You Say You Want a Revolution: What It Could Actually Take, a Series

 

A waiter comes over to a table of Jewish women. He asks, “Is anything all right?”

It’s okay; I can tell that joke! My wife is Jewish, and she thinks it’s funny. Remember when we could tell harmless jokes to each other? How about you, Ricochet reader? When you look at today’s culture, today’s mass media, see the movies, the TV shows, look at major media in general, ‘Is anything all right?’ This is aimed, but not exclusively, at social conservatives. I often spar with you but you deserve the cultural tools to defend yourselves. When it comes to subject matter, we’ll keep slugging that out the Ricochet way, on the Member Feed. This is about dealing with the media world outside Ricochet.

GMcV alleged “expert advice” has to be taken with this caveat: I made my living in the ways it’s been done before. I don’t, and can’t, know for sure what’s going to work in the future. I’m usually pretty good about why something hasn’t worked in the past. Previous posts on Hollywood Communists and Hollywood Conservatives can always be elaborated on later, but they basically bring the story up to the present. I’ve participated in how long-term change is done in the media and the details of what it costs to actually do it. My one rule: Human nature hasn’t changed over the years. My hunches, and I strongly suspect yours, are largely based on it.

Yes, of course, there are multiple ways that the culture of 60 years from now could be as unimaginably different from today’s as that of 60 years ago. A change of that magnitude takes the moral authority of the decades-long struggle to untangle the effects of legal racial segregation, the institutional tactical cleverness that it once took to divide the cultural “turf” and smartly hand off its sections, 1968-2018 to the very segments of the Left most motivated to explore its boundaries. Doing its equivalent in cultural heft and lasting deep influence would be a big deal that would have to last a long time, decades. It didn’t happen spontaneously for the Left, and it wouldn’t for the Right. Still, there comes a tipping point where that kind of change is so popular it more than pays for itself, more than pays for everything that went into creating it, plus interest, plus opportunity costs, plus the hard to price but genuine satisfaction of making things popular that ought to be popular.

Step back. Much of the daily social change thought of as “liberal” has happened since WWII, and is widely accepted, sometimes led by today’s conservatives. Let’s get this out of the way fast. There are no 1940s-style racists among us; at Ricochet, anyway. Anti-Semitism on the right isn’t a fiftieth of what it was as late as the ’50s, when I was a kid. Even the least feminist of our readers—which is really saying something—doesn’t yearn for a “Handmaid’s Tale” world. This post is largely neutral about the issues. It’s about tactics of expression that some of you might find useful when thinking about remolding public opinion. The point is for the overall, all-enveloping culture outside our website, there is no permissible debate anymore. Apparently too many outsiders react to all of us like they were the line of vengeful, torch-bearing villagers coming up the hill in a Frankenstein movie.

Despite the caricatures of pop culture, most of us—not all of us, of course—made our peace quite some time ago with truck stops stocking copies of Playboy magazine, Raquel Welch going topless for the big kiss scene, and the chances that people may arrive at the altar with at least some sexual experience. By the ’70s, those were no longer the hottest of cultural arguments, not because San Francisco and Greenwich Villlage said so, but because Nashville and Jacksonville came to agree. If an unmarried couple wanted to live together, that was between them and a consenting landlord. That compromise held up pretty well in the Reagan ’80s: if you’re an adult, read what you want, buy any videotape you want. Almost no limits. But keep it out of the broad public arena.

That truce had its friction for both sides in the ’90s. Gays didn’t get anything better than “Don’t ask, don’t tell”.”Forget about marriage; back then, nobody would even give them civil unions. Radical Blacks got Bill Clinton’s Sister Souljah moment and the back of his hand once in office. Feminists were angry and unhappy with the man-obsessed, “do-me” feminism of HBO’s “Sex in the City.” On the other hand, SoCons never got ABC to drop “Ellen” or the occasional bare backside on “NYPD Blue.” SoCons never got Disney to condemn the informal “gay days” at the theme parks, or to sell Harvey Weinstein’s Miramax. Believe it or not, nobody got everything they wanted.

