End the Lockdowns… But Don’t Be Fooled, It Won’t Save Us

 

Twelve days after it reopened for indoor dining (the only possible kind of dining, given its location inside of Grand Central Station), the famed Grand Central Oyster Bar has closed of its own accord. The New York Post has the story,

“We were only doing 3 percent of the revenues we ordinarily do at this time,” the chef added. Early on the Oyster Bar decided against providing takeout because commuters were not coming into Grand Central and nearby office towers were similarly devoid of people.

The owners of the Oyster Bar declare they aren’t considering closing permanently, but of course they are. Every restaurant in America, but especially those in lockdown zones, are considering closing or already have. In Disney Springs, even Wolfgang Puck decided this week to close permanently.

No restaurant in a high-traffic place like a train station or near a tourist destination will survive, no matter what local politicians do. Many of us have (rightly) been focused on pressuring politicians to loosen the grip on restaurants if we have a hope of ever eating out ever again, but the closure of these restaurants makes something very clear: Even if or when restaurants are legally going to be allowed to open, it’s not likely they’ll survive for one reason: fear. People are too scared, no matter what politicians say, to leave their homes. It goes to show we don’t need lockdowns or regulations; people are staying home voluntarily and have been for a long time. But the road back isn’t going to be easy or quick; we are in for a world of pain for a very, very long time. We’re basically committing societal suicide; fear of a virus that has next to no chance of killing any of us but will destroy life as we know it for a long time to come. If some of the most famous restaurants in New York City are operating at 3%, when (if ever) will anyone try to throw a concert or a live sports event again? I’ve been focused on ending the lockdowns because it feels like that’s the endpoint for this madness, but we need to start focusing on what this deep and paralyzing fear will do to our long-term recovery efforts.

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  1. James Gawron Inactive
    James Gawron
    @JamesGawron

    Ralphie (View Comment):

    James Gawron (View Comment):

    Bethany,

    I do not wish to be harsh but we need to place some blame here. The left claims to “believe” in science. First, science is not a dogma that requires you to believe in it. You make a hypothesis and then you verify empirically with facts and experiments. The left, lately, says that the facts don’t matter only the narrative matters. This is an extremely unscientific point of view no matter what they want you to “believe”.

     

    Regards,

    Jim

    Thank you. Ask 2 engineers to come up with a solution to a problem, and both, using the same education and experience could very well come up with 2 different solutions. And what is often not understood, is that in evaluating the problem, both have to make assumptions. Assumptions are good guesses.

    Ralphie,

    Those of us who have experience in being required to make things work in the physical world, I mean other than writing and proofreading reasonable prose, know that life isn’t quite as simple as just going for the narrative. I mean maybe the advertising department can afford to think that way but engineering, production, customer service, and invariably even sales can’t afford this level of pure bullsh*t.

    Thanks.

    Regards,

    Jim

    • #31
  2. Quinnie Member
    Quinnie
    @Quinnie

    Here in Kentucky, our governor (“Nanny” Andy Beshear) breathlessly reports to us each day the number of new cases.   He recently told us that the “virus is coming after us.”  The number of deaths are downplayed and never a mention that most of them are 80 years plus.   Absolutely no discussion on why we should care how many people have tested positive for the virus.  He’s extended our mask mandate for another month.   He has been very clear that harsher measures may need to be instituted if we can’t bring things under control.   Don’t worry though, if you  feel like protesting and rioting in my city of Louisville, all covid rules are suspended.

    Restaurants are open, but with reduced seating and a long list of spacing/cleaning requirements for the staff.   You wear a mask to enter, remove it at your table, and wear it if you need to use the restroom.   I’ve noticed many fast food restaurants are not even bothering to open their doors for sit-down customers.   They have gone 100% drive-through.   

    • #32
  3. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Quinnie (View Comment):
    I’ve noticed many fast food restaurants are not even bothering to open their doors for sit-down customers. They have gone 100% drive-through.

    That probably saves them at least one-time salary plus benefits, someone who would be doing nothing but cleaning.

    • #33
  4. James Gawron Inactive
    James Gawron
    @JamesGawron

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Quinnie (View Comment):
    I’ve noticed many fast food restaurants are not even bothering to open their doors for sit-down customers. They have gone 100% drive-through.

