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  1. Son of Spengler Member
    Son of Spengler
    @SonofSpengler

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:Brent, the risk with a battle royale is that a Republican to the left of Boehner enters the ring, and Dems thereby help elect a left-leaning Republican.

    Doesn’t Ryan already fit that bill?

    Ryan is apparently not prepared to violate the Hastert rule as readily as Boehner. He has made clear that he does not want the job unless all GOP representatives agree to support his candidacy. So in that sense, he would not be like a liberal GOP speaker who owed his election to Democrats.

    Recent voting record aside because the Speaker traditionally does not vote unless necessary. Boehner for his legion of misgivings has always in my mind been to the right of Ryan.

    This is one of my frustrations in this whole process. If Boehner is the problem how is Ryan the solution?

    Ryan has shown courage in taking on entitlements. He has been more vocal about the need for regular order. Regardless of his personal views on immigration, he has known who brung him to the dance, and has supported the party. He has a reputation as a straight shooter.

    I don’t follow the ins and outs of Congressional politics. If, however, Ryan can bring a combination of smarts and courage and loyalty to his caucus, he may unify the party in a way that Boehner hasn’t. His strength in the past has been to put together budgets that his party could get behind (even if the leadership refused to fight on that hill). I think there is a belief that he is singularly able to foster similar unity on other big policy questions.

    • #61
  2. ctlaw Coolidge
    ctlaw
    @ctlaw

    Eric Hines:

    ctlaw:If Ryan does not intend to sell out the base on something major, why is he making this demand?

    What demand is he making?

    Eric Hines

    Whatever it is regarding the motion to vacate, even if only a pledge not to make such a motion.

    • #62
  3. Aaron Miller Inactive
    Aaron Miller
    @AaronMiller

    With Dave’s permission, here is his response:

    Give us the Senate, said Paul Ryan back in 2012, and we can repeal 85% of Obamacare via reconciliation. It will even be filibuster proof, he said. We gave them the Senate. They folded yet again and now call us extremists for having taken them at their word. I’m “this close” to saying the hell with the lot of them.

    • #63
  4. Eric Hines Inactive
    Eric Hines
    @EricHines

    ctlaw:

    Eric Hines:

    ctlaw:If Ryan does not intend to sell out the base on something major, why is he making this demand?

    What demand is he making?

    Eric Hines

    Whatever it is regarding the motion to vacate, even if only a pledge not to make such a motion.

    Ryan said two things concerning this:

    …he encourages changes to our rules and procedures, but he also believes that those changes must be made as a team. They affect everyone, so everyone should have the opportunity for input.

    And

    …he believes there needs to be a change to the process for a motion to vacate the chair. No matter who is speaker, they cannot be successful with this weapon pointed at them all the time.

    I don’t have a problem with that.

    Eric Hines

    • #64
  5. Umbra Fractus Inactive
    Umbra Fractus
    @UmbraFractus

    It sounds to me like Ryan’s position on the motion to vacate is basically, “Put up or shut up.” I suspect what he has a problem with is precisely what’s going on right now; A critical mass of people saying, “We don’t know who we want, but we don’t want you.”

    Either nominate somebody or sit down.

    • #65
  6. Leigh Inactive
    Leigh
    @Leigh

    Aaron Miller:With Dave’s permission, here is his response:

    Give us the Senate, said Paul Ryan back in 2012, and we can repeal 85% of Obamacare via reconciliation. It will even be filibuster proof, he said. We gave them the Senate. They folded yet again and now call us extremists for having taken them at their word.

    Obviously Ryan meant give him the Senate with a Republican President.

    And he has not folded; he is working to put a reconciliation bill repealing Obamacare on the President’s desk. Here’s Ryan talking about it (a couple weeks ago, obviously).

    As for the “vacate the chair” thing, as I understand it all he wants is to ensure a splinter group of Republicans can’t vote with Democrats to dump a speaker. He’s not trying to make himself some unaccountable king. He’s proposed requiring a majority of the caucus or a few other ways of limiting it, I believe. It seems entirely reasonable and something conservatives should actually want, Jefferson aside (he could be wrong at times). The Freedom Caucus is the one wielding the tool now, but give us a few years and reshuffle the politics, and there’s nothing stopping a moderate group willing to work with moderate Democrats from running with it.

    • #66
  7. Leigh Inactive
    Leigh
    @Leigh

    Ryan’s play was brilliant, especially since he’s also sincere. These aren’t his demands because it’s what he wants (other than the family time). It’s what he genuinely believes needs to happen for the House to work.

