Life During Wartime

Settle in, shelter-in-placers, we’ve got another super-sized (and shall we say, impassioned) edition of the Ricochet Podcast. In addition to the robust debaters, we’ve got Deb Saunders (self-quarantined from an undisclosed location) and Arthur Brooks who provides some much needed optimism in these dark days.

Music from this week’s show: Life During Wartime by Talking Heads

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  1. Miffed White Male Member
    Miffed White Male
    @MiffedWhiteMale

    ericB (View Comment):
    Eventually there needs to be a different solution that bends down the curve (slows spread) through testing and selective quarantine, even while people are working.

    Isolate the people at high risk, and let everyone else be productive.

     

    • #91
  2. JuliaBlaschke Lincoln
    JuliaBlaschke
    @JuliaBlaschke

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    When you start the isolation period there are already plenty of people already infected that will create herd immunity. It’s like 80% that don’t get that screwed up. When you get over 14 days the sick people manifest (many of the spreaders) and then you isolate them. 

    You can argue about how you do it, but that is the theory.

    I hope the theory is right.

    • #92
  3. Lois Lane Coolidge
    Lois Lane
    @LoisLane

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    When you start the isolation period there are already plenty of people already infected that will create herd immunity. It’s like 80% that don’t get that screwed up. When you get over 14 days the sick people manifest (many of the spreaders) and then you isolate them. 

    You can argue about how you do it, but that is the theory.

    I don’t think there are nearly enough for a herd of 330 million, but sure.  Maybe in NY, San Francisco, Seattle.  

    • #93
  4. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    Lois Lane (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    When you start the isolation period there are already plenty of people already infected that will create herd immunity. It’s like 80% that don’t get that screwed up. When you get over 14 days the sick people manifest (many of the spreaders) and then you isolate them.

    You can argue about how you do it, but that is the theory.

    I don’t think there are nearly enough for a herd of 330 million, but sure. Maybe in NY, San Francisco, Seattle.

    The curves get bent. This is not arguable. The only issue is when you do it and how long. Nobody knows.

    Representative chip Roy keeps talking about this date certain thing. I think he’s right. They should have said three weeks and we are done no matter what until the fall or the winter. That would’ve been the best combination of health and economic considerations.

     

    • #94
  5. Lois Lane Coolidge
    Lois Lane
    @LoisLane

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Lois Lane (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    When you start the isolation period there are already plenty of people already infected that will create herd immunity. It’s like 80% that don’t get that screwed up. When you get over 14 days the sick people manifest (many of the spreaders) and then you isolate them.

    You can argue about how you do it, but that is the theory.

    I don’t think there are nearly enough for a herd of 330 million, but sure. Maybe in NY, San Francisco, Seattle.

    The curves get bent. This is not arguable. The only issue is when you do it and how long. Nobody knows.

    Representative chip Roy keeps talking about this date certain thing. I think he’s right. They should have said three weeks and we are done no matter what until the fall or the winter. That would’ve been the best combination of health and economic considerations.

     

    I support that.  I mean, I think people think that people who hold my position about the economy don’t want to do anything.  That’s not the case.  I am absolutely fine with the short term drastic shut down to flatten the curve and let our medical system actually prepare.  I am also, of course, practicing social distancing.  There just needs to be some sort of “certain date” for the other considerations the society must also have.  It just can’t be indefinite.  

    • #95
  6. ericB Lincoln
    ericB
    @ericB

    TallCon (View Comment):
    Why would you not call it the China Virus!?!

    That is the better question.  (Should we apologize to West Nile?  Or Spanish flu?  Or MERS = Middle East Respitory Syndrome)

    Perhaps one reason to not prefer “China” is because there may be more than one China virus (due to the prime conditions they tolerate for viruses jumping from bats and other animals to humans).  So as to leave room for other Chinese viruses without confusion, perhaps the “Wuhan” coronavirus would be better.

    Plus, there is plenty of media precedent for calling it the “Wuhan” coronavirus.  I recommend following either of these two finely crafted links and watching about a 2.5 minute excerpt from

    The Leftist Flu | The Andrew Klavan Show Ep. 863
    starting at 14:57, either

    At The Daily Wire
    or
    at Andrew Klavan

    Watch at least until the montage about 1.5 minutes after introducing the controversy.  Quite enjoyable and not to be missed.

    p.s. Andrew Klavan offers some other name options of his own!

