3 Weeks from the Midterms, the Issues Are Breaking the GOP’s Way

 

The recent Harvard-Harris poll demonstrates the state of the midterms in three charts.



Price Increases/Inflation, Economy/Jobs, and Immigration are the three top issues for voters nationwide.

What issues do voters think Republican candidates are focused on? Immigration, Price Increases/Inflation, and Economy/Jobs. Exactly in line with voters’ concerns.

And what do they think Democrats are focused on? January 6, Women’s Rights, and Climate Change.

Ranking the issues voters care about, January 6 ranks 19th. Women’s Rights is 5th. Climate is 8th.

This is certainly true in the ad mix I’ve seen here in Arizona. The vast majority of ads promote Democrats, be they running for Governor, U.S. Senator, or the State Legislature. The spots are all-abortion, all the time. The only other messages are a few on Jan. 6, and Sen. Mark Kelly telling me he’s an astronaut — again.

Please note that most ads I’ve seen are on YouTube, apparently microtargeting me — a middle-aged married male with kids. Of all the issues my cohort votes on, protecting abortions at eight months and 29 days, are a non-starter. Also, about 10 percent of the ads are Spanish language; “Yo garantizo mas abortos! Soy un astronauta!”

Onda Roja is Spanish for “Red Wave.”

 

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  1. EJHill+ Podcaster
    EJHill+
    @EJHill

    Red Herring: Costa has been a big disappointment since he left NR. Perhaps he changed or perhaps I was fooled when he was at NR. Sat with him and his dad for lunch one day on a cruise and they seemed nice enough then. I gave up reading his stuff some time ago. 

    I don’t know if he was faking conservative leanings for a paycheck or not. But what he’s become is typical of “national” correspondents. You parachute in and start parroting whatever the campaign spin is. But being in Youngstown, Ohio is different from understanding Youngstown, Ohio. That’s why a Salena Zito saw the 2016 result coming when nobody else did.

    Political realignment is a harder trend to cover than conventional horse-race politics. It isn’t centered in the halls of power. It starts at the kitchen table, in the workplace and in the stands prior to the Friday night high school football game. The last people to find out are always the people who make or cover politics for their living.

     

     

    • #31
  2. Victor Tango Kilo Member
    Victor Tango Kilo
    @VtheK

    Bryan G. Stephens (View Comment):

    We will see. Even if it happens, will they do anything with it?

    We already know the answer. There will be hearings into FBI misconduct that will go nowhere and do nothing. There will still be funding of the $50 Billion-a-year Ukraine war to assuage the Military-Industrial Complex on the loss of the $50-Billion-a-year Afghan war. There will be omnibus budget packages – passed in the dead of night – that fully fund Biden’s priorities and will be declared ‘conservative victories.’

    All of this has happened before. All of this will happen again. Even if the Democrats mess up and forget to run the late-night “ballot” dump operations.

    • #32
  3. tigerlily Member
    tigerlily
    @tigerlily

    CACrabtree (View Comment):

    EJHill+ (View Comment):

    J.D. Vance and Tim Ryan were debating tonight in Youngstown. Here’s a pre-debate rally for Ryan:

    Photo: Robert Costa, CBSNews

    For you non-Buckeyes, Youngstown was built on coal, steel and the corruption of the Democratic Party. Coal and steel are dead and the Democratic Party isn’t feeling too good, either. Vance and Trump drew about 5,500 to the minor league hockey arena in town last month.

    Bob Costa, who used to write for National Review and now toils at CBS parachuted in to support Ryan. He tweeted out that the candidates were wooing “Rob Portman Republicans” and linked an Op-Ed endorsing Ryan by John Bridgeman, calling him Portman’s former Chief of Staff.

    Technically, that’s true. He was Portman’s COS in the House – 20 years ago. He’s a career Republican hanger-on and a life-long Virginian who probably couldn’t find find Youngstown on a map if his life depended on it. Moreover, I don’t know anyone other than, say Peter Robinson, would call themselves a “Rob Portman Republican,” and Peter doesn’t live in Ohio, either. Maybe Costa still believes that Bridgeman’s presence in the George W. Bush White House means something to the Ohioan who’s dropping $100 a week into his gas tank and $300 a week at the grocery store. Maybe he thinks Portman, who found his inner bi-partisan voice after announcing his retirement, holds a magical place in the hearts of us Buckeyes. It’s hard to find magic in bloated “infrastructure” bills that’s been instrumental in fueling inflation that’s reduced most pensioners’ 401Ks by 25% or more.

    Ryan has been fairly successful in avoiding any mention of his association with the mobbed-up James Traficant. I think he probably learned a great deal from him.

    At least Traficant had an engaging personality.

    • #33
  4. Red Herring Coolidge
    Red Herring
    @EHerring

    EJHill+ (View Comment):

    Red Herring: Costa has been a big disappointment since he left NR. Perhaps he changed or perhaps I was fooled when he was at NR. Sat with him and his dad for lunch one day on a cruise and they seemed nice enough then. I gave up reading his stuff some time ago.

    I don’t know if he was faking conservative leanings for a paycheck or not. But what he’s become is typical of “national” correspondents. You parachute in and start parroting whatever the campaign spin is. But being in Youngstown, Ohio is different from understanding Youngstown, Ohio. That’s why a Salena Zito saw the 2016 result coming when nobody else did.

    Political realignment is a harder trend to cover than conventional horse-race politics. It isn’t centered in the halls of power. It starts at the kitchen table, in the workplace and in the stands prior to the Friday night high school football game. The last people to find out are always the people who make or cover politics for their living.

     

     

    Zito’s book was excellent. It is easy to tell which pundits read it. Also, the Dem habit of calling Trump voters members of a cult insults many of their Dems who crossed over. 

    • #34
  5. Doug Watt Member
    Doug Watt
    @DougWatt

    Just make sure that you vote do not take anything for granted. Pay attention to the local candidates in your area as well. Grassroots include your school board, local sheriff, mayors, and city council candidates. Look for the (R) after a candidate’s name. If you have candidates that have not designated a political party find their website to find out what they say and what they’ve done.

    • #35
  6. Vance Richards Inactive
    Vance Richards
    @VanceRichards

    Yeah, but Pelosi says no one cares about money or the economy, it is the lust for infant blood that will deliver a huge victory for the Democrats.

    • #36
  7. Bunsen Coolidge
    Bunsen
    @Bunsen

    Metalheaddoc (View Comment):

    With such an exhaustive list of concerns, what the heck falls into the 2% Other?

    Alien (extraterrestrial, not border jumpers) abductions?

    Designated Hitter rule?

    Star Trek vs. Star Wars?

     

     

    Right Twix vs Left Twix? (putting aside Twix’s woke crap)

    Soda vs Pop?

     

    • #37
  8. CuriousKevmo Inactive
    CuriousKevmo
    @CuriousKevmo

    President Donald J. Trump (View Comment):

    Jon, you are an amazing guy with an amazing podcast and great taste in music, but you are burying the lede. That same poll showed that President Donald J. Trump is the most popular politician in America. Big league! 47% is nice. The number 47 is very nice (wink wink).

    https://theconservativetreehouse.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Harvard-Harris-Poll-Favored-Politician-10-17-22.jpg

    43% favorable for Slo-Joe???

    40% for heels???

    What the actual eff???

    • #38
  9. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    What to make of more Democrats than Republicans being concerned about “Political correctness/cancel culture?”  Is it just that one side is in favor and the other opposed? 

    • #39
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