An Interesting Study About Wind Farms

 

This Harvard Gazette article concludes that the environment impact of large-scale wind farms is not as benign as previously thought.

In two papers — published today in the journals Environmental Research Letters and Joule — Harvard University researchers find that the transition to wind or solar power in the U.S. would require five to 20 times more land than previously thought, and, if such large-scale wind farms were built, would warm average surface temperatures over the continental U.S. by 0.24 degrees Celsius.

“Wind beats coal by any environmental measure, but that doesn’t mean that its impacts are negligible,” said David Keith, the Gordon McKay Professor of Applied Physics at the Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences (SEAS) and senior author of the papers. “We must quickly transition away from fossil fuels to stop carbon emissions. In doing so, we must make choices between various low-carbon technologies, all of which have some social and environmental impacts.”

As usual, we rush into technology before fully knowing all the impacts. Sometimes, we can only find out all the impacts by embracing the technology and reacting to it (such as the texting while driving impact on auto accidents, and the subsequent bans).

Again, nuclear is the best option (IMHO), with small modular reactors (SMRs) being a much more economical way to keep costs low.

Published in General
This post was promoted to the Main Feed by a Ricochet Editor at the recommendation of Ricochet members. Like this post? Want to comment? Join Ricochet’s community of conservatives and be part of the conversation. Join Ricochet for Free.

There are 95 comments.

Become a member to join the conversation. Or sign in if you're already a member.
  1. Chris Campion Coolidge
    Chris Campion
    @ChrisCampion

    Al Sparks (View Comment):

    Chris Campion (View Comment):
    This is pretty accurate. Paying for standby gas turbine generators to fill the green energy gaps that consistently and inevitably occur is not a plan. It’s papering over the enormous hole in the base load grid that these technologies create.

    You also should have specialized generation. Before the advent of solar and wind, almost all fossil based generation was designed to run at one speed for long periods of time.

    An electrical grid is designed so that power generation meets demand. The demand does vary during the day, and as it does, the generation is adjusted to reflect that. In this scenario, the operators have full control of the generation output, minus plant trips.

    With wind and solar you have another factor outside the control of the operators, because the output of that generation varies during the course of a day outside the operator’s control (e.g. clouds come over a solar farm, or the wind stops blowing).

    Before the advent of wind and solar, the vast majority of generation was designed to run at one speed for long periods of time. Varying the speed of these turbines contributes to wear and tear, and these are large investments.

    Specialized generation has been designed for use in reacting to the variable power outputs of solar and wind, taking the burden off of the generation designed for staying at one speed.

    Either way, this also adds to the cost of wind and solar.

    In Alaska, where we have an isolated or islanded power grid, our addition of wind and some solar affects grid stability more than the lower forty-eight’s much larger grid. And we’re playing catch-up in bringing in generation designed to follow wind and solar.

    One note about solar in Alaska. Alaska’s electrical power demand goes way up in the winter when enduring our extreme winters. And that’s when Alaska gets the darkest. Why we’re investing in solar boggles my mind.

    All accurate.  I work for a power company.

    • #61
  2. barbara lydick Inactive
    barbara lydick
    @barbaralydick

    Aaron Miller (View Comment):
    On January 17, 2017, the number of bald eagles that can be killed by wind farm permit holders will increase from the current legal number of 1,100 to 4,200—almost a quadrupling. 

    Previously, a waiver for killing bald eagles was for 30 years.  If this new number is added to that, well, words fail me.  Also, the number of bats killed is enormous – you know, those insect eating fellas.  And eagles aren’t the only birds killed.  Hypocrisy on stilts.

    • #62
  3. barbara lydick Inactive
    barbara lydick
    @barbaralydick

    E. Kent Golding (View Comment):
    Gigantic Bird Vegimatics. Wind Farms kill lots and lots of migratory birds. I like birds more than wind energy. Birds are amusing and interesting.

    When the first condor was released into the wild after years of a breeding program, the spectators watched in horror as it was killed by a wind turbine.  We in the nuclear industry years ago named them Condor Cuisinarts.