    • #96
  7. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    Lois Lane (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Lois Lane (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    When you start the isolation period there are already plenty of people already infected that will create herd immunity. It’s like 80% that don’t get that screwed up. When you get over 14 days the sick people manifest (many of the spreaders) and then you isolate them.

    You can argue about how you do it, but that is the theory.

    I don’t think there are nearly enough for a herd of 330 million, but sure. Maybe in NY, San Francisco, Seattle.

    The curves get bent. This is not arguable. The only issue is when you do it and how long. Nobody knows.

    Representative chip Roy keeps talking about this date certain thing. I think he’s right. They should have said three weeks and we are done no matter what until the fall or the winter. That would’ve been the best combination of health and economic considerations.

     

    I support that. I mean, I think people think that people who hold my position about the economy don’t want to do anything. That’s not the case. I am absolutely fine with the short term drastic shut down to flatten the curve and let our medical system actually prepare. I am also, of course, practicing social distancing. There just needs to be some sort of “certain date” for the other considerations the society must also have. It just can’t be indefinite.

    I think the best thing would have been three weeks / date certain, and then just be really brutally honest about the fact that we will just suck it up if it doesn’t work.  People could make personal and business decisions much better under those conditions. Credit would be easier to analyze. The government would have more time to figure out intelligent stimulus.

     

     

     

    • #97
  8. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Lois Lane (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Lois Lane (View Comment):
    I’m glad you concede that a dead economy can lead to death now. :)

    That wasn’t my point at all. I meant, economy shut down forever, or everybody dies FROM THE VIRUS.

    Per the most wild of all predictions, that’s not the case. You’re starting to sound like the climate change people per the apocalyptic predictions. ;)

    But I say po-tay-to and you say po-tot-to.

    We can agree that both of us are aware there’s a big problem on the American plate: a giant spud o’ some kind of bad.

    Well, there are people who claim that shutting down the economy for even a few weeks ends up destroying it “forever.”  The full opposite of that would seem to be the virus killing EVERYONE.

    • #98
  9. Wolfsheim Member
    Wolfsheim
    @Wolfsheim

    I would not be too hasty in praising South Korea for self-discipline or concern for public health. It has been many years since I have been there, though I live just across the sea in Japan. European friends, first-time visitors, have reported remarkably clean facilities. Such, however, was certainly not the case when I resided there many decades ago. Back then, awareness of ordinary sanitation measures was beyond dismal. I shall spare you any description of the various ailments that everyone simply took for granted and stoically endured. South Koreans are at best recent converts, clearly influenced, though they are loath to admit it, by their hated island neighbors, who have long been known, as they themselves self-deprecatingly acknowledge, for their keppeki-shou (mysophobia).

    • #99
  10. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Annefy (View Comment):

    Jeez. Just started this and haven’t scanned the comments.

    Okay. Now I’m done and I scanned the first page – more than enough, thank you very much.

    As I listened, I was making notes in my head of all the things said that I wanted to respond to. Which I’ve decided not to do.

    I’m in California. I have six adult children (counting in laws) that have have been deeply effected by the shut down. As have my husband and I.

    And I found @PeterRobinson’s attitude and comments to be unhelpful to the point of obnoxiousness. And I’m glad you weren’t at my dinner table or cocktail party.

    What a profound disappointment. How about a little of : we’re all in this together?

    I’m not sure if what the government has decided to do is correct or not. And I don’t know if it will work. And I don’t know what would happen if they didn’t take such draconian measures. And you know what? Neither do you.

    For anyone who has time to listen to podcasts, I recommend Scott Adams, who is Periscoping twice a day. We are living in trying times. I am choosing to spend my listening time with people who are smart, well informed and optimistic.

    PS Arthur Brooks was terrific.

    As I posted earlier, I thought Peter sounded oddly obsessed with his children not getting great jobs right out of school, because of “the virus.”  Poor dears.  Things were far worse due to President Carter.

    • #100
  11. Samuel Block Support
    Samuel Block
    @SamuelBlock

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Also, peter seems sadly obsessed with the issue that his children can’t get high-end jobs right out of school. Welcome to the every-day world of many other people, peter and children! A lot of people had to deal with that for YEARS, not simply weeks or even months, just because Jimmy Carter was president!

    That seems unfair. I don’t see why Mr. Robinson’s concerns should be viewed as especially self-interested when compared to anyone else’s. The costs in these latest decisions are not limited to deaths. 

    Swipes at his concern for how this might effect young people seem like they’re in line with the way leftists have argued against “blood for oil” or suggestions that rich people are given undeserved medical attention.

