Ricochet is the best place on the internet to discuss the issues of the day, either through commenting on posts or writing your own for our active and dynamic community in a fully moderated environment. In addition, the Ricochet Audio Network offers over 50 original podcasts with new episodes released every day.
Things Are Heating Up in the South China Sea
I believe that we will be in a war with China within a decade. I think that its best bet is to wait for our inevitable sectarian civil war. However, Biden is clearly so compromised, and there are such clear ties to China, I think maybe the time is now. When you add in things like Evergrande failing, maybe China has to move now.
And why not go for the brass ring and attack Taiwan?
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10063171/China-warns-World-War-Three-triggered-time.html
China is an evil nation, run by evil people, that does evil things. We should stand against it.
But evil people in our nation want all the money they can get.
Published in Foreign Policy
Not sure that would work. they would not have a visa to be here unless (a) there were already vetted for ideological deviance and (b) they had family that would effectively be hostages. Or worse, they might be potential democracy lovers but time spent at a US university would horrify them into thinking the West is a basket case.
The Russo-Japanese war is the first historical analogy that comes to me. Of course for that to work you need a target that allows you to pick up an easy win, or at least that’s the idea.
I fully support this condition. LOL!
Yeah
That is a possibility, but has some major drawbacks. The first one is that invasion of Taiwan has a patina of legitimacy since China’s stated goal has been to reunite it with the mainland.
The second major problem is that projecting their force that far exposes them significantly more than just to Taiwan. In fact, Taiwan would be in a unique space to threaten their supply lines both by sea and air with their air power.
Agree on this, also sell them Aegis systems for their navy, and Patriot missiles for air defense.
Maybe, that deal has be good for the US. On the other hand, enacting a trade deal just with Taiwan might be easy to accomplish.
Well, we can trace that back to the 90s, but it wasn’t like the UK was going to war with China over HK back then. We certainly missed the opportunity to offer a more full throated support and even get the UN involved and force China to use their Security Council veto.
We might need to limit or even end Chinese student visas completely. It has been reported that many of the visas that were to supposedly regular students, were to CCP children. Until we can get a handle on that, and honestly how can one trust the Chinese to not lie, we need to greatly curtail their access.
Maybe, see my response to #4.
Perhaps we should look at moving the home port of much of Seventh Fleet in Taiwan as opposed to Sasebo even if its just temporary. I’d also move USAF and potentially ground troops to Taiwan. That places them directly in a location to quickly defend Taiwan if needed as well as making it clear that the US will fight to defend Taiwan. Well, except that we have Biden as President and we know he is willing to cut and run at the drop of a hat.
“What this country needs is a short, victorious War to stem the tide of revolution” – Vyacheslav Konstantinovich von Plehve
Do you think they hope to succeed, or go out in a blaze of glory?
I suspect the Argentine Junta thought along the same lines in the early ’80s.
Argentina had to deal with Thatcher. And Reagan. China only has to deal with Biden.
This guy agrees: “Why China is so Dangerous.”
It could work, but China could just recruit them later and return them home.
I didn’t know of Paul Monk, but as the former head of China analysis for the Australian Department of Defence* he is definitely worth listening to.
* Aussies spell funny. I blame the pommies.
Worth viewing. More optimistic than I am.
Need some optimism.