    • #63
  4. barbara lydick Inactive
    barbara lydick
    @barbaralydick

    Stad (View Comment):
    The amount of land needed for solar is small, but there are other considerations:

    I watched that video and came away with a different perspective.  First, the number of GWh required for a year and the land that would be needed for this:  No mention of capacity factors was included – and this would have a tremendous effect on required acreage.  They may have been calculating land use on a capacity factor (CF) of 100% – when in fact for solar it’s between 12 and 20% depending on the location of the farm.  The Agua Caliente Solar Project, located in Arizona near the 33rd parallel, has possibly the highest CF at 29%.

    Drew Thornley of National Review, puts nuclear, solar and wind in perspective land use-wise, carefully taking into account CFs:

    Comparing Footprints

    I’ve posted before about the massive amounts of land required to produce electricity from solar panels and wind turbines, and so I was delighted to see this informed set of graphics from Clean Energy Insight on the comparative land-use requirements of nuclear, solar, and wind energy. Here are the numbers:

    Nuclear
    I used the commonly accepted <1 sq mi for Nuclear power plants and doubled it to be conservative.  The average capacity factor for Nuclear power plants is 0.90.  Two sq miles envelopes 1.5 sq mi / 0.90 capacity factor = 1.67 sq mi for 3,200 MW.  I also checked against the current EPR footprints in Europe with Google Earth. You can easily check this for yourself.

    Solar
    11,000 acres / 0.19 [CF] = 57,895 acres for
    1,000 MW
    57,895 acres = 91 sq mi for 1,000 MW
    3,200 MW/1,000 MW = 3.2
    3.2 x 91 sq mi = 292 sq mi

     

    Wind
    50,000 acres / 0.30 [CF] = 166,667 acres for 1,000 MW
    166,667 acres = 260 sq mi for 1,000 MW
    3,200 MW/1,000 MW = 3.2
    3.2 x 260 sq mi = 832 sq mi”

     

    Superimposed in the next “comment” (#64) is a map of Rhode Island [with 2 sq. mi. superimposed on the larger segments]). Enjoy the pictures.

    • #64
  5. barbara lydick Inactive
    barbara lydick
    @barbaralydick

    Sorry, the map wouldn’t copy and the only place I could find it was in my own file.  Basically, the area required for wind was represented as a block superimposed over the map of Rhode Island and covered nearly 2/3 of the map. Superimposed over that block was solar which was about 2/3 of the wind block, and nuclear was represented as a tiny dot, (2 sq. mi.) superimposed on the larger segments.

     

     

    • #65
  6. Phil Turmel Inactive
    Phil Turmel
    @PhilTurmel

    barbara lydick (View Comment):

    Stad (View Comment):
    The amount of land needed for solar is small, but there are other considerations:

    I watched that video and came away with a different perspective. First, the number of GWh required for a year and the land that would be needed for this: No mention of capacity factors was included – and this would have a tremendous effect on required acreage. They may have been calculating land use on a capacity factor (CF) of 100% – when in fact for solar it’s between 12 and 20% depending on the location of the farm. The Agua Caliente Solar Project, located in Arizona near the 33rd parallel, has possibly the highest CF at 29%.

    Drew Thornley of National Review, puts nuclear, solar and wind in perspective land use-wise, carefully taking into account CFs:

    Comparing Footprints

    I’ve posted before about the massive amounts of land required to produce electricity from solar panels and wind turbines, and so I was delighted to see this informed set of graphics from Clean Energy Insight on the comparative land-use requirements of nuclear, solar, and wind energy. Here are the numbers:

    Nuclear
    I used the commonly accepted <1 sq mi for Nuclear power plants and doubled it to be conservative. The average capacity factor for Nuclear power plants is 0.90. Two sq miles envelopes 1.5 sq mi / 0.90 capacity factor = 1.67 sq mi for 3,200 MW. I also checked against the current EPR footprints in Europe with Google Earth. You can easily check this for yourself.

    Solar
    11,000 acres / 0.19 [CF] = 57,895 acres for
    1,000 MW
    57,895 acres = 91 sq mi for 1,000 MW
    3,200 MW/1,000 MW = 3.2
    3.2 x 91 sq mi = 292 sq mi

    Wind
    50,000 acres / 0.30 [CF] = 166,667 acres for 1,000 MW
    166,667 acres = 260 sq mi for 1,000 MW
    3,200 MW/1,000 MW = 3.2
    3.2 x 260 sq mi = 832 sq mi”

    Superimposed in the next “comment” (#64) is a map of Rhode Island [with 2 sq. mi. superimposed on the larger segments]). Enjoy the pictures.