    And it’s a compromise among the various groups. He’s offering the Freedom Caucus the kind of process change he wants; he only seems to be telling them they have to reach agreement on rules changes in the whole caucus — “as a team.” If they want more openness, they should support that on principle anyway.

    • #67
  8. BrentB67 Inactive
    BrentB67
    @BrentB67

    Leigh:

    Aaron Miller:With Dave’s permission, here is his response:

    Give us the Senate, said Paul Ryan back in 2012, and we can repeal 85% of Obamacare via reconciliation. It will even be filibuster proof, he said. We gave them the Senate. They folded yet again and now call us extremists for having taken them at their word.

    Obviously Ryan meant give him the Senate with a Republican President.

    And he has not folded; he is working to put a reconciliation bill repealing Obamacare on the President’s desk. Here’s Ryan talking about it (a couple weeks ago, obviously).

    As for the “vacate the chair” thing, as I understand it all he wants is to ensure a splinter group of Republicans can’t vote with Democrats to dump a speaker. He’s not trying to make himself some unaccountable king. He’s proposed requiring a majority of the caucus or a few other ways of limiting it, I believe. It seems entirely reasonable and something conservatives should actually want, Jefferson aside (he could be wrong at times). The Freedom Caucus is the one wielding the tool now, but give us a few years and reshuffle the politics, and there’s nothing stopping a moderate group willing to work with moderate Democrats from running with it.

    Do we ever hold Paul Ryan at his word or do his apologists just put words in his mouth to fit their narrative.

    • #68
  9. Son of Spengler Member
    Son of Spengler
    @SonofSpengler

    BrentB67:

    Leigh:

    Aaron Miller:With Dave’s permission, here is his response:

    Give us the Senate, said Paul Ryan back in 2012, and we can repeal 85% of Obamacare via reconciliation. It will even be filibuster proof, he said. We gave them the Senate. They folded yet again and now call us extremists for having taken them at their word.

    Obviously Ryan meant give him the Senate with a Republican President.

    And he has not folded; he is working to put a reconciliation bill repealing Obamacare on the President’s desk. Here’s Ryan talking about it (a couple weeks ago, obviously).

    As for the “vacate the chair” thing, as I understand it all he wants is to ensure a splinter group of Republicans can’t vote with Democrats to dump a speaker. He’s not trying to make himself some unaccountable king. He’s proposed requiring a majority of the caucus or a few other ways of limiting it, I believe. It seems entirely reasonable and something conservatives should actually want, Jefferson aside (he could be wrong at times). The Freedom Caucus is the one wielding the tool now, but give us a few years and reshuffle the politics, and there’s nothing stopping a moderate group willing to work with moderate Democrats from running with it.

    Do we ever hold Paul Ryan at his word or do his apologists just put words in his mouth to fit their narrative.

    His words had a context. He was the VP nominee at the time, making an argument for his own ticket. He was saying in effect, elect us and give us the Senate — not just give us the Senate and that will be enough. The people who are snipping Ryan’s words out of context are the ones who are engaging in distortion to advance their narrative.

    • #69
  10. Son of Spengler Member
    Son of Spengler
    @SonofSpengler

    And I’m not an apologist for Ryan — I really don’t know if he’s the right guy or not — but I do bristle at these kinds of distortions.

    • #70
  11. BrentB67 Inactive
    BrentB67
    @BrentB67

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    Leigh:

    Aaron Miller:..

    Obviously Ryan meant give him the Senate with a Republican President.

    Do we ever hold Paul Ryan at his word or do his apologists just put words in his mouth to fit their narrative.

    His words had a context. He was the VP nominee at the time, making an argument for his own ticket. He was saying in effect, elect us and give us the Senate— not just give us the Senate and that will be enough. The people who are snipping Ryan’s words out of context are the ones who are engaging in distortion to advance their narrative.

    If this is the case it is even more of an indictment.

    • #71
  12. BrentB67 Inactive
    BrentB67
    @BrentB67

    Son of Spengler:And I’m not an apologist for Ryan — I really don’t know if he’s the right guy or not — but I do bristle at these kinds of distortions.

    If that is his exact quote it matters.

    I respect you are not an apologist for him. Unfortunately we keep coming back to his past assertions and finding less to like whether it is quotes like this, context or otherwise, TARP, immigration, etc. I’ve never liked his positions, but that doesn’t disqualify him from Speaker.

    • #72
  13. Son of Spengler Member
    Son of Spengler
    @SonofSpengler

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    Leigh:

    Aaron Miller:..

    Obviously Ryan meant give him the Senate with a Republican President.

