Friends, Enemies, and Frenemies

 

As I study the prospect of Joe Biden becoming President, I realize he will probably try to turn our national security on its head. Following the policies of Barack Obama, he will work to ingratiate himself to the rest of the world, following the theme of globalization. He has already stated his intention to re-enter the JCPOA.

But cozying up to the Iran regime isn’t the only danger we might anticipate. He’s signaled his intention of re-building a relationship with China—you know, the country who regularly stole intellectual property and indulged in a trade imbalance with us—until President Trump came on the scene.

Before Joe Biden takes the helm, it will be critical for our government to prioritize our international relationships. In politics, there are no friends for life, nor enemies for that matter. And some countries, for one reason or another, are on the fence, due to their choices or ours, about the kind of relationship they want to have with us.

Trying to be loved and accepted by the world is not only dangerous, but it’s a waste of time. Many countries will see our deferring to their expectations as a demonstration of weakness and ambivalence. That’s not the way successful diplomacy works. Our friends need to know that when push comes to shove, we will back them up; our enemies need to know that a red line (that will be honored) may be drawn if they endanger us or our friends. We are a powerful country and own that reputation.

So, in the name of national security, it’s important for us to clarify who our friends are; Trump let countries know that they would benefit from aligning with us. Our enemies only need to look at China to know that the penalties can be damaging if they try to take advantage of us; Iran learned from the devastating sanctions they incurred.

As you look at the world, who do you see as our friends? Who do you see as our enemies? And even more intriguing, who do you see as our “frenemies,” those who have damaged their relationship with us or with others, but have the potential to work themselves back into our good graces?

Most importantly, what other damage do you see Biden committing in his new role, and is there a way to stop him or minimize the threat to our national security?

Published in Foreign Policy
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  1. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    iWe (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn: As you look at the world, who do you see as our friends?

    Israel. Britain, Poland. Canada, Australia, Japan. On days when I’m feeling charitable, Denmark and the Baltic states. I’d like to be friends with India.

    The rest can go hang.

    Czech Republic are a real ally, too.

    I thought about them after banging out the list. Yeah, they’re in.

    • #31
  2. Hoyacon Member
    Hoyacon
    @Hoyacon

    Percival (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn: As you look at the world, who do you see as our friends?

    Israel. Britain, Poland. Canada, Australia, Japan. On days when I’m feeling charitable, Denmark and the Baltic states. I’d like to be friends with India.

    The rest can go hang.

    I’m with you, @percival. At this point, are we not friends with India? I’m never quite sure.

    Closer than we have been, I think.

    Check out the Mike Lee sponsored legislation on lifting caps on “green cards” for India.  The country has influence through Indian-Americans.

    • #32
  3. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    Susan Quinn: As I study the prospect of Joe Biden becoming President, I realize he will probably try to turn our national security on its head.

    War.  China will threaten Taiwan, and when Biden’s weak response becomes apparent, they will invade.  Biden will then have to decide whether or not to retaliate.  If he does (which I think is unlikely), we’ll be at war with China.

    Heck.  In a way, we already are . . .

    • #33
  4. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    Stad (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn: As I study the prospect of Joe Biden becoming President, I realize he will probably try to turn our national security on its head.

    War. China will threaten Taiwan, and when Biden’s weak response becomes apparent, they will invade. Biden will then have to decide whether or not to retaliate. If he does (which I think is uhnlikely), we’ll be at war with China.

    Heck. In a way, we already are . . .

    Joe Biden is Xi Jinping’s dog. Xi has far more on him than the contents of Hunter’s laptop.

    • #34
  5. EHerring Coolidge
    EHerring
    @EHerring

    Hoyacon (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn: As you look at the world, who do you see as our friends?

    Israel. Britain, Poland. Canada, Australia, Japan. On days when I’m feeling charitable, Denmark and the Baltic states. I’d like to be friends with India.

    The rest can go hang.

    I’m with you, @percival. At this point, are we not friends with India? I’m never quite sure.

    Closer than we have been, I think.

    Check out the Mike Lee sponsored legislation on lifting caps on “green cards” for India. The country has influence through Indian-Americans.

    Trump made a trip to India to encourage them to bring business to our states. He also talked them into giving us a lot of HCQ which the Dems immediately poo pooed. Some of these visas might be necessary for the business investments India is doing. 

    • #35
  6. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    EHerring (View Comment):

    Hoyacon (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn: As you look at the world, who do you see as our friends?

    Israel. Britain, Poland. Canada, Australia, Japan. On days when I’m feeling charitable, Denmark and the Baltic states. I’d like to be friends with India.

    The rest can go hang.