    Everyone can’t be fully accommodated. Let’s not pretend that differences of opinion here are the based on who cares about people versus who doesn’t.

    • #101
  12. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Samuel Block (View Comment):

    BillJackson (View Comment):

    Disappointing start to the podcast @peterrobinson

    There are plenty of outlets I can go to where I can listen to disrespectful, angry speaking, interrupting and general mocking of others. That is not what I turn to ricochet for.

    This is not to say I take @roblong to have the correct view … but then I can’t say whether I think he’s right or wrong because he kept being interrupted.

    Such a shame.

    There are a lot of implicit insults in political debates. I think one of the biggest issues in contemporary politics is that a lot of people sit out of the conflict because fighting seems undignified to them.

    That is a shame.

    That sounds like giving the stink-eye to @jameslileks since he remained quiet until the promo.

    • #102
  13. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    ericB (View Comment):
    ericB

    TallCon (View Comment):
    Why would you not call it the China Virus!?!

    That is the better question. (Should we apologize to West Nile? Or Spanish flu? Or MERS = Middle East Respitory Syndrome)

    Perhaps one reason to not prefer “China” is because there may be more than one China virus (due to the prime conditions they tolerate for viruses jumping from bats and other animals to humans). So as to leave room for other Chinese viruses without confusion, perhaps the “Wuhan” coronavirus would be better.

    “Chinese Wuhan Red Death” would seem to address those concerns.

    • #103
  14. Samuel Block Support
    Samuel Block
    @SamuelBlock

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Samuel Block (View Comment):

    BillJackson (View Comment):

    Disappointing start to the podcast @peterrobinson

    There are plenty of outlets I can go to where I can listen to disrespectful, angry speaking, interrupting and general mocking of others. That is not what I turn to ricochet for.

    This is not to say I take @roblong to have the correct view … but then I can’t say whether I think he’s right or wrong because he kept being interrupted.

    Such a shame.

    There are a lot of implicit insults in political debates. I think one of the biggest issues in contemporary politics is that a lot of people sit out of the conflict because fighting seems undignified to them.

    That is a shame.

    That sounds like giving the stink-eye to @jameslileks since he remained quiet until the promo.

    No. I’ve said before that this podcast would get along just fine if it were just James, Peter, and Rob. If that seems too bare, it’d suffice to have a single guest on each show, but, as it is, it’s an inevitability that one of the three is going to have to take the back seat on occasion. 

    My suspicion is that regular listeners would rather cut out a guest – I’d have enjoyed more of James this week – but if not, one of the big three will have to take the backseat, and I appreciate James’s tact in this episode.

    • #104
  15. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Samuel Block (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Also, peter seems sadly obsessed with the issue that his children can’t get high-end jobs right out of school. Welcome to the every-day world of many other people, peter and children! A lot of people had to deal with that for YEARS, not simply weeks or even months, just because Jimmy Carter was president!

    That seems unfair. I don’t see why Mr. Robinson’s concerns should be viewed as especially self-interested when compared to anyone else’s. The costs in these latest decisions are not limited to deaths.

    Swipes at his concern for how this might effect young people seem like they’re in line with the way leftists have argued against “blood for oil” or suggestions that rich people are given undeserved medical attention.

    Everyone can’t be fully accommodated. Let’s not pretend that differences of opinion here are the based on who cares about people versus who doesn’t.

    My point was more like, why be… exceptionally?… upset about this being caused by a virus that actually kills people, versus when it’s just because of some stupid President’s stupid policies?  And that’s likely to last at least FOUR YEARS!!!  I was up to my 20s during the Carter years, so not just hearing stories at grandma’s knee or whatever, and it felt like everyone expected things like high unemployment and high interest rates to go on forever.

    Maybe it is (mostly) just me, but it sounded like Peter thought employers have an OBLIGATION to answer the phone, and to hire people like his children, “no matter what.”  Or at least that they automatically would, but for the virus.  But Governor “Hair Gel” Newsom (I read someone use that yesterday) more or less tells them not to.  And that makes Peter mad.

    Someone commented elsewhere that people might have gotten too used to the idea that good health is an automatic human right.  It may be that people have also gotten too used to the idea of a great job being similar.

    • #105
  16. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Samuel Block (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Samuel Block (View Comment):

    BillJackson (View Comment):

    Disappointing start to the podcast @peterrobinson

    There are plenty of outlets I can go to where I can listen to disrespectful, angry speaking, interrupting and general mocking of others. That is not what I turn to ricochet for.

