President Neville Biden

 

Does President Joe Biden’s team not see that they are doing exactly what Neville Chamberlain did 83 years ago? They are reported to be ready to hand over territory of Ukraine, a secondary ally, to Russia President Vladimir Putin, a weak international thug. But doing so will show the hollowness of the Western alliance.

https://dailycaller.com/2021/12/09/biden-russia-ukraine-putin/

Obviously, we will not go to war with Russia over Ukraine. But Russia also cannot afford to go to war with the West over Ukraine because it would lose and because it would do enormous damage to its economy. It is willing to fight Ukraine but not to stumble into a war with NATO. Neither side knows for sure what action will trigger war, but each side bluffs about how tough it will be, so each has to be careful not to take a step that would be the war trigger. Neither knows where the other’s line is, so it is possible to stumble into a war when neither side wants it. So there is a lot that the U.S. and its allies can do to deter Russia short of war because they don’t want war with us either.

But Biden has given up the bluff already. He has made it clear that we will not fight if Russia takes some Ukrainian territory. Russia can guess that the action that would trigger war is actually less than what we have already revealed. So it can demand even more.

Putin is a master chess player. He has a weak hand, although not as weak as it was a decade ago. He’s already gotten away with taking Crimea and forcing Donetsk and Luhansk into an ambiguous status. Taking another big chunk or all of Ukraine will make him a major threat and embolden him further. This is the time to stop him, before he becomes too powerful. Smart chess playing by the U.S. administration could stop him without war.

Dementia Joe, or whoever is actually calling the shots, has already given up the game. Instead of at Munich, the appeasement happened on Zoom.

Published in Foreign Policy
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There are 34 comments.

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  1. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    MiMac (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Steve Fast (View Comment):
    Putin wants a cheap foreign victory because he has to keep tamping down internal dissent by showing himself to be the strong lion. He also has a relatively weak economy. But he is a master strategist who knows how to keep his opponents off balance and win cheap victories.

    This is a good summary.

    I wouldn’t call him a master strategist- he is only out foxing Biden & Obama. Out thinking them is like being the tallest pygmy-you are still not a giant. But, in the land of the blind the one eye man shall be king…

    True. More like a master opportunist than a master strategist.  

    • #31
  2. Steve C. Member
    Steve C.
    @user_531302

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    MiMac (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    Steve Fast (View Comment):
    Putin wants a cheap foreign victory because he has to keep tamping down internal dissent by showing himself to be the strong lion. He also has a relatively weak economy. But he is a master strategist who knows how to keep his opponents off balance and win cheap victories.

    This is a good summary.

    I wouldn’t call him a master strategist- he is only out foxing Biden & Obama. Out thinking them is like being the tallest pygmy-you are still not a giant. But, in the land of the blind the one eye man shall be king…

    True. More like a master opportunist than a master strategist.

    Putin has an advantage. He knows his goals and he knows his capabilities. Biden can’t see Putin’s hole card(s) and his every action is subject to public scrutiny and approval. Like Chamberlain, and most conventional politicians, Biden will choose the course of action with the least risk. Even if, objectively, the course of action is sub optimal. Putin has high confidence the West won’t risk war over the Donbas.

    • #32
  3. BDB Inactive
    BDB
    @BDB

    Putin is no piker.  This arch-dictator has been in charge of Russia since 1999.  He has more than a decade on Winnie the Pooh in China.  American perfidy in dealing with him have left our allies in a shaky position.  It would take a strong American leader like Reagan OR EVEN TRUMP to reassure anybody that our help would actually be helpful, and we are fresh out of that stuff.

    No Boots On Ground.

    • #33
  4. Victor Tango Kilo Member
    Victor Tango Kilo
    @VtheK

    Arthur Beare (View Comment):

    But Neville went home and built Spitfires. Lots of Spitfires.

    And Biden is building CRT and inclusive pronoun usage. 

    • #34
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