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Let me be blunt. The Iranian deal always was a disaster and, after President Netanyahu’s presentation, we’re relearning what we already knew. Mama Toad’s post did a great job of soliciting input from Ricochetti about Netanyahu’s statement. And if you want an outsider’s view, take a look at David Harsanyi’s article in The Federalist. I encourage you to offer your opinion on this dangerous and ridiculous agreement, but this OP will take two different directions, particularly regarding Israel. One question is: what do we do next on the Iran agreement? The second addresses a different topic: what do you think are the dangers of the protests in Gaza at the border with Israel?
So let’s look at Iran first. They’ve lied from the start, in spite of “guarantees” for transparency and investigations by the IAEA. In its February 22, 2018 report, the IAEA summary reads as follows:
The Agency continues to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material at the nuclear facilities and locations outside facilities where nuclear material is customarily used (LOFs) declared by Iran under its Safeguards Agreement. Evaluations regarding the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities for Iran remained ongoing. Since Implementation Day, the Agency has been verifying and monitoring the implementation by Iran of its nuclear-related commitments under the JCPOA. The Director General will continue to report as appropriate.
I assume the IAEA has only investigated those places the Iranians originally agreed to open, and no one has any way of knowing if other sites had been built and were being used long before the agreement with the Obama administration. Given the repeated lies about their developing a nuclear program, why should we believe they’re claim of transparency?
Let’s remember that Israel never approved of this agreement. As Harsanyi says in his article:
Now that the framework for sanctions has been destroyed, there are few good options left. But the agreement, as it stands, is worse than worthless. Rather than setting firm limits, the deal gave Iran cover and time to continue its efforts, making war with Israel more of an inevitability.
The Jewish state can’t allow a Holocaust-denying adversary with terrorist proxy armies on its borders to have the power to destroy them, or even blackmail and threaten the entire region at best — something Iran has engaged in for more than a decade without even having its hands on nuclear weapons.
Many observers state that Netanyahu’s presentation only offered information that was already known. So let me get this right: We already knew that Iran had lied to us, and now that we have that actually verified, so what? Pardon my sarcasm, but does it matter to anyone that we have a flimsy agreement that is of great benefit to Iran and no benefit to anyone else? In addition, what did we gain from the illusion that Iran was slowing its development of nuclear weapons? Deferring the destruction of Israel or Saudi Arabia until 10 years from now, when Iran will potentially be even more dangerous?
Worse yet, Netanyahu hoped that his presentation would move Europe to reconsider its desire to “fix” the agreement. Instead, France and Britain believe the need for a pact is even more important now. Given the previously mentioned chronic lying, someone will need to explain this attitude to me.
I propose that on or before May 12, President Trump should drop the deal. Anything that Iran agrees to will be based on lies. We have no reason to trust them. Even if the deal is modified, they can continue their nuclear development within hidden sites. We may also at some point decide to destroy facilities that have been used for development. If we don’t bomb those sites, Israel probably will. They did it previously in Syria.
As if this crisis weren’t difficult enough for Israel, it is dealing with border protests in Gaza. Hamas claimed that they weren’t driving the protests, but we now know that Hamas has been helping out Palestinians who have been injured or the families of those killed:
Hamas has distributed payments to Palestinians injured and to the families of those killed in protests in the border region between the Gaza Strip and Israel, Hamas spokesman Hazim Qassim said on Thursday.
Palestinians critically and moderately injured received $500 and $200, respectively, while families of those killed were given $3,000, Qassim said, according to a report on the Islamist movement’s official website.
Protestors have also broken through the border fence in some spots, and have “rolled burning tires, hurled rocks and flown kites with flaming objects attached trying to damage the fence.”
Human rights groups have been protesting that the Israelis are shooting on unarmed protestors (not considering that weapons can easily be concealed). Amnesty International reports “that many of the injuries appear deliberately intended as life-changing and that they have video proof of peaceful protestors being shot at while their backs are turned to the fence along the Gaza Strip or while running away from the fence.”
Meanwhile, there is this report:
The weekly demonstrations are scheduled to continue until May 15, the Palestinian Nakba Day on which they remember their displacement following the Israeli declaration of independence in 1948. Part of that commemoration this year is expected to be possibly tens of thousands of Palestinians rushing the Israel barrier.
I wonder how well the fences will hold up then?Published in