    Do we ever hold Paul Ryan at his word or do his apologists just put words in his mouth to fit their narrative.

    His words had a context. He was the VP nominee at the time, making an argument for his own ticket. He was saying in effect, elect us and give us the Senate— not just give us the Senate and that will be enough. The people who are snipping Ryan’s words out of context are the ones who are engaging in distortion to advance their narrative.

    If this is the case it is even more of an indictment.

    How so? At the time he was saying, with the presidency and Senate we can achieve GOP goals. When the party won the Senate without the presidency, the GOP did not achieve its goals. How are his presidential campaign promises an indictment of the current situation?

    • #73
  14. Son of Spengler Member
    Son of Spengler
    @SonofSpengler

    BrentB67: If that is his exact quote it matters.

    Sure it does. But you are interpreting the words (esp. “us”) to mean something different now than they meant at the time they were said.

    • #74
  15. BrentB67 Inactive
    BrentB67
    @BrentB67

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    Leigh:

    Aaron Miller:..

    Obviously Ryan meant give him the Senate with a Republican President.

    Do we ever hold Paul Ryan at his word or do his apologists just put words in his mouth to fit their narrative.

    His words had a context. He was the VP nominee at the time, making an argument for his own ticket. He was saying in effect, elect us and give us the Senate— not just give us the Senate and that will be enough. The people who are snipping Ryan’s words out of context are the ones who are engaging in distortion to advance their narrative.

    If this is the case it is even more of an indictment.

    How so? At the time he was saying, with the presidency and Senate we can achieve GOP goals. When the party won the Senate without the presidency, the GOP did not achieve its goals. How are his presidential campaign promises an indictment of the current situation?

    My question is if he was speaking of having the House, Senate, and President Romney, why is the goal to only repeal 85% of the ACA.

    • #75
  16. Son of Spengler Member
    Son of Spengler
    @SonofSpengler

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    Leigh:

    Aaron Miller:..

    Obviously Ryan meant give him the Senate with a Republican President.

    Do we ever hold Paul Ryan at his word or do his apologists just put words in his mouth to fit their narrative.

    His words had a context. He was the VP nominee at the time, making an argument for his own ticket. He was saying in effect, elect us and give us the Senate— not just give us the Senate and that will be enough. The people who are snipping Ryan’s words out of context are the ones who are engaging in distortion to advance their narrative.

    If this is the case it is even more of an indictment.

    How so? At the time he was saying, with the presidency and Senate we can achieve GOP goals. When the party won the Senate without the presidency, the GOP did not achieve its goals. How are his presidential campaign promises an indictment of the current situation?

    My question is if he was speaking of having the House, Senate, and President Romney, why is the goal to only repeal 85% of the ACA.

    Because reconciliation only allows you to amend provisions of the ACA that have budget impact.

    • #76
  17. BrentB67 Inactive
    BrentB67
    @BrentB67

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    Leigh:

    Aaron Miller:..

    Obviously Ryan meant give him the Senate with a Republican President.

    Do we ever hold Paul Ryan at his word or do his apologists just put words in his mouth to fit their narrative.

    His words had a context. He was the VP nominee at the time, making an argument for his own ticket. He was saying in effect, elect us and give us the Senate— not just give us the Senate and that will be enough. The people who are snipping Ryan’s words out of context are the ones who are engaging in distortion to advance their narrative.

    If this is the case it is even more of an indictment.

    How so? At the time he was saying, with the presidency and Senate we can achieve GOP goals. When the party won the Senate without the presidency, the GOP did not achieve its goals. How are his presidential campaign promises an indictment of the current situation?

    My question is if he was speaking of having the House, Senate, and President Romney, why is the goal to only repeal 85% of the ACA.

    Because reconciliation only allows you to amend provisions of the ACA that have budget impact.

    I will trust you are correct, but this is part of the problem. It is always easier to defer to arcane procedures to protect big government than take risks to repeal it entirely.

    • #77
  18. Frank Soto Member
    Frank Soto
    @FrankSoto

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    My question is if he was speaking of having the House, Senate, and President Romney, why is the goal to only repeal 85% of the ACA.

    Because reconciliation only allows you to amend provisions of the ACA that have budget impact.

    I will trust you are correct, but this is part of the problem. It is always easier to defer to arcane procedures to protect big government than take risks to repeal it entirely.

    What risks?

    • #78
  19. Son of Spengler Member
    Son of Spengler
    @SonofSpengler

    BrentB67: I will trust you are correct, but this is part of the problem. It is always easier to defer to arcane procedures to protect big government than take risks to repeal it entirely.