    I’m with you, @percival. At this point, are we not friends with India? I’m never quite sure.

    Closer than we have been, I think.

    Check out the Mike Lee sponsored legislation on lifting caps on “green cards” for India. The country has influence through Indian-Americans.

    Trump made a trip to India to encourage them to bring business to our states. He also talked them into giving us a lot of HCQ which the Dems immediately poo pooed. Some of these visas might be necessary for the business investments India is doing.

    H1Bs are for people staying long-term while waiting for green cards. The system is broken, but the key is green card reform, not eliminating visas entirely.

    Romney and Lee are both in the same cesspool. The difference is Romney is a bigger chunk.

    • #36
  7. Hoyacon Member
    Hoyacon
    @Hoyacon

    Percival (View Comment):

    EHerring (View Comment):

    Hoyacon (View Comment):

    Check out the Mike Lee sponsored legislation on lifting caps on “green cards” for India. The country has influence through Indian-Americans.

    Trump made a trip to India to encourage them to bring business to our states. He also talked them into giving us a lot of HCQ which the Dems immediately poo pooed. Some of these visas might be necessary for the business investments India is doing.

    H1Bs are for people staying long-term while waiting for green cards. The system is broken, but the key is green card reform, not eliminating visas entirely.

    Romney and Lee are both in the same cesspool. The difference is Romney is a bigger chunk.

    Based on the persons I’ve seen in the D.C. area working for IT contractors, I was pretty surprised to hear Indian nationals have issues with quotas on green cards.  I’m not that familiar with the process, though, other than to see Lee receiving plaudits from the Indian American community.  I predict within a generation, they will yield some serious clout.

    • #37
  8. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    Hoyacon (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    EHerring (View Comment):

    Hoyacon (View Comment):

     

    Check out the Mike Lee sponsored legislation on lifting caps on “green cards” for India. The country has influence through Indian-Americans.

    Trump made a trip to India to encourage them to bring business to our states. He also talked them into giving us a lot of HCQ which the Dems immediately poo pooed. Some of these visas might be necessary for the business investments India is doing.

    H1Bs are for people staying long-term while waiting for green cards. The system is broken, but the key is green card reform, not eliminating visas entirely.

    Romney and Lee are both in the same cesspool. The difference is Romney is a bigger chunk.

    Based on the persons I’ve seen in the D.C. area working for IT contractors, I was pretty surprised to hear Indian nationals have an issues with quotas on green cards. I’m not that familiar with the process, though, other than to see Lee receiving plaudits from the Indian American community. I predict within a generation, they will yield some serious clout.

     

    They do now, only Lee will never benefit from it. Durbin will. Lee is a tool.

    • #38
  9. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    It takes about five years to get a green card. An H-1B visa is good for three years. Therefore people over here need to get a renewal. Your current employer is the only one who can sponsor you to get a renewal. You can’t really get a new employer in that time. The system is ripe for abuse by the employers.

    Lee should either lengthen the H-1B visa and make it transferrable, or shorten the time that it takes to get a green card, or both. Doing that would keep the suits from using the current setup as a sort of indentured servitude.

    Lee won’t do that. Lee is the dullest chisel in the toolbox.

    • #39
  10. EHerring Coolidge
    EHerring
    @EHerring

    Percival (View Comment):

    It takes about five years to get a green card. An H-1B visa is good for three years. Therefore people over here need to get a renewal. Your current employer is the only one who can sponsor you to get a renewal. You can’t really get a new employer in that time. The system is ripe for abuse by the employers.

    Lee should either lengthen the H-1B visa and make it transferrable, or shorten the time that it takes to get a green card, or both. Doing that would keep the suits from using the current setup as a sort of indentured servitude.

    Lee won’t do that. Lee is the dullest chisel in the toolbox.

    We need fewer lawyers and more workers in Congress.

    • #40
  11. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    EHerring (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    It takes about five years to get a green card. An H-1B visa is good for three years. Therefore people over here need to get a renewal. Your current employer is the only one who can sponsor you to get a renewal. You can’t really get a new employer in that time. The system is ripe for abuse by the employers.

    Lee should either lengthen the H-1B visa and make it transferrable, or shorten the time that it takes to get a green card, or both. Doing that would keep the suits from using the current setup as a sort of indentured servitude.

    Lee won’t do that. Lee is the dullest chisel in the toolbox.

    We need fewer lawyers and more workers in Congress.

    Hey! Maybe we could start a visa program for foreign politicians.

