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The Midterm ‘Red Wave: Too Good to Be True?
The GOP will lose the midterm elections. No way, you say? Read on.
The so-called conventional wisdom (an oxymoron if there ever was one) in the political scene these days is illustrated by just this morning’s small selection of headlines:
Mike Bloomberg says Democrats are heading for a ‘wipeout’ in the midterms if they don’t ‘correct course’ and admit schools were closed for too long during COVID
Democrats Are Making Life Too Easy for Republicans
Bloomberg Says Dems ‘headed for a wipeout’ in Mid-term Elections
There is an old reliable truism that goes something like this: “When something looks too good to be true, it usually is.” It was definitely a standby phrase in our law practice and I could not count the times we invoked that saying when considering amazingly positive developments in our cases, almost all of which proved to be illusory or downright false.
I was prompted to set down these thoughts by a note I received from a very good friend, Mike Walker, one of the finest and most professional attorneys ever to practice in Louisiana and one whose intellect and incisive analytical skills I greatly respect. Mike, who likes to use the nom de plume “Winston Smith”, a most appropriate one considering the surreal times we are living in, wrote the following, which I am quoting verbatim:
The recent action of New York City in allowing illegals to vote should worry every conservative, moderate, Republican or anyone who depends on the rule of law in this country. I am coming to believe that the Dems intend to place illegal aliens from the southern border in states whose electoral votes usually determine the outcome of national elections (Pa., Ariz., N.M., Mich., Ga., etc.). Those states’ democratic legislatures will enact, as NYC did, new laws right before the midterm elections, to allow illegal aliens or anyone else to vote without identification. Voila’, no more GOP presidential victories ever. While Biden’s attempt to enact legislation nationally to remove voter i.d. requirements has for the present failed, it is the states, not the national government, which currently regulate election law. There are many states currently under the control of liberal democrat governors and legislatures which would slavishly hew to the dictates of the national democratic party. The result is achievable in time for the midterms. I believe this will be attempted and is likely to succeed unless moderates and conservatives wake up and enact state laws requiring that only legal citizens with legal identification be allowed to vote. Remember, the entire 2020 election swung on 42,000 votes in 3 states. Getting that number of illegals in the right places is probably already a done deal. If due to last-minute changes to the states’ election laws they are allowed to vote (as happened in the last election), there’s no way a Republican ever gets elected again.
Tragically, it’s not likely that there enough Americans who are remotely aware of this or who give a damn.
Just sayin’,
Winston Smith
He added the following thought-provoking postscript:
Just coming to realize that the Dems want us to think that the elections are going to be a landslide for the GOP. What am I missing here?
A little far-fetched for your taste? Really? Was the election outcome in 2020 just a tad far-fetched? Would you have ever in your wildest dreams expected the widespread destruction wreaked on the great and stable America left by President Trump by this group of left-wing lunatics, lead by a dementia-stricken “President” and a “Vice-President” bereft of even normal intelligence? The blatantly unconstitutional imprisonment without trial of American citizens in that jurisprudential cesspool known as the District of Columbia, some of whom committed the “crime” of walking into what they thought was their Capitol Building? One of the worst and most disgraceful retreats in American history in Afghanistan? The literal disappearance of the Southern Border by virtue of this President’s abject violation of his oath to “protect and defend the Constitution of the United States”?
Admittedly, this is a tip-of-the-iceberg list, but we are all painfully familiar with the indignities inflicted on our beloved Nation by this Socialist/Marxist cabal, and Mike’s note brought into sharp focus a concern I have been experiencing for some time and one which is being noted more and more lately as doubts begin to show about all the celebratory euphoria with regard to the coming “landslide.” Such a concern is clearly evident in a piece by the estimable Victor Davis Hanson in a piece entitled “How America Became La La Land”, here, as follows:
What explains an America that suddenly no longer works?
First, all of these problems are self-induced. They did not exist until Biden birthed them for ideological or political reasons. Apparently, his administration wanted a changing, more favorable electorate and demography at any cost.
Just like all Americans who are thoroughly disgusted and ashamed by the actions of this worst-Administration-in-American History, I am thrilled by all these wonderful polls coming out showing how we are absolutely, positively guaranteed to flip the House and that we have a fair to good chance of taking the Senate and how we really, really this time have the Loons on the run. It’s all so wonderful to hear.