    That probably saves them at least one-time salary plus benefits, someone who would be doing nothing but cleaning.

    ke,

    Ever wonder why with so little going on the government never lays people off. I guess opening envelopes full of checks for people’s tax payments can be hellishly hard work. Well somebody’s got to do it. Neither rain nor sleet nor snow … well maybe they wear a letter opener out once in a while.

    Regards,

    Jim

    • #34
  5. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    James Gawron (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Quinnie (View Comment):
    I’ve noticed many fast food restaurants are not even bothering to open their doors for sit-down customers. They have gone 100% drive-through.

    That probably saves them at least one-time salary plus benefits, someone who would be doing nothing but cleaning.

    ke,

    Ever wonder why with so little going on the government never lays people off. I guess opening envelopes full of checks for people’s tax payments can be hellishly hard work. Well somebody’s got to do it. Neither rain nor sleet nor snow … well maybe they wear a letter opener out once in a while.

    Regards,

    Jim

    But a lot fewer people are sending in tax payments these days…  But I guess that just means they can take more paid vacations.

    • #35
  6. James Gawron Inactive
    James Gawron
    @JamesGawron

    kedavis (View Comment):

    James Gawron (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Quinnie (View Comment):
    I’ve noticed many fast food restaurants are not even bothering to open their doors for sit-down customers. They have gone 100% drive-through.

    That probably saves them at least one-time salary plus benefits, someone who would be doing nothing but cleaning.

    ke,

    Ever wonder why with so little going on the government never lays people off. I guess opening envelopes full of checks for people’s tax payments can be hellishly hard work. Well somebody’s got to do it. Neither rain nor sleet nor snow … well maybe they wear a letter opener out once in a while.

    Regards,

    Jim

    But a lot fewer people are sending in tax payments these days… But I guess that just means they can take more paid vacations.

    ke,

    Listen to me, ke, knowing which box people must fill in on a standard form that hasn’t changed for 25 years is demanding work. They need that vacation to the Caribbean to unwind from all that stress.

    Regards,

    Jim

    • #36
  7. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    James Gawron (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    James Gawron (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Quinnie (View Comment):
    I’ve noticed many fast food restaurants are not even bothering to open their doors for sit-down customers. They have gone 100% drive-through.

    That probably saves them at least one-time salary plus benefits, someone who would be doing nothing but cleaning.

    ke,

    Ever wonder why with so little going on the government never lays people off. I guess opening envelopes full of checks for people’s tax payments can be hellishly hard work. Well somebody’s got to do it. Neither rain nor sleet nor snow … well maybe they wear a letter opener out once in a while.

    Regards,

    Jim

    But a lot fewer people are sending in tax payments these days… But I guess that just means they can take more paid vacations.

    ke,

    Listen to me, ke, knowing which box people must fill in on a standard form that hasn’t changed for 25 years is demanding work. They need that vacation to the Caribbean to unwind from all that stress.

    Regards,

    Jim

    It’s not the stress of “working” that they need a break from.  It’s the stress of knowing that they’re in effect “working” for… DONALD TRUMP!!!

    • #37
  8. Clifford A. Brown Member
    Clifford A. Brown
    @CliffordBrown

    Bethany Mandel (View Comment):

    EB (View Comment):

    I hear you and agree, but…….it depends on where you live. I’m in Florida and for the first time since restaurants opened back up, we went into a restaurant and were told the wait time was 30 minutes (on a MONDAY night.)

    Now I truly am glad that restaurants are doing better. But we had kind of gotten used to being able to just walk into any restaurant without a reservation and be seated immediately.

    I’m glad some parts of the country are sane and will survive. Don’t have any hopes for where we live, unfortunately.

    Yes, this is all about the differing ideologies of different locations. Arizona has healthy numbers back in some restaurants, and even brewpubs, while full liquor license (distilled spirits) bars are still suppressed by executive edicts, limiting capacity and ordering mask wearing every time you stand up from your drink. Magically, the alcohol vapors protect you and other patrons so long as a bottle or glass is in front of you.