    It is still a completely bogus analysis, as storage was not included.  Large-scale “green” energy is a pipe dream, but happens to provide excuses for statists to interfere with energy markets.  Interference that is basically about funneling funds to political allies.

    • #66
  7. barbara lydick Inactive
    barbara lydick
    @barbaralydick

    Phil Turmel (View Comment):
    It is still a completely bogus analysis, as storage was not included.

    Hmmm…  The video or the stats I provided?  (Depending on your answer, may have to take my ‘like’ away.)

    In any case, I could have written much more on the subject, but tried to pare it down

    • #67
  8. Phil Turmel Inactive
    Phil Turmel
    @PhilTurmel

    barbara lydick (View Comment):

    Phil Turmel (View Comment):
    It is still a completely bogus analysis, as storage was not included.

    Hmmm… The video or the stats I provided? (Depending on your answer, may have to take my ‘like’ away.)

    In any case, I could have written much more on the subject, but tried to pare it down

    Stats.  Did the video describe industrial-scale energy storage sufficient to allow each specific form of “green” energy to supply all of the needs of consumers without other grid producers?

    • #68
  9. Al Sparks Coolidge
    Al Sparks
    @AlSparks

    Chris Campion (View Comment):
    All accurate. I work for a power company.

    Well, me too.  Though my specialty is IT/OT, and not power engineering.

    • #69
  10. Al Sparks Coolidge
    Al Sparks
    @AlSparks

    barbara lydick (View Comment):
    Previously, a waiver for killing bald eagles was for 30 years. If this new number is added to that, well, words fail me. Also, the number of bats killed is enormous – you know, those insect eating fellas. And eagles aren’t the only birds killed. Hypocrisy on stilts.

    I’m not that concerned.  The bald eagle is no longer endangered, and the population continues to increase.

    Some species of bats are considered “Threatened” so it depends on which bats are getting killed.

    • #70
  11. Flicker Coolidge
    Flicker
    @Flicker

    Rumor has it that after a super-typhoon hit Guam some years ago, a good portion of the island of some 150,000 was provided power from the reactor of a single aircraft carrier.  At 500mW (165 mWe) per reactor, how many would it take to power a city?  Just wondering.

    • #71
  12. OldPhil Coolidge
    OldPhil
    @OldPhil

    Flicker (View Comment):

    Rumor has it that after a super-typhoon hit Guam some years ago, a good portion of the island of some 150,000 was provided power from the reactor of a single aircraft carrier. At 500mW (165 mWe) per reactor, how many would it take to power a city? Just wondering.

    It’s wonder Guam didn’t tip over in such a storm.

    • #72
  13. Randy Webster Inactive
    Randy Webster
    @RandyWebster

    OldPhil (View Comment):
    It’s wonder Guam didn’t tip over in such a storm.

    I guess there weren’t enough Marines there.

    • #73
  14. Henry Racette Member
    Henry Racette
    @HenryRacette

    Randy Webster (View Comment):

    OldPhil (View Comment):
    It’s wonder Guam didn’t tip over in such a storm.

    I guess there weren’t enough Marines there.

    It is always appropriate to poke fun at Rep. Hank Johnson (D-Twilight Zone).

    • #74
  15. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    OldPhil (View Comment):

    My main complaint about them is that they’re ugly as hell. They built a bunch of them on the mountain behind my Mom’s house; I’m not sure about the impact on birds, but they completely ruined the landscape. I’ve read that even some California homeowners are beginning to protest them.

    There was some kind of green energy conference at my workplace (I was not part of it) and at lunch I got to talking to one of the suits.  I forget how we got to the topic, after he told me of his company’s work in installing wind farms, I told him that someday in the future, when it was decided to remove the wind towers, there would be objections from people who don’t want the landscape ruined, because they will have become part of what we expect to see.

    My supervisor was also at the table, and later he told me that might have been the president of Detroit Edison that I was talking to.  (That was several years ago; I never thought until now to look on the web for a photo of the president of Detroit Edison. The person whose photo is there now now looks similar, but a tad young to be the person I was talking to.)