    Here’s the irony: What began as a complaint that Ryan overpromised and didn’t deliver has now developed into a complaint that Ryan was unwilling to promise things he couldn’t deliver.

    • #79
  20. Aaron Miller Inactive
    Aaron Miller
    @AaronMiller

    I’m heartened by his use of YouTube to bypass traditional media when making his case for budget reform. Republicans must control the narrative to win voters. And it’s nice having an unfiltered record of policy arguments.

    • #80
  21. BrentB67 Inactive
    BrentB67
    @BrentB67

    Frank Soto:

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    My question is if he was speaking of having the House, Senate, and President Romney, why is the goal to only repeal 85% of the ACA.

    Because reconciliation only allows you to amend provisions of the ACA that have budget impact.

    I will trust you are correct, but this is part of the problem. It is always easier to defer to arcane procedures to protect big government than take risks to repeal it entirely.

    What risks?

    Associated with eliminating the filibuster.

    • #81
  22. Frank Soto Member
    Frank Soto
    @FrankSoto

    BrentB67:

    Frank Soto:

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    My question is if he was speaking of having the House, Senate, and President Romney, why is the goal to only repeal 85% of the ACA.

    Because reconciliation only allows you to amend provisions of the ACA that have budget impact.

    I will trust you are correct, but this is part of the problem. It is always easier to defer to arcane procedures to protect big government than take risks to repeal it entirely.

    What risks?

    Associated with eliminating the filibuster.

    Okay, so let’s play this out as a general strategy, while acknowledging that Ryan is a member of the house, and has no say over Senate rules.

    There are good arguments on both sides of the issue of whether to eliminate the filibuster.  Let’s say that Sal successfully convinces me (he came close) that we should ultimately do away with it.

    There is no question that you should wait to do so until you hold the house, senate, and the presidency.  Doing so at any other moment is a waste as the democrats may well hold all three again before you do, and despite heated rhetoric from the right, they have largely obeyed it.  We would potentially be untying their hands instead of our own.  There is no upside to removing it while a democrat is president.

    There is also no upside to talking about doing it.  You remove it like a band-aid.  All at once, and then let the media cry themselves out after the fact, rather than give them a year or more to demonize ahead of time, creating cold feet in some members.

    • #82
  23. ctlaw Coolidge
    ctlaw
    @ctlaw

    Frank Soto: There is no upside to removing it while a democrat is president.

    It would more clearly focus the blame for things at the foot of the President.

    Congress could pass separate bills with noncontroversial items (e.g., funding critical services). If the President vetoes, he gets the blame.

    Right now, it’s easy for the Senate Democrats to block something noncontroversial (because they want to use it as leverage to get something controversial) and then have President blame the blockage on Republicans.

    • #83
  24. Eric Hines Inactive
    Eric Hines
    @EricHines

    BrentB67:

    Frank Soto:

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    My question is if he was speaking of having the House, Senate, and President Romney, why is the goal to only repeal 85% of the ACA.

    Because reconciliation only allows you to amend provisions of the ACA that have budget impact.

    I will trust you are correct, but this is part of the problem. It is always easier to defer to arcane procedures to protect big government than take risks to repeal it entirely.

    What risks?

    Associated with eliminating the filibuster.

    I’m interested in a different aspect regarding the filibuster than Mr Soto’s.  Assuming it’s a good idea to get rid of the filibuster, what’s your plan, Brent, for the Senate eliminating it?  What’s your path for achieving that?

    Eric Hines

    • #84
  25. Eric Hines Inactive
    Eric Hines
    @EricHines

    ctlaw:

    Frank Soto: There is no upside to removing it while a democrat is president.

    It would more clearly focus the blame for things at the foot of the President.

    Congress could pass separate bills with noncontroversial items (e.g., funding critical services). If the President vetoes, he gets the blame.

    Right now, it’s easy for the Senate Democrats to block something noncontroversial (because they want to use it as leverage to get something controversial) and then have President blame the blockage on Republicans.

    This doesn’t wash.  The Democrats had no problem figuring out how to beat up the obstructionist Republicans for filibustering.  And they didn’t have to go crying to Daddy President to start the blame game; they did it from the Senate.  Nor is the degree of controversy or “cleanliness” of the bill a factor.

    The Republicans could just as easily more clearly focus the blame on obstructionist Democrats.  Which is what some of the right-side Republicans are on about now–pass the stuff, force the filibuster/veto, and then focus the blame.