    • #38
  9. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Clifford A. Brown (View Comment):

    Bethany Mandel (View Comment):

    EB (View Comment):

    I hear you and agree, but…….it depends on where you live. I’m in Florida and for the first time since restaurants opened back up, we went into a restaurant and were told the wait time was 30 minutes (on a MONDAY night.)

    Now I truly am glad that restaurants are doing better. But we had kind of gotten used to being able to just walk into any restaurant without a reservation and be seated immediately.

    I’m glad some parts of the country are sane and will survive. Don’t have any hopes for where we live, unfortunately.

    Yes, this is all about the differing ideologies of different locations. Arizona has healthy numbers back in some restaurants, and even brewpubs, while full liquor license (distilled spirits) bars are still suppressed by executive edicts, limiting capacity and ordering mask wearing every time you stand up from your drink. Magically, the alcohol vapors protect you and other patrons so long as a bottle or glass is in front of you.

    But it must be periodically emptied and refilled…

    • #39
  10. Ammo.com Member
    Ammo.com
    @ammodotcom

    Z in MT (View Comment):

    Here in Bozeman, MT where we have had a relatively easy time of it until recently, we’re booming. Housing prices have gone up 20% since March and the bars and restaurants are basically as busy as ever. The main thing that hasn’t restarted are larger gatherings like concerts.

    I think Dems have been traumatized by the media, but Republicans fortunately have not.

    People will flee Democratic strongholds in search of habitable states. And they’ll bring their voting habits with them. Stay strong.

    • #40
  11. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Ammo.com (View Comment):

    Z in MT (View Comment):

    Here in Bozeman, MT where we have had a relatively easy time of it until recently, we’re booming. Housing prices have gone up 20% since March and the bars and restaurants are basically as busy as ever. The main thing that hasn’t restarted are larger gatherings like concerts.

    I think Dems have been traumatized by the media, but Republicans fortunately have not.

    People will flee Democratic strongholds in search of habitable states. And they’ll bring their voting habits with them. Stay strong.

    They might need to have some sense… something-ed… into them…

    • #41
  12. Rodin Member
    Rodin
    @Rodin

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Ammo.com (View Comment):

    Z in MT (View Comment):

    Here in Bozeman, MT where we have had a relatively easy time of it until recently, we’re booming. Housing prices have gone up 20% since March and the bars and restaurants are basically as busy as ever. The main thing that hasn’t restarted are larger gatherings like concerts.

    I think Dems have been traumatized by the media, but Republicans fortunately have not.

    People will flee Democratic strongholds in search of habitable states. And they’ll bring their voting habits with them. Stay strong.

    They might need to have some sense… something-ed… into them…

    Seriously, there needs to be a public education campaign to both welcome newcomers and to make them think about what made them come and how their own behaviors will preserve those qualities of their new home that attracted them. “Freedom is not free. It is paid for daily by the decisions of our citizens and residents to hold themselves and government accountable to act and live in liberty.”

    • #42
  13. A-Squared Inactive
    A-Squared
    @ASquared

    Ammo.com (View Comment):
    People will flee Democratic strongholds in search of habitable states. And they’ll bring their voting habits with them. Stay strong.

    Yup.  The tyranny of Pritzker/Lightfoot was the last straw for my wife and I’m definitely bringing my voting habits to TN. 

    • #43
  14. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

     

    DonG (skeptic) (View Comment):

    Bethany Mandel (View Comment):
    I’m glad some parts of the country are sane and will survive. Don’t have any hopes for where we live, unfortunately.

    Please don’t take this the wrong way, but restaurants are notoriously volatile businesses. They come and go quickly. Yes, some owners will get wiped out, but best run and yummiest will survive. New ones will spring up. Restaurant workers are generally very flexible and will get work at new places quickly. I don’t think there will be any structural changes in the sit-down restaurant industry. People just like eating out. Counter service, take-out, and drive-through will be a bit different, but the workers will still be required. The logistics are just better and that won’t go back.

    True.  This is why they’ve suffered the most during the COVID lockdowns.  When you’re already one half-step away from bankruptcy, any economic downturn is a disaster.  The tourism industry is the same way.  When people need to tighten their finances, eating out and traveling are the first things to go . . .

    • #44
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