    • #41
  12. Jon1979 Inactive
    Jon1979
    @Jon1979

    Susan Quinn (View Comment):

    Jon1979 (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn (View Comment):

    Jon1979 (View Comment):
    (And if those troublemaking nations do find avenues to increase their power at the expense of a more feckless Biden Administration, that’s going to be far harder for the media to spin as Trump’s fault than any sort of domestic negative consequences of a President Biden

    But I have no doubt that they will try, @jon1979. Trump will be so easy to repeatedly trounce on, and people on the Left will love it.

    I don’t doubt they’ll try. But you had a situation where, a year ago at this time, the Democrats were chiding Trump for not sending more troops to Syria, which is far from the boilerplate ‘warmonger’ talking points they’ve used on ever previous Republican president since Nixon.

    They and the media are really going to have to use newspeak and twist themselves into pretzels to make Trump fit their standard GOP warmonger narrative, if the world’s hot spots start getting worse under Biden, because the trouble-making regimes realize they can roll the new president and his foreign policy team.

    Thanks. Do you have any thoughts on other countries who could threaten us who might not be so obvious. Russia is one, of course. But do you see others that might try to cause us trouble?

    I’d think it would be secondary-level players in the hemisphere partnering with larger ones to create problems, such as with China or Iran in Venezuela or Nicaragua. Maduro or Ortega by themselves might not have the power or money to create new problems in Central or South America, but they could allow other nations to extend their influence closer to U.S. borders.

    • #42
  13. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    Percival (View Comment):
    Therefore people over here need to get a renewal. Your current employer is the only one who can sponsor you to get a renewal. You can’t really get a new employer in that time. The system is ripe for abuse by the employers.

    A modern version of indentured servitude . . .

    • #43
  14. Fake John/Jane Galt Coolidge
    Fake John/Jane Galt
    @FakeJohnJaneGalt

    Sisyphus (View Comment):

    Fake John/Jane Galt (View Comment):

    iWe (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn: As you look at the world, who do you see as our friends?

    Israel. Britain, Poland. Canada, Australia, Japan. On days when I’m feeling charitable, Denmark and the Baltic states. I’d like to be friends with India.

    The rest can go hang.

    Czech Republic are a real ally, too.

    I disagree, we have the best allies that money can buy, for as long as we pay the most.

    Poland and the Czech Republic are exceptions. They embraced Reagan republicanism as the philosophical driver that liberated them from Socialist oppression. They were thrown into crisis when, under Obama, the US was opposing republicanism in favor of something much closer to Sovietism. To have the US actively trying to undermine their republics was a shock.

    If they were shocked by Obama I suspect they have seen nothing yet compared to Biden

    • #44
  15. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    Taiwan should not be left out.  Certainly South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand and Canada.  

    • #45
  16. Ontheleftcoast Inactive
    Ontheleftcoast
    @Ontheleftcoast

    Enemies foreign and domestic.

    Now we come to Biden’s choice for the vital position of Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas.  Remember Biden has pledged to create a massive legalization program for unknown millions of illegal aliens.  The DHS enforces and administers America’s immigration laws and thus would bear the responsibility for administering this ill-conceived program.

    . . 

    Let’s begin by noting that during the Obama administration Mayorkas was the Director of USCIS (United States Citizenship and Immigration Services) an agency that operates under the aegis of the DHS and is responsible for the  adjudication of all of the applications that are filed to accord aliens various immigration benefits.  This includes applications for political asylum, change in status for various visa lawful immigrant status and even United States citizenship.

    You can think of USCIS as “America’s Locksmith” because lawful status provides aliens with easy entry into the United States through the “front door” our nation’s ports of entry.

    Mayorkas was notorious for demanding that USCIS adjudicators “Get to yes”- that is to say, approve virtually all applications for various immigration benefits.

    It must be noted that immigration fraud was determined by the 9/11 Commission to be the key method of entry and embedding for numerous foreign terrorists operating in the United States.

    Gotta import more Democrat client/voters.

    • #46
  17. HeavyWater Inactive
    HeavyWater
    @HeavyWater

    Ontheleftcoast (View Comment):

    Enemies foreign and domestic.

    Now we come to Biden’s choice for the vital position of Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas. Remember Biden has pledged to create a massive legalization program for unknown millions of illegal aliens. The DHS enforces and administers America’s immigration laws and thus would bear the responsibility for administering this ill-conceived program.

    Gotta import more Democrat client/voters.

    This is where I am hoping that the addition of Amy Coney Barrett to SCOTUS will make it harder for Biden to do DACA by executive fiat.

    • #47
  18. Western Chauvinist Member
    Western Chauvinist
    @WesternChauvinist

    Donald Trump earned respect by his honesty with allies and enemies alike. Shocking, I know! But, he said out loud on more than one occasion that he’s going to look to the interests of the United States and he expects other countries to do likewise for themselves. How refreshing. 