    Eric Hines

    • #85
  26. ctlaw Coolidge
    ctlaw
    @ctlaw

    Eric Hines:

    ctlaw:

    Frank Soto: There is no upside to removing it while a democrat is president.

    It would more clearly focus the blame for things at the foot of the President.

    Congress could pass separate bills with noncontroversial items (e.g., funding critical services). If the President vetoes, he gets the blame.

    Right now, it’s easy for the Senate Democrats to block something noncontroversial (because they want to use it as leverage to get something controversial) and then have President blame the blockage on Republicans.

    This doesn’t wash. The Democrats had no problem figuring out how to beat up the obstructionist Republicans for filibustering. And they didn’t have to go crying to Daddy President to start the blame game; they did it from the Senate. Nor is the degree of controversy or “cleanliness” of the bill a factor.

    Currently, the weight of the MSM allows the blame to fall on Republicans whether it is the Republicans or Democrats filibustering. It also allows the concepts of clean and unclean to be inverted. This just makes it more difficult for the MSM to blame Republicans

    The Republicans could just as easily more clearly focus the blame on obstructionist Democrats. Which is what some of the right-side Republicans are on about now–pass the stuff, force the filibuster/veto, and then focus the blame.

    Eric Hines

    Not through the MSM filter.

    • #86
  27. Mike H Inactive
    Mike H
    @MikeH

    Frank Soto:

    BrentB67:

    Frank Soto:

    BrentB67:

    Son of Spengler:

    BrentB67:

    My question is if he was speaking of having the House, Senate, and President Romney, why is the goal to only repeal 85% of the ACA.

    Because reconciliation only allows you to amend provisions of the ACA that have budget impact.

    I will trust you are correct, but this is part of the problem. It is always easier to defer to arcane procedures to protect big government than take risks to repeal it entirely.

    What risks?

    Associated with eliminating the filibuster.

    Okay, so let’s play this out as a general strategy, while acknowledging that Ryan is a member of the house, and has no say over Senate rules.

    There are good arguments on both sides of the issue of whether to eliminate the filibuster. Let’s say that Sal successfully convinces me (he came close) that we should ultimately do away with it.

    There is no question that you should wait to do so until you hold the house, senate, and the presidency. Doing so at any other moment is a waste as the democrats may well hold all three again before you do, and despite heated rhetoric from the right, they have largely obeyed it. We would potentially be untying their hands instead of our own. There is no upside to removing it while a democrat is president.

    There is also no upside to talking about doing it. You remove it like a band-aid. All at once, and then let the media cry themselves out after the fact, rather than give them a year or more to demonize ahead of time, creating cold feet in some members.

    Does Sal’s argument appear anywhere on Ricochet? Does he believe it would ultimately make the government somewhat more libertarian or for some other principled reason, or does he think the democrats are going to do it sometime anyway so we might as well do it strategically when it maximizes gains?

    • #87
  28. Frank Soto Member
    Frank Soto
    @FrankSoto

    ctlaw:

    Frank Soto: There is no upside to removing it while a democrat is president.

    It would more clearly focus the blame for things at the foot of the President.

    The media will simply portray every veto as heroic for stopping the Republicans from doing all manner of evil.

    It changes nothing fundamental about the coverage or narratives.  It is wishful thinking to believe otherwise.

    • #88
  29. Frank Soto Member
    Frank Soto
    @FrankSoto

    Mike H:

    Does Sal’s argument appear anywhere on Ricochet? Does he believe it would ultimately make the government somewhat more libertarian or for some other principled reason, or does he think the democrats are going to do it sometime anyway so we might as well do it strategically when it maximizes gains?

    He explained it to me on an AMU night cap.  Not sure if it’s in writing on Ricochet.

    He believes that a deadlocked congress leads to a runaway executive, which is ultimately a greater threat to liberty than congress.  That doesn’t do the argument justice, but it’s the gist of it.

    • #89
  30. Mike H Inactive
    Mike H
    @MikeH

    Frank Soto:

    Mike H:

    Does Sal’s argument appear anywhere on Ricochet? Does he believe it would ultimately make the government somewhat more libertarian or for some other principled reason, or does he think the democrats are going to do it sometime anyway so we might as well do it strategically when it maximizes gains?

    He explained it to me on an AMU night cap. Not sure if it’s in writing on Ricochet.

    He believes that a deadlocked congress leads to a runaway executive, which is ultimately a greater threat to liberty than congress. That doesn’t do the argument justice, but it’s the gist of it.

    Have you been on it recently? Maybe we should all jump on it tonight and dominate the conversation.

    • #90
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