    This is not to say I take @roblong to have the correct view … but then I can’t say whether I think he’s right or wrong because he kept being interrupted.

    Such a shame.

    There are a lot of implicit insults in political debates. I think one of the biggest issues in contemporary politics is that a lot of people sit out of the conflict because fighting seems undignified to them.

    That is a shame.

    That sounds like giving the stink-eye to @jameslileks since he remained quiet until the promo.

    No. I’ve said before that this podcast would get along just fine if it were just James, Peter, and Rob. If that seems too bare, it’d suffice to have a single guest on each show, but, as it is, it’s an inevitability that one of the three is going to have to take the back seat on occasion.

    My suspicion is that regular listeners would rather cut out a guest – I’d have enjoyed more of James this week – but if not, one of the big three will have to take the backseat, and I appreciate James’s tact in this episode.

    Okay, fair enough, so the problem you’re pointing out is more like the GOP people – or especially the “leadership” – “at large” who won’t fight back against the slime tactics of the Dems because they don’t think it’s dignified.

    But at least “That’s How We Got Trump.” :-)

    • #106
  17. Samuel Block Support
    Samuel Block
    @SamuelBlock

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Samuel Block (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Also, peter seems sadly obsessed with the issue that his children can’t get high-end jobs right out of school. Welcome to the every-day world of many other people, peter and children! A lot of people had to deal with that for YEARS, not simply weeks or even months, just because Jimmy Carter was president!

    That seems unfair. I don’t see why Mr. Robinson’s concerns should be viewed as especially self-interested when compared to anyone else’s. The costs in these latest decisions are not limited to deaths.

    Swipes at his concern for how this might effect young people seem like they’re in line with the way leftists have argued against “blood for oil” or suggestions that rich people are given undeserved medical attention.

    Everyone can’t be fully accommodated. Let’s not pretend that differences of opinion here are the based on who cares about people versus who doesn’t.

    My point was more like, why be… exceptionally?… upset about this being caused by a virus that actually kills people, versus when it’s just because of some stupid President’s stupid policies? And that’s likely to last at least FOUR YEARS!!! I was up to my 20s during the Carter years, so not just hearing stories at grandma’s knee or whatever, and it felt like everyone expected things like high unemployment and high interest rates to go on forever.

    Maybe it is (mostly) just me, but it sounded like Peter thought employers have an OBLIGATION to answer the phone, and to hire people like his children, “no matter what.” But Governor “Hair Gel” Newsom (I read someone use that yesterday) more or less tells them not to. And that makes Peter mad.

    I think he was just using his personal experience as exhibit A in his case that this might be (as many of us believe it is) an overreaction. 

    The overhaul of the economy in this instance seems to be consistent with FDR’s takeover in the 1930s. I think he was mistaken, and caused a lot more harm than he alleviated. I could be wrong, but that is what I believe…

    I’ve literally – personally – bothered Peter with what could be described as frivolous fan mail, and I’ve gotten responses from the man. I think his point is that these trends are likely the result of crippling insecurity. When people know they’re fully staffed, they generally respond to applicants with a polite acknowledgement.

    I think he’s correct that people are freaking out. Maybe he’s wrong about the seriousness of this pandemic, but he isn’t any less concerned for the fate of humanity than those who think all precautions are necessary precautions; in fact, I’d say he’s more consistent with the beliefs he has heretofore espoused than most have been.

    • #107
  18. Annefy Member
    Annefy
    @Annefy

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Samuel Block (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Also, peter seems sadly obsessed with the issue that his children can’t get high-end jobs right out of school. Welcome to the every-day world of many other people, peter and children! A lot of people had to deal with that for YEARS, not simply weeks or even months, just because Jimmy Carter was president!

    That seems unfair. I don’t see why Mr. Robinson’s concerns should be viewed as especially self-interested when compared to anyone else’s. The costs in these latest decisions are not limited to deaths.

    Swipes at his concern for how this might effect young people seem like they’re in line with the way leftists have argued against “blood for oil” or suggestions that rich people are given undeserved medical attention.

    Everyone can’t be fully accommodated. Let’s not pretend that differences of opinion here are the based on who cares about people versus who doesn’t.

    My point was more like, why be… exceptionally?… upset about this being caused by a virus that actually kills people, versus when it’s just because of some stupid President’s stupid policies? And that’s likely to last at least FOUR YEARS!!! I was up to my 20s during the Carter years, so not just hearing stories at grandma’s knee or whatever, and it felt like everyone expected things like high unemployment and high interest rates to go on forever.