    Taking us out of the Iran Deal and the Climate Accord was just that — doing what was in our interests. I expect Biden to do the opposite in every case. And in doing so, he will invite war. He’s been a fool on foreign policy for as long as I can remember. He should read Art of the Deal and learn something. 

    • #48
  19. Arnold Falk Inactive
    Arnold Falk
    @acfalk

    Susan Quinn (View Comment):

    Sisyphus (View Comment):
    Don’t want to be friends with India, want to be partners with them in China containment and in improved trade relations. If they move toward religious freedom maybe friendship down the road.

    Good point. They haven’t shown much religious tolerance have they, @sisyphus.

    I think we could include Ireland, but they’re less consequential internationally, aren’t they?

    It’s 7 December, and I am thinking of WWII.  When you think of WWII, name the English-speaking country that was NOT an ally.

    • #49
  20. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    Arnold Falk (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn (View Comment):

    Sisyphus (View Comment):
    Don’t want to be friends with India, want to be partners with them in China containment and in improved trade relations. If they move toward religious freedom maybe friendship down the road.

    Good point. They haven’t shown much religious tolerance have they, @sisyphus.

    I think we could include Ireland, but they’re less consequential internationally, aren’t they?

    It’s 7 December, and I am thinking of WWII. When you think of WWII, name the English-speaking country that was NOT an ally.

    Point!

    Though most of the rest (Australia, New Zealand, Canada) were still part of the British Empire, albeit with some self government.  They were there because the UK was there.

    • #50
  21. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    The British PM Lord Palmerston said: Nations have no permanent friends or allies, they only have permanent interests.

    If you can articulate what yours are, without reference to allies, its a good point from where to start identifying which other nations’ permanent interests you can meaningfully ally with for the moment, and at what price for them and for you.

    And which nations’ permanent interests are unavoidably in conflict with yours?

    Though I would niggle with Palmerston’s take – polities have no permanent friends or allies, only permanent interests.  A polity’s interests (often) don’t align with its nation’s people’s. 

    Also – we have many permanent interests.  When it comes to Iran and the US – India’s permanent interest in defense (served by aligning with the US and buying military equipment) is in conflict with its permanent interest in energy (Iran was a cheap and dependable source of oil).

    • #51
  22. Susan Quinn Contributor
    Susan Quinn
    @SusanQuinn

    Zafar (View Comment):

    The British PM Lord Palmerston said: Nations have no permanent friends or allies, they only have permanent interests.

    If you can articulate what yours are, without reference to allies, its a good point from where to start identifying which other nations’ permanent interests you can meaningfully ally with for the moment, and at what price for them and for you.

    And which nations’ permanent interests are unavoidably in conflict with yours?

    Though I would niggle with Palmerston’s take – polities have no permanent friends or allies, only permanent interests. A polity’s interests (often) don’t align with its nation’s people’s.

    Also – we have many permanent interests. When it comes to Iran and the US – India’s permanent interest in defense (served by aligning with the US and buying military equipment) is in conflict with its permanent interest in energy (Iran was a cheap and dependable source of oil).

    Very good points, @zafar. Interests are the most important factor, everything falls out from there.

    • #52
  23. Susan Quinn Contributor
    Susan Quinn
    @SusanQuinn

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    Donald Trump earned respect by his honesty with allies and enemies alike. Shocking, I know! But, he said out loud on more than one occasion that he’s going to look to the interests of the United States and he expects other countries to do likewise for themselves. How refreshing.

    Taking us out of the Iran Deal and the Climate Accord was just that — doing what was in our interests. I expect Biden to do the opposite in every case. And in doing so, he will invite war. He’s been a fool on foreign policy for as long as I can remember. He should read Art of the Deal and learn something.

    Not only those reasons, @westernchauvinist, but people have this foolish idea that other countries will like us if we cater to them. Instead, they will think we are betraying our own citizens! Everyone should take care of their own; if they did (without violating other countries), the world would be a better place. Thanks.

    • #53
  24. Fake John/Jane Galt Coolidge
    Fake John/Jane Galt
    @FakeJohnJaneGalt

    Stad (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn: As I study the prospect of Joe Biden becoming President, I realize he will probably try to turn our national security on its head.

    War. China will threaten Taiwan, and when Biden’s weak response becomes apparent, they will invade. Biden will then have to decide whether or not to retaliate. If he does (which I think is unlikely), we’ll be at war with China.

    Heck. In a way, we already are . . .

    I suspect his response will be strong.  He will deploy a family member to pickup a few businesses deals then all will be well.