But….
Is it too good to be true?
Published in General
It’s interesting that the Dims are already putting the Ohio and Pennsylvania Senate races in the “W” column. (Coming from the WH today)
Yeah, Biden and his handlers may be whistling past the graveyard but, here in Ohio, I’m getting a bit uneasy. Because of the downright nasty campaigning by the Republicans, I’m wondering if they’re going to have their normal circular firing squad when the general election happens. It’s not without precedent.
What inflation? What can Biden do about a Putin inflation and energy prices. We will just have to get used to the new norm.
You heard it here first: The Republicans are going to win back both the US House and the US Senate.
Mid-term elections are usually bad for the party that controls the White House. There are a few exceptions, but not many.
You put Chris Christy in charge of helping the red States with redistricting.
The last time there was a mid-term election with a Democrat in the White House, 2014, the GOP retained control over the US House and took control over the US Senate (just in time for Mitch McConnell to block Merrick Garland from being elevated to the US Supreme Court to replace Antonin Scalia).
The prior time there was a mid-term election with a Democrat in the White House, 2010, the GOP took control over the US House and gained a net of 6 US Senate seats.
So, generally speaking, when a political party has the White House, they do badly in the mid-term elections. If anything, given inflation and just the general unpopularity of Biden, it’s going to be a worse than average election for the “in” party (the party that controls the White House) this year.
that’s what Jimmy Carter tried to tell us circa 1979 – it didn’t work
Don’t underestimate the ability of lots of people to Amber Heard (i.e., poop) their own bed. I’ve mentioned before, I had neighbors in Phoenix and still do have family members, whose attitude comes down to “Wow, the Democrats have really made a mess! We have to elect more Democrats to fix it!” And they will almost certainly vote Democrat again this year.
Oh, the Democrats will have millions of people voting for them this November. Even Jimmy Carter had millions of people voting for him in 1980.
It’s just that those votes will be overwhelmed by votes for Republicans in most areas of the country.
Put it this way: Did anyone here predict that the San Fransisco school board would get successfully recalled? I sure didn’t. Did anyone here predict that an ex-cop would win the mayor’s race in New York city? I sure didn’t.
That new New York mayor isn’t working out quite as well as I’d hoped.
No s—.
But I guess we can’t expect another Giuliani in one go.
Here’s a few more “did anyone predicts” in addition to those sketched out in Paragraph 7 of my post–did anyone predict that in the face of all the storm flags flying about the economy, the Biden “Administration” would proceed to print money like drunken sailors giving us the worst inflation in 40 years? That we would have a “President’ who literally cannot form an entire sentence and has no idea where he is half (most?) of the time? (see, e.g., our “President” being told where to go by the Easter Bunny)? That we would wind up with a Vice President who is borderline non compos mentis herself? That we would experience voter fraud so finely tuned and organized that it was not only wildly “successful”, in that it resulted in the election of the worst, most dishonest, most corrupt “President” in history but that its machinations would be reported in detail – and proudly!- by a major national publication, Time? That one of the major big tech platforms had amassed so much power that they quite probably swung the election to their favored candidate by pressing a few keys on an electronic mechanism, keeping the public from knowing about the deep rot of the Biden Crime Family documented (and with pictures, no less!) ? That we would see the Rule of Law disregarded so disdainfully and with such contempt by an administration? That we would see a Justice (?) Department so thoroughly politicized that it would mount a national assault on the free speech rights of -among others- parents taking an active interest in their children’s education? Did anyone predict, indeed! There is so much more…….
Yes. But with the San Fransisco school board and the New York City mayor’s race, we are talking about ultra-deep blue areas of the country and even they are showing signs of discontent with the hard-left bs.
It ain’t looking good for the Donks right now.
Even during times of peace and prosperity, the party that holds the White House usually gets kicked in the teeth by the voters during a mid-term election. But what with inflation as high as it has been since the 1970s and with crime as high as it has been in almost that long, the Democrats are very likely to get booted out of power.
Then all eyes will be on the 2024 Republican candidates for president. It’s not clear if Trump is a lock to be the GOP nominee in 2024 or if someone new, like Ron DeSantis, is going to win the nomination.
