn it all down” mindset.

Even Russia’s erstwhile allies are licking their chops. The lapdog who runs Belarus? He says he wants part of Russia. All those predictions I have been making about Russia being carved up by separatists within and invaders without? I think they will come true. Russia is ridiculously weak and powerless. Totalitarian states must have the credible threat of force to retain power. If you rely on Might to Define Right, but you no longer have the former…

Russia appears to be breaking things out of pure spite. After all, the dam was the source of Crimea’s fresh water, and now Crimea has none. Not too smart. If a radioactive cloud emerges from the huge nuclear facility, Russia is downwind.

Things might start happening VERY quickly now.

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  1. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    GPentelie(View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Russia is continuing its “mobilization,” attempting to gather up more people to serve in the war in Ukraine.

    The Russian government, including the courts, are removing many exemptions from military service, which will allow more men to be put into military service.

    Exemptions saying that those who are sick, disabled or over the age of 65 years of age don’t have to serve have been removed. Recruiters are now allowed to recruit Russians convicted of serious crimes. Exemptions for scientists and people with degrees have been removed.

    The Russian Supreme Court has also banned those eligible for mobilization from travelling abroad.

    The old, sick, and disabled, eh? Why, things must be even more existentially desperate for the Russians than during the darkest days of WWII.

    I’d love to know what your source is. Care to share it (including a link, of course)?

    Why don’t you do a Google search using the words “Russia mobilizing sick disabled aged” and see what you come up with?  

    • #121
  2. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    I am reading unconfirmed reports that Russia soldiers are retreating, away from advancing Ukrainian forces, and some of these Russians are getting killed by Russia mines.

    I guess that is one way to motivate soldiers to never retreat. Lay mine fields behind them.

    Helps the Ukes spot the minefields.

    • #122
  3. GPentelie Coolidge
    GPentelie
    @GPentelie

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    GPentelie(View Comment):

    HeavyWater (View Comment):

    Russia is continuing its “mobilization,” attempting to gather up more people to serve in the war in Ukraine.

    The Russian government, including the courts, are removing many exemptions from military service, which will allow more men to be put into military service.

    Exemptions saying that those who are sick, disabled or over the age of 65 years of age don’t have to serve have been removed. Recruiters are now allowed to recruit Russians convicted of serious crimes. Exemptions for scientists and people with degrees have been removed.

    The Russian Supreme Court has also banned those eligible for mobilization from travelling abroad.

    The old, sick, and disabled, eh? Why, things must be even more existentially desperate for the Russians than during the darkest days of WWII.

    I’d love to know what your source is. Care to share it (including a link, of course)?

    Why don’t you do a Google search using the words “Russia mobilizing sick disabled aged” and see what you come up with?

    Oh, I can do better than that, sirrhah. I found your source fairly easily, even though you didn’t straight-out plagiarize it by simply (as you do with some frequency) copying and pasting without attribution. It’s an anonymous Twitterer who self-describes as “independent military history author and researcher” and goes by the handle “ChrisO_wiki”. The thread in question is here:

    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1667490827977752577.html

    And what, in turn, is CO_w’s source? Why, none other than a Telegram post from “Mozhem Obyasnit”, a Russian anti-war activist group whose claims are fairly frequently regurgitated uncritically in the Western media (US government funded RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty and NPR are particularly eager promulgators thereof, it seems).

    And what, in turn, is “Mozhem Obyasnit”’s source, you may wonder? Why, shocker of shockers, it’s yet another Telegram post, from yet another propaganda group named “Rossya Protiv Mobilizatsia”, which translates to … “Russians Against Mobilization”. A post that, yet another shocker of shockers, is pretty much a series of speculations about what it might mean that the Russian government has not yet decided to declare that there will be no further mobilizations and somesuch.

    No wonder you were reluctant to provide a link.

    PS:

    Intellectual dishonesty of the kind that you resorted to in this instance diminishes what Ricochet aspires to be. Shame on you.

    • #123
  4. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    Breaking: “The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will report on the capture of settlements after the military gain a foothold there.” – Hanna Malyar, Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine.   

    • #124
  5. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    GPentelie (View Comment):

    Intellectual dishonesty of the kind that you resorted to in this instance diminishes what Ricochet aspires to be. Shame on you.

    No, shame on you!!!  Read the Kyiv Independent!!!

    • #125
  6. GPentelie Coolidge
    GPentelie
    @GPentelie

    Zafar (View Comment):

    GPentelie (View Comment):

    Intellectual dishonesty of the kind that you resorted to in this instance diminishes what Ricochet aspires to be. Shame on you.

    No, shame on you!!! Read the Kyiv Independent!!!

    • #126
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