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McSally vs. Sinema vs. Election Officials: Sunday Edition
With today’s vote dump in the Arizona US Senate race, Martha McSally’s chances are fading fast. Democrat Kyrsten Sinema has again extended her lead, now by 32,640 votes, or 1.51%. At the end of Saturday’s count, she led by about 29,832 votes, or 1.41%.
The theory from McSally’s camp is that the votes counted on Sunday would help the Republican, but as we’ve seen, they most certainly did not.
There are still at least 200,000 votes to be counted, but McSally would have to utterly dominate them in order to take the lead.
In more bad news for the GOP, Democrat Secretary of State candidate Katie Hobbs has eked ahead of Republican Steve Gaynor by 150 votes.
Published in General
Kasich is worse than Trump.
This is why Trump is president: they should’ve done something else besides the 17 man primary. That’s your big problem right there. When you get over certain amount you have to have a national two-stage primary. 17 and then two. Or something.
Lois Lerner defeated the tea party and people are sick of cultural Marxism. People are sick of the ruling class i.e. Hillary Clinton.
The GOP has to come up with a grand strategy to deal with what’s wrong with this country otherwise you’re just going to get more populism and socialism.
Nobody has been conservative since Ronald Reagan and I’m not sure he was very conservative, really.
Wishin’ and hopin’ doesn’t change the electoral reality of 2016. Kasich, JEB!, and Trump were at the bottom of my preferences for 2016. You mention Cruz. Ted was my guy and I’m apparently one of the few people in America who like him personally (then again, I hail from the meth lab of democracy), but the reality is people (not just D’s) really dislike the guy and he is simply unelectable on a national level – hey, he just almost lost in Texas!
Trump only won a plurality of the vote in the primaries. We have our “plurality wins all delegates” system, while the Democrats award delegates proportionately. For example, in South Carolina, Trump won only a third of the vote, while Rubio and Cruz each won 22%; yet Trump got all 50 delegates. If we had the proportionate awarding of delegates, Trump would have never have won at the convention. (Even with the bandwagon effect, only 45% of Republicans voted for Trump.)
Everyone we are ruled by is ether stupid or corrupt. Especially when it comes to this type of thing.
John McCain in 2008 with 46.7%, winning 31 states.
Barry Goldwater in 1964 with 38.3%, winning 7 states.
…
Donald Trump in 2016 with 44.9%, winning 38 states.
And I didn’t even know that Trump was from Arizona.
Trump won more general election votes in Arizona than any other presidential candidate.
You are comparing apples and oranges.
McCain and Romney won Arizona by 9% each; Trump won by 3%.
In 2008, the population of Arizona was 6,152,173.
In 2012, the population of Arizona was 6,392,017.
In 2016, the population of Arizona was 6,641,928
The Drudge Report states that Sinema won in Arizona, the first Democrat to be elected to the Senate since Dennis (“the Menace”) DeConcini won in November 1988, thirty years ago.
CongraDulations Donald Trump! With your leadership, you have completely energized Hispanics in Arizona to send a Democrat to the Senate to put a check on you!
Wait, I thought you said it was suburbanites!
Both Hispanic and suburbanites. I tell you, Trump has a gift for getting out voters – for Democrats!
It should be remembered that Alabama last voted for a Democrat for Senate in Alabama in 1986, that is until Alabama voted for a Democrat in December, 2017. Way to go Donald Trump, you have such a way with people!
I want to add my small voice to the apparent consensus of Arizonans here that, despite wanting McSally to defeat Sinema, I don’t think that there’s anything fraudulent or nefarious going on here. Arizona is blessed with relatively little government corruption of the type that we hear about (and occasionally witness) elsewhere.
For those who might not know, Jon Gabriel, Gary Robbins, Clifford Brown and I are all Arizonans. OK, in my case, that’s pretty obvious from my Ricochet handle.
I agree. We are blessedly voter fraud free with the counting of votes. Sinema won fair and square.
I hope that Governor Ducey appoints McSally to McCain’s seat. Ironically, that would make her Arizona’s “Senior” Senator.
Ha! Fake news.
The only true measurement of a state’s population is a census.
Arizona Republican primary, 2012: Romney, 239,167 votes
Arizona Republican primary, 2016: Trump, 286,743 votes
Romney and Trump won the same number of Arizona counties in the general election.
How are the rest of us supposed to know how many people live in Arizona and are legal or illegal anyway?
Besides Anchor babies can’t vote, unless they are 18-year-old anchor babies.
My source is the Almanac of American Politics that George Will once called the Baseball Digest of American Politics. Michael Barone was its primary Editor for years.
The census provides an annual and even monthly estimate of population.
That is so irrelevant! Maricopa County has over half of the state’s voters, and Pima County has over a fifth of the voters. (Arizona is not unlike Nevada where Clark County, which contains Las Vegas, has the majority of Nevada’s population and voters.) The three counties of Maricopa, Pima and Pinal have about 80% of Arizona’s population.
Not relevant.
What on earth is wrong with you Arizona people? Barry Goldwater at first was a principled politician, then his guilt over his personal behavior (he spent a lot of time alley-catting with JFK in the pre-1960’s days) got him married for the second time to a lefty abortion-enthusiast loon and he became a crotchety old flake, then Flake leaves the Goldwater Institute and becomes even flakier, then McCain lets his full jerkiness bloom in his last days instead of becoming at all noble and gracious. And now Sinema?
Exactly. Rubio would have won the general in 2016; unfortunately, his embrace of the Gang of 8 probably ensured that he can’t be nominated by Republicans- but his position on Gang of 8 was very much to fix border security first via strict House amendments, anathema to Krikorian-types’ and bumper sticker characterizations. His best shot now is as VP running with Haley.
Gary, I am with you everywhere except for Kasich. He revealed himself to be terminally pompous and smarmy.
That is a very interesting fact. You wonder what he really believes.
It’s a dry heat.
I also agree with you about appointing McSally. I’m glad that we still agree on quite a bit, Gary!
When the dust settles and the analysis is done, you will see a high turnout of independents for Sinema. The Trump factor kept many of those people away from McSally.
Alinsky tactics and critical theory are a one way street.
#WeAreDoomed