    Maybe it is (mostly) just me, but it sounded like Peter thought employers have an OBLIGATION to answer the phone, and to hire people like his children, “no matter what.” Or at least that they automatically would, but for the virus. But Governor “Hair Gel” Newsom (I read someone use that yesterday) more or less tells them not to. And that makes Peter mad.

    Someone commented elsewhere that people might have gotten too used to the idea that good health is an automatic human right. It may be that people have also gotten too used to the idea of a great job being similar.

    I have to say that @peterrobinsons level of detail and complaint stuck in my craw. 

    My son in-law came home over a week ago having aged 10 years in one day. Want to hear about my three sons? My daughter with two small children and a dry cough ? My grandkids? My friend the nurse, who is taking his clothes off in the driveway and sleeping separate from his husband ?

    No detail requires. Because #weareallinthistogether  

    Let’s buck the #%%% up 

    • #108
  19. Steven Iverson Member
    Steven Iverson
    @stevenIverson

    Not a fan of Dr Fauci like these guys. He’s wrong about no proven effective treatment for virus.

    He’s also a big Hillary Clinton admirer and a deep stater.

     

    https://www.dailywire.com/news/french-peer-reviewed-study-our-treatment-cured-100-of-coronavirus-patients?ref=hvper.com

    https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/03/anthony_fauci_the_nihs_face_of_the_coronavirus_is_a_deepstate_hillary_clintonloving_stooge.html

    • #109
  20. Samuel Block Support
    Samuel Block
    @SamuelBlock

    Annefy (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    My point was more like, why be… exceptionally?… upset about this being caused by a virus that actually kills people, versus when it’s just because of some stupid President’s stupid policies? And that’s likely to last at least FOUR YEARS!!! I was up to my 20s during the Carter years, so not just hearing stories at grandma’s knee or whatever, and it felt like everyone expected things like high unemployment and high interest rates to go on forever.

    Maybe it is (mostly) just me, but it sounded like Peter thought employers have an OBLIGATION to answer the phone, and to hire people like his children, “no matter what.” Or at least that they automatically would, but for the virus. But Governor “Hair Gel” Newsom (I read someone use that yesterday) more or less tells them not to. And that makes Peter mad.

    Someone commented elsewhere that people might have gotten too used to the idea that good health is an automatic human right. It may be that people have also gotten too used to the idea of a great job being similar.

    I have to say that @peterrobinsons level of detail and complaint stuck in my craw.

    My son in-law came home over a week ago having aged 10 years in one day. Want to hear about my three sons? My daughter with two small children and a dry cough ? My grandkids? My friend the nurse, who is taking his clothes off in the driveway and sleeping separate from his husband ?

    No detail requires. Because #weareallinthistogether

    Let’s buck the #%%% up

    I don’t disagree, but my faith in bureaucracy hasn’t changed much from what it was before I heard of CoViD-19. Even with the measures I’ve taken, I can’t help but wonder whether I’ve actually nipped it in the bud, or, you know, just “done something” for the sake of doing something. 

    We’re always technically in it together, but, as a Ricochetti who comes from a liberal background, I don’t get the sense that most here have considered the American left as part of “us,” even if I haven’t ruled them out. 

    Why? 

    Well because they’ve taken virtually every stance that we consider dead-wrong. In this case, I don’t think the people I disagree with are not of my tribe, I just think they’re wrong about the measures that will help. 

    Same argument, different day. 

    • #110
  21. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    I thought this was a good discussion about the drug they keep talking about. It sounds like they know quite a bit with statistical analysis and historical experience without even doing a clinical trial. Start at 21: 00. Three minutes.

     

    The whole interview of that doctor was very good. 

    • #111
  22. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    I would also like to point out that “wanting the president to succeed” is different now when it comes to stopping coronavirus, than when people said everyone should “want the president to succeed” when Obama wanted to “fundamentally transform” the country.

    • #112
  23. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    And I don’t see how homeostasis means we cannot, on a national level, set aside some extra ventilators and stuff.  Because the “constant stimulation” would be a problem, somehow.

    • #113
  24. ericB Lincoln
    ericB
    @ericB

    For herd immunity to work well, there needs to be a sufficiently large percentage of people with immunity.  That is why there is concern if more than a small percentage of families choose to not vaccinate their children.

    Viruses that spread more easily (higher R0 value) require a higher percentage of people to have immunity in order to reach the Herd Immunity Threshold (HIT).  Table of Examples

    To quickly reach that threshold for a new virus without overwhelming hospitals, a wiser path might be to enable and incentivize those people who are not likely to need hospitalization to intentionally become infected early within controlled quarantined settings.