You mean, the GOP primary choice might be between Literally Hitler and Literally Hitler?
Decisions, decisions…
I want Ron. Younger & more vigorous. I also think Trump blew the 2020 election — if he had had some discipline, he would have won beyond the margin of fraud.
I don’t know, 81 million “votes” is a pretty big margin of fraud.
Yeah… he increased his numbers in total and across every demographic. I seriously think anyone who expects more than that is out to lunch.
According to Ben Shapiro Trump lost a few percent among two demographics: 1) College-educated white soy-boys, and 2) Senile old farts terrified of Covid. He gained in some key groups who are usually less than enthusiastic about repubs.
*cough*Gary*cough*
Did K. Harris really says this?
Space! It’s up there. Also the space between us. That precious space that both separates and connects us all. We all have spaces that we inhabit. And we all have spaces within us. Empty spaces. We need to explore each others’ spaces. That’s what’s so great about us, is when we come together as a people united. In space. And time. That’s the final frontier. Ghaagh, haa, ha, ha, haaah!
That may not be 100% verbatim, but it’s pretty close.
What is that favorite lefty standard? “Fake, but accurate?”
And as long as we’re talking Star Trek:
Ghagh.
I’m for DeSantis too. One quibble – while I do hold PDT responsible for losing, I don’t think it was possible to beat the margin of fraud in that election. Look how closely they trimmed the late night dumps – Biden carried GA by 11,000 iirc.
But he should have seen the theft coming and not been blindsided. We know the left are thieves and liars, and that they’ll steal and lie to the limit that’s available. We hired a brash loudmouthed not-a-politician because the left are liars and thieves. He wasn’t up to it.
I’m not saying it was an easy job, but that’s the job. DJT can’t do it. Next candidate, please.
I seem to recall that Trump people tried to stop at least some of the fraud, before November 2020, but they were dismissed because they had no “standing.” i.e., “too early,” because no “damage” had yet occurred. Then after the damage was done, they were dismissed as “moot.” i.e., “too late.”
They tried. That’s nice. When a person takes an executive job, he has a mission to execute. That’s what the word means. A line worker might be able to get by, if they do all the right things and the production line still fouls up. But if the Chief Executive can’t get it done, no matter why not, then we need a new one.
Sometimes reality creeps in. I remember turning down a project management job on the grounds that, given the operational constraints, no one could succeed. Some time later I was told that “Tom” had taken on the job that I was afraid to take. All I could say was, “I wish him success.”
Two months later I asked the same source how it was going and he said, “Well, Tom left.” Why? The answer was, “Tom said, ‘Given the operational constraints, success was not possible.'”
Since these examples you cite occurred, Democrat vote fraud capabilities have expanded exponentially. Don’t count your boobies before they hatch.
Part of the problem is that, unlike Biden, Trump actually followed court rulings.
The other part of the problem is lousy courts/judges.
We don’t have the option to leave and go elsewhere. If success wasn’t possible within the constraints that faced PDT, then we have to try someone else.
The margin of fraud was a floating fix. You need 20 million more votes? You got ’em. And even the same people would be saying that the election was the nicest, cleanest, fairest and most honest they’ve ever known in their life. And the courts would be playing their judicial laches/ standing/ mootness/ no-harm-no-foul (the fraud wouldn’t have changed the results) and ignoring any Constitutional violations cards anyway.
But only Trump has the intuitive far-sighted international relations and negotiations chops. And any second-tier Trump-like candidate would face the same hostile Press, domestic judicial and congressional obstructionism, frame-ups and impeachments, and State Dept. and 5-Eyes extortion.
No one else has been prepared for it all like Trump who’s actually been through it and can micro-analyze the actual legal, political and PR conflicts first hand. Everyone else, even DeSantis would be Monday morning quarterbacking and learning the game while he was playing.
I mean the most stinging yet nonsensical complaint against Trump is that he didn’t fight hard enough in legislatures and in the courts for a fair election beforehand in the lead up to the election. But is any Republican candidate capable of doing any better in the run-up to 2024? If the law isn’t being decided fairly or legally with Trump, what candidate can make it work for his run?