    • #75
  16. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    RufusRJones (View Comment):
    The other thing is they need to decentralize the grid. It would be more efficient and honestly run. Less politics.

    I agree but it seems the trend is just the opposite, with people left and right wanting the feds to get involved in protecting the grid as a matter of national security. 

    • #76
  17. OccupantCDN Coolidge
    OccupantCDN
    @OccupantCDN

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Stad: Again, nuclear is the best option (IMHO), with small modular reactors (SMRs) being a much more economical way to keep costs low.

    I agree, but disagree. Small nuclear reactors are the future for base load electric grid production. However not if the reactor has a solid fuel. In order to maximize efficiency the reactor should have a liquid fuel like Molten Salt Reactors (MSR) or a liquid fuel like the Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor (LFTR).

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquid_fluoride_thorium_reactor

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molten_salt_reactor

    Either of these reactor designs produce energy with less that 1% of the waste of a solid fuel reactor – and startup fuels for these reactors can be salvaged from the waste by products of the current fleet of solid fuel reactors. Solving 3 problems in one design.

    It makes me crazy that we aren’t further along on this.

    The other thing is they need to decentralize the grid. It would be more efficient and honestly run. Less politics.

    We’re there, have been there for decades. The Molten Salt Reactor Experiment ran from 1965 – 1969, demonstrating the safe operation of MSR with more than 17,000 hours of operation.

    More details on it are here:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molten-Salt_Reactor_Experiment

    Given the many improvements in materials that have happened since 1965, the reactor could be easily be implemented. Perhaps as a small reactor – in a hospital, for example to be operated primarily to provide medical isotopes for the treatment of cancers, but also to provide independent power in case of a disaster.

    • #77
  18. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):
    The other thing is they need to decentralize the grid. It would be more efficient and honestly run. Less politics.

    I agree but it seems the trend is just the opposite, with people left and right wanting the feds to get involved in protecting the grid as a matter of national security.

    Is that mutually exclusive?

    • #78
  19. OccupantCDN Coolidge
    OccupantCDN
    @OccupantCDN

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):
    The other thing is they need to decentralize the grid. It would be more efficient and honestly run. Less politics.

    I agree but it seems the trend is just the opposite, with people left and right wanting the feds to get involved in protecting the grid as a matter of national security.

    Is that mutually exclusive?

    No, I agree. Decentralization of the grid would seem to be a way to create a dynamic grid that would be more robust.

    But it does seem to be a legitimate concern for the feds… You know inter-state transportation of energy and all…

    • #79
  20. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    I once read a long article about the electric utility Industry. The executive’s and the politician’s incentives are absolutely terrible for the consumer. They basically work together to screw the consumer. Minnesota used to have lower utility prices now they’re above-average because they’re shoving renewable mandates down our throats. Its regressive taxation.

    • #80
  21. Chris Campion Coolidge
    Chris Campion
    @ChrisCampion

    Al Sparks (View Comment):

    Chris Campion (View Comment):
    All accurate. I work for a power company.

    Well, me too. Though my specialty is IT/OT, and not power engineering.

    I work in the project management space, so I only have an idiot’s level of understanding of the tech, software and hardware.

    • #81
  22. Chris Campion Coolidge
    Chris Campion
    @ChrisCampion

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    I once read a long article about the electric utility Industry. The executive’s and the politician’s incentives are absolutely terrible for the consumer. They basically work together to screw the consumer. Minnesota used to have lower utility prices now they’re above-average because they’re shoving renewable mandates down our throats. Its regressive taxation.

    And it’s done through the regulators. When power companies bring their rate cases forward, if they don’t include the things that politicians and regulators want, the case gets rejected, and gets changed to meet the requirement.

    In the end, the power consumer pays for everything.  We get what we pay for in politicians.

    • #82
  23. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    The Reticulator (View Comment):
    I forget how we got to the topic, after he told me of his company’s work in installing wind farms, I told him that someday in the future, when it was decided to remove the wind towers, there would be objections from people who don’t want the landscape ruined, because they will have become part of what we expect to see.