When in the 21st century and how did this unofficial, un-agreed-to national cultural truce unravel? It wasn’t an equal fight; the Left invaded. Taking over the staff of, say, New York’s Whitney Museum was one thing; muscling the NCAA, the NFL, and NASCAR into compliance was another. The right lost specific fights because they’d basically already lost the war a long time ago. Sure, government put a heavy thumb on the scale, but public opinion on a lot of social matters really has shifted, though not nearly as much as pollsters and Hollywood suggest.

There are always valid reasons to be doubtful about the prospects for long-term change and outright cynical about the short term. Let’s not kid ourselves. You and I and other Ricochet readers are a varied bunch who won’t agree on everything. We are cultural allies only up to a point. That expression of the old Left’s, “Fellow Traveler,” says it well. Be realistic. Conservatives ought to know that some policies are not going to be popular without a profound public shift that would have to take decades. In 2019’s world, LGBT-themed marketing by Disney is not going to discourage many grandmas from buying merchandise, from “Frozen” or Kylo Ren masks. To me, that’s okay. I like it. If you don’t agree, you should think about your options. They include transformation.

OK, an analogy. Please bear with me if you will. In 1939, all of the biggest world powers knew that atomic fission could be weaponized. Germany, the UK, Japan, the US and the USSR all had research programs that suggested that an atomic bomb was possible, but the scale of industrial production it would need was so gigantic, so expensive, that not only couldn’t they do it, but each grimly reassured themselves that nobody else was going to be able to either. Scientists and chemical engineers estimated that America would have to spend a breathtaking fortune to isolate even a few grams of fissionable Uranium 235, and at that stage, nobody knew what a bomb’s critical mass was—a kilogram? Ten? A hundred thousand grams? The cost of an entire war to produce just one single bomb? By 1940, that seemed to settle the question for FDR’s advisers.

Then in 1941, the British changed everything. They’d been in the war for a year and a half. America was still standing on the sidelines when UK scientists and military men sent a report to their counterparts in the US. It said, fairly bluntly, that a practical bomb was possible after all, and we’d better start working on it fast, because if we know it, the Nazis know it too. The report said how it could be done, technically and organizationally, with practical, if ultimately optimistic estimates of time and cost. They estimated $100 million but said frankly that it could be ten times that cost.

In the end, it was closer to 20 times that, but the bomb ended the Pacific War and transformed America’s role in the world. The 1941 UK report was what engineers and marketers might call a detailed product definition and packaging specification. It couldn’t anticipate every detail and breakthrough. It was a crucial preliminary blueprint for action. That’s what we’re suggesting that we all take a shot at here; designing a future cultural architecture and guessing at the outside dimensions of a large, generations-long movement with the focus of a Manhattan Project or a Moonshot that could actually make a difference. I’ll suggest ways it could be done. In the comments, you’ll most likely suggest many other ones, almost certainly better ones. After all, if nobody can even so much as imagine it could happen, let alone playing a part in making it happen, then we can all confidently guarantee it won’t.

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  1. Gary McVey Contributor
    Gary McVey
    @GaryMcVey

    Jim Kearney (View Comment):

    Gary McVey (View Comment):

    Here’s a Typical Conservative Moment (c): Twenty years ago I attended one of David Horowitz’s really fancy weekend retreats at the Broadmoor Hotel in Colorado Springs. At lunch I sat next to an elderly gentleman who’d been one of the owners of JCrew. When he found out what I did for a living he started complaining about TV, how there was nothing decent on. We’d just done a tribute to “JAG”, and I explained that many of the people working on that show were conservatives. He should check it out.

    He frowned. “I won’t watch that! It’s on CBS!”

    Okay, there’s a little joke there about self-defeating strategies. But here’s the real kicker: CBS stock was deeply depressed at the time. My luncheon companion’s net worth was then north of $650 million. He could have picked up the phone and literally bought all of CBS. But, of course, he preferred to whine about how weak and powerless we all are.