    (Before chickenpox vaccines, parents would intentionally bring children to play with others who had chickenpox so their children could gain immunity safely while they were young instead of getting it later, which is far more dangerous.)

    For new viruses with no vaccine, that could take many forms, eg. ranging from quarantining the proactively infected on land to even the possibility of coronavirus cruises.  Side benefit: That would provide a beneficial use of cruise ships that turns their combination of support systems, entertainments, close community, and isolation from society into a health advantage.

    The common goal is to quickly give immunity to as many people as you can without having to use hospitals.  For the Wuhan virus, the young and healthy are least likely to need hospitalization.

    As long as only a small percentage of people have had the disease, there is no effective herd immunity.

    • #114
  25. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    I just saw Steve Bannon on Maria Bartiromo’s show. The only thing that matters is that the medical system doesn’t get overwhelmed. The Federal Reserve still has plenty of room to print money, so every other problem is manageable. 

    This is a good video. Three minutes:

     

     

     

     

     

    • #115
  26. ericB Lincoln
    ericB
    @ericB

    RufusRJones (View Comment):
    When you start the isolation period there are already plenty of people already infected that will create herd immunity.

    If Wuhan spreads easily (likely), then you will need more people to have immunity to get effective heard immunity.  (R0 > 2 means a Herd Immunity Threshold (HIT) of over 50% of people immune.  R0 > 2.5 requires > 60% immunity.  R0 3.9 = 74% immunity.  Table)

    RufusRJones (View Comment):
    It’s like 80% that don’t get that screwed up. When you get over 14 days the sick people manifest (many of the spreaders) and then you isolate them.

    You are right that most people (say 80%) don’t need hospitalization to get through the disease once they have it.  However, that only applies once they have the virus.  Everyone who goes into seclusion without having the virus doesn’t gain any immunity at all.

    I was responding to the situation where large numbers of people are being asked to avoid getting the virus (no large meetings, no school, “shelter in place”) even when there are just a small handful of cases in a given state.

    I’m raising the issue of what happens after that limited time ends and all those people with no immunity and no exposure suddenly mix again.  They still lack effective herd immunity to protect them.  The curve has been delayed (buying time), but the vast majority of people are still susceptible and the virus can then spread quickly again and potentially overwhelm hospitals.

    • #116
  27. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    ericB (View Comment):
    The curve has been delayed (buying time), but the vast majority of people are still susceptible and the virus can then spread quickly again and potentially overwhelm hospitals.

    Our fate is sealed. 

     

     

    • #117
  28. ericB Lincoln
    ericB
    @ericB

    This item is just for fun, with no implied claims about information content.  I couldn’t insert the image, so I’ll link to it.

    I laughed when I saw this poster on …

    The face you make when realizing

    (Hat tip to Dan Mitchell’s Coronavirus Humor.)

    • #118
  29. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    Supposedly, the virus isn’t dying in Australian summer as would normally be expected with these things. I only heard that once, to be clear. Supposedly sunshine and humidity are bad for these types of viruses but it doesn’t always work that way. Dry skin is normally a risk.

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  30. ericB Lincoln
    ericB
    @ericB

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    The one thing that a single payer system does, is ration care – there is no over capacity at all. There are no extra hospital beds, there arent extra nurses on call. No extra doctors. If there was a single high injury event – like a bus crash – the medical resources of even major cities would be stressed by a dozen of urgent care cases.

    medical specialists have waiting lists months – if not years, long. Single payer systems reduce costs, that is true, but the trade off is restricting capacity. Unlike a free market system, which because of competition, does build an over capacity.

    Your main point about differences in capacity is good and important.

    About whether “Single payer systems reduce costs”, I suspect even that isn’t necessarily so when government is the provider.  This was illustrated vividly by Hinchingbrooke hospital.

    The VA, the NHS, and choice
    by Cal Thomas

    The reason is that government providers lack the incentives of a private commercial entity that must find ways to do well or else risk losing business.  This short video provides three contrasting historical examples.

    Why Is America So Rich?
    Burt Folsom

    Our third party payer approach is unnecessarily expensive.  As evidence, there is a small movement of providers that bypass insurance.  Services are sold at publicized prices, so their direct payment model must operate competitively.  The result is quality care at dramatically reduced costs.  Their prices are a tiny fraction of usual medical bills.

    Keith Smith on Free Market Health Care

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