    When my wife and I drove out west and back, I looked at all the windmills and thought, “This ruins the majesty of seeing how the Great Plains stretch out for miles.”

    • #83
  24. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    Chris Campion (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    I once read a long article about the electric utility Industry. The executive’s and the politician’s incentives are absolutely terrible for the consumer. They basically work together to screw the consumer. Minnesota used to have lower utility prices now they’re above-average because they’re shoving renewable mandates down our throats. Its regressive taxation.

    And it’s done through the regulators. When power companies bring their rate cases forward, if they don’t include the things that politicians and regulators want, the case gets rejected, and gets changed to meet the requirement.

    In the end, the power consumer pays for everything. We get what we pay for in politicians.

    That’s what it said. It was depressing as hell. 

    Decentralize everything. 

    Don’t central plan anything unless there is no other option. 

    Mises.org is right about everything. 

    • #84
  25. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    Al Sparks (View Comment):

    I’m not that concerned. The bald eagle is no longer endangered, and the population continues to increase.

     

    No longer endangered, but still threatened and protected by law (unless you’re Green Energy).

    Some species of bats are considered “Threatened” so it depends on which bats are getting killed.

    Windmills can’t discriminate between common bats and endangered.  One blade fits all . . .

    • #85
  26. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    No, I agree. Decentralization of the grid would seem to be a way to create a dynamic grid that would be more robust.

    Ideally, we would have a large number of power plants spread out over the country, with multiple transmission paths to all customers.  This would greatly enhance realiability, while at the same time providing firewalls in case of natural disaster or terrorism.

    But it does seem to be a legitimate concern for the feds… You know inter-state transportation of energy and all…

    TRansmission of electricty across state lines would be considered interstate commerce, so it is a Federal issue.  However, generation of power and rates within states are governed by local boards and their laws, which can have negative consequences when politically-driven mandates are written into state utility regs.

    • #86
  27. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):
    The other thing is they need to decentralize the grid. It would be more efficient and honestly run. Less politics.

    I agree but it seems the trend is just the opposite, with people left and right wanting the feds to get involved in protecting the grid as a matter of national security.

    Is that mutually exclusive?

    For practical purposes, yes.  The feds aren’t going to think of ways to help that don’t involve control.  

    • #87
  28. The Reticulator Member
    The Reticulator
    @TheReticulator

    Stad (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):
    I forget how we got to the topic, after he told me of his company’s work in installing wind farms, I told him that someday in the future, when it was decided to remove the wind towers, there would be objections from people who don’t want the landscape ruined, because they will have become part of what we expect to see.

    When my wife and I drove out west and back, I looked at all the windmills and thought, “This ruins the majesty of seeing how the Great Plains stretch out for miles.”

    Last summer I had a chance to visit the east end of the North Dakota fracking fields — places we used to travel to when I was a little tyke — and was surprised at the effect on the landscape. It was neat and orderly, not the mess the fracking-haters had led me to expect, but it ruined the majesty of the rolling prairie country a lot more than wind towers do, IMO.  But I imagine people will come to view it as the way the plains are supposed to look. 

    • #88
  29. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    The Reticulator (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):
    The other thing is they need to decentralize the grid. It would be more efficient and honestly run. Less politics.

    I agree but it seems the trend is just the opposite, with people left and right wanting the feds to get involved in protecting the grid as a matter of national security.

    Is that mutually exclusive?

    For practical purposes, yes. The feds aren’t going to think of ways to help that don’t involve control.

    That’s the dynamic. Then nobody does anything about it because of K Street money or inertia or whatever. Then things get worse. Nobody does anything. So now you’ve got Tump. 

    Centralization, cultural Marxism and the media. Those are your enemies.

    • #89
  30. Al Sparks Coolidge
    Al Sparks
    @AlSparks

    Stad (View Comment):
    No longer endangered, but still threatened and protected by law (unless you’re Green Energy).

    Bald Eagles are no longer considered “threatened” but of “least concern” with the population increasing.

    They are still regulated like they’re “endangered” because they’re like — BALD EAGLES.

    Most species that are in the “least concern” catagory can be hunted on a limited basis.  You can still be prosecuted for carrying a bald eagle feather.

    • #90
Become a member to join the conversation. Or sign in if you're already a member.