    JAG, and Don Bellisario’s enormous contributions to conservative mass audience entertainment, have been much neglected by the media. You can guess why. Still, his shows (and their spin-offs, and their spin-off’s spin-offs) reach as many consumers as any living media conservative not named Rush Limbaugh or Rupert Murdoch. [… although Rupert’s legacy is tilting off-balance, and the NCIS spin-offs are culturally centrist at best.]

    Yes, conservative billionaires should have bought CBS years ago, and NBC, etc. Top down solutions work better than grass roots. Big picture guys get big things done. Someone said old conservatives need to buy big tech companies. Better young opponents of “progressives” should build tech (and biotech) enterprises.

    In this country you create wealth first, then multiply exponentially, then your resources get to push the larger culture in your preferred direction — if your audience wants it.

    The first step isn’t political networking, it’s domain expertise. Across the way, Norman Lear and Larry David started off writing jokes. Most of the tech billionaires started off writing code. Ted Turner started with billboards. Donald Trump mastered construction, celebrity, hospitality, and TV, then shortcut the entire politics industry.

    Yes, networking is important for conservatives, to link our too-thickly-walled silos. Someone should have told your luncheon companion about JAG. Someone should have told me about your JAG tribute. I could have found this thread a week ago.

    Is it folly to imagine a text-based web camp as fountainhead of a political revolution? Won’t it more likely happen via texting, WebEx, ye olde phone calls, Horowitz retreats, RJC bashes, conservative cruises, or hordes of really good dinner parties? Maybe the Great Turnaround will come when we link forces with the party planning industry. Not political parties, party parties.

    It’s always hard to find flaws in a Jim Kearney comment, and this one is no exception. It is a push-pull process; Richie Rich can push all he wants, but the audience has to want it.  Still, better to try it with Richie’s bucks than without. 

    • #121
  2. Gary McVey Contributor
    Gary McVey
    @GaryMcVey

    Regarding JAG: I must report that Catherine Bell is even better looking in person than on TV. The lady is c-u-t-e. The entire cast showed up for the tribute, and Bellisario was kind enough to buy a full page ad in Variety (and in color!) thanking us on the day of the event. They also brought their boss, Les Moonves, who gloated over taking the show from NBC, where it languished, and making it into what became a ten season hit for CBS. 

    • #122
  3. Jim Kearney Member
    Jim Kearney
    @JimKearney

    Gary McVey (View Comment):

    Regarding JAG: I must report that Catherine Bell is even better looking in person than on TV. The lady is c-u-t-e. The entire cast showed up for the tribute, and Bellisario was kind enough to buy a full page ad in Variety (and in color!) thanking us on the day of the event. They also brought their boss, Les Moonves, who gloated over taking the show from NBC, where it languished, and making it into what became a ten season hit for CBS.

    The JAG deal with Paramount was a complex masterpiece. Local Paramount Station Group clearances and time slots for Letterman came into play, and a series pickup for a Paramount sitcom called Almost Perfect as well. 

    Long after Letterman, JAG, and even Les Moonves had left the scene, shareholders of the since merged CBS/Paramount TV are smiling and reaping the rewards of JAG‘s profitable progeny, the NCIS hit factory.

    • #123
  4. Gary McVey Contributor
    Gary McVey
    @GaryMcVey

    Say what you will about Moonves, but he’s one liberal who was conservative-friendly. He knew what kind of group we were (conservative), but he thumbed his nose at critics and not only showed up, but helped make it a much bigger deal. Moonves also dumped “The Reagans” and refused to air it on CBS. Dissing the exec producer is even ballsier when it’s Barbra Streisand

    • #124
  5. Jim Kearney Member
    Jim Kearney
    @JimKearney

    Gary McVey (View Comment):
    Say what you will about Moonves,

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PgJ5cDFd34c&feature=youtu.be&t=115

    • #125
  6. Hank Rhody-Badenphipps Esq Contributor
    Hank Rhody-Badenphipps Esq
    @HankRhody

    Jim Kearney (View Comment):
    Maybe the Great Turnaround will come when we link forces with the party planning industry. Not political parties, party parties.

    https://orig00.deviantart.net/5322/f/2012/290/2/3/pinkie_pie_party_poster_by_fluttershycuervo-d5i3cp0.png

    • #126
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