    • #54
  25. Fake John/Jane Galt Coolidge
    Fake John/Jane Galt
    @FakeJohnJaneGalt

    Ontheleftcoast (View Comment):

    Enemies foreign and domestic.

    Now we come to Biden’s choice for the vital position of Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas. Remember Biden has pledged to create a massive legalization program for unknown millions of illegal aliens. The DHS enforces and administers America’s immigration laws and thus would bear the responsibility for administering this ill-conceived program.

    . .

    Let’s begin by noting that during the Obama administration Mayorkas was the Director of USCIS (United States Citizenship and Immigration Services) an agency that operates under the aegis of the DHS and is responsible for the adjudication of all of the applications that are filed to accord aliens various immigration benefits. This includes applications for political asylum, change in status for various visa lawful immigrant status and even United States citizenship.

    You can think of USCIS as “America’s Locksmith” because lawful status provides aliens with easy entry into the United States through the “front door” our nation’s ports of entry.

    Mayorkas was notorious for demanding that USCIS adjudicators “Get to yes”- that is to say, approve virtually all applications for various immigration benefits.

    It must be noted that immigration fraud was determined by the 9/11 Commission to be the key method of entry and embedding for numerous foreign terrorists operating in the United States.

    Gotta import more Democrat client/voters.

    Why does he just not stand down ICE and let it rock?  It is not like the states election boards have any restrictions on who votes or does not.  Actually I have considered renouncing my citizen ship and becoming illegal so I have some rights.  

    • #55
  26. Guruforhire Inactive
    Guruforhire
    @Guruforhire

    Susan Quinn (View Comment):

    Zafar (View Comment):

    The British PM Lord Palmerston said: Nations have no permanent friends or allies, they only have permanent interests.

    If you can articulate what yours are, without reference to allies, its a good point from where to start identifying which other nations’ permanent interests you can meaningfully ally with for the moment, and at what price for them and for you.

    And which nations’ permanent interests are unavoidably in conflict with yours?

    Though I would niggle with Palmerston’s take – polities have no permanent friends or allies, only permanent interests. A polity’s interests (often) don’t align with its nation’s people’s.

    Also – we have many permanent interests. When it comes to Iran and the US – India’s permanent interest in defense (served by aligning with the US and buying military equipment) is in conflict with its permanent interest in energy (Iran was a cheap and dependable source of oil).

    Very good points, @zafar. Interests are the most important factor, everything falls out from there.

    America has no real international interests outside of hemisphere.  And that’s OK.

    What we do have is a great big principle-agent problem.  Where as the interests of the people who make up our government are not inline with the interests of the country.  The quote-unquote international order is in the interests of a lot of government bureaucrats and functionaries, lobbyists, and politicians.  But they aren’t actually in the nations interests, and based upon the past 4 years, they are not exactly responsive to democratic control.

    • #56
  27. Susan Quinn Contributor
    Susan Quinn
    @SusanQuinn

    Guruforhire (View Comment):

    America has no real international interests outside of hemisphere. And that’s OK.

    What we do have is a great big principle-agent problem. Where as the interests of the people who make up our government are not inline with the interests of the country. The quote-unquote international order is in the interests of a lot of government bureaucrats and functionaries, lobbyists, and politicians. But they aren’t actually in the nations interests, and based upon the past 4 years, they are not exactly responsive to democratic control.

    Spot on, @guruforhire! We have people who will be in charge who are not only elitists and utopian believers, but they don’t care about the people in this country. Unfortunately I expect things to get worse with the administrative state in charge.

    • #57
  28. Charles Mark Member
    Charles Mark
    @CharlesMark

    Percival (View Comment):

    Sisyphus (View Comment):

    Percival (View Comment):

    Susan Quinn: As you look at the world, who do you see as our friends?

    Israel. Britain, Poland. Canada, Australia, Japan. On days when I’m feeling charitable, Denmark and the Baltic states. I’d like to be friends with India.

    The rest can go hang.

    Don’t want to be friends with India, want to be partners with them in China containment and in improved trade relations. If they move toward religious freedom maybe friendship down the road.

    Not Ireland?

    Ah, Ireland. Struggling for years for independence only to let Brussels dictate how bendy your bananas can be makes no sense.

    Ireland has a very noisy hard- Left which despises any Capitalist country, with particular hatred for the GOP. The rest of us are more concerned with our GDP, to which American corporations contribute handsomely through foreign direct investment, also providing many jobs. There are also close cultural and familial ties.Few Irish people don’t have close relatives living in the US ( some undocumented, but that’s a different story). We closed down the country for a day of mourning after 9/11. 

    We definitely are close allies. 

    • #58
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