Trump Blinks

 

Under increasing pressure from the fallout of the trade war with China, it looks like President Trump may be walking back one of his campaign promises:

WASHINGTON—One year after withdrawing the U.S. from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, President Donald Trump has asked his top economic advisers to study the possibility of re-entering the trade pact negotiations.

Trump has deputized Robert Lighthizer, the U.S. trade representative, and Larry Kudlow, the director of the National Economic Council, to study the possibility of re-entering the TPP if the terms were favorable, the president told a group of lawmakers on Thursday.

The president’s new openness toward the TPP, which he had said during his campaign was a deal “pushed by special interests who want to rape our country,” comes as he is facing criticism from farmers for his escalating trade battle with China. After Trump took aim at China with new steel and aluminum tariffs, Beijing responded by announcing it would place penalties on a list of agricultural products that would affect swaths of the president’s political base.

As a matter of policy, this is a big win in the column for “Good Trump” — it’s absolutely the right policy move from both an economic or foreign policy perspective. As a political matter, it remains to be seen how his base, vehemently opposed to most trade deals, will take the news that the President is going against them on one of his core campaign promises.

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  1. Midget Faded Rattlesnake Member
    Midget Faded Rattlesnake
    @Midge

    Quake Voter (View Comment):

    A question for our libertarians: Why do so many prominent libertarians oppose the TPP? Tom Woods and Lew Rockwell oppose it. Many in the Mises school either oppose or are lukewarm. Not long into any debate at CATO and charges of “corporatist”, “mercantilist” and “faux free trade” are flying.

    Is it the IP dispute? Or the “perfect enemy of the possible” problem. Or the almost inevitable managed trade that results from these agreements?

    Libertarians often make the perfect the enemy of the politically possible. To some extent, that is their role – to remind us that politics ultimately has to answer for principles beyond mere political expediency.

    Libertarianism, especially capital-L Libertarianism is also a magnet for all sorts of contrarians, cranks, and weirdos. Lew Rockwell, for example, has the reputation for being more in the crank camp.

    Let’s use a domestic analogy. Libertarians (little-l libertarians included) often point out the damage done, especially to the poor, by minimum-wage laws. I once got into an argument with a far more centrist Republican who took the position that, because minimum wages hurt the poor, Republicans should increase the minimum wage, in order to fend off an even bigger increase in the minimum wage by Democrats. Naturally, my libertarian instincts rebelled against such strategic thinking. But did the more centrist Republican have a point?

    Sort of. If you think minimum-wage laws are bad, but there really is no alternative to increasing the minimum wage, you should go with the smaller increase. Part of the reason for libertarians’ existence, though, is to point out that maybe there is an alternative in matters such as these, even if it’s not one currently thought politically feasible.

    • #121
  2. Jamie Lockett Member
    Jamie Lockett
    @JamieLockett

    Quake Voter (View Comment):

    A question for our libertarians: Why do so many prominent libertarians oppose the TPP? Tom Woods and Lew Rockwell oppose it. Many in the Mises school either oppose or are lukewarm. Not long into any debate at CATO and charges of “corporatist”, “mercantilist” and “faux free trade” are flying.

    Is it the IP dispute? Or the “perfect enemy of the possible” problem. Or the almost inevitable managed trade that results from these agreements?

    It’s a no brainer for me … literally. I don’t exercise the grey cells much. Comparative advantage is a real and powerful good, and any deal which brings more of those advantages into the economy is a plus.

    Yet the best arguments I’ve read against TPP are from libertarians opposed to the bureaucratic domination of trade, the corporate control of IP on a global scale and the use of managed trading blocs as foreign policy power plays.

     

     

    So what you see here is the break between Paleolibertarians of the Mises Institute variety and other libertarians of the CATO/Reason variety (yes there are those at CATO who have problems with TPP). It mostly breaks down to a disagreement over whether the TPP can be considered free trade and in my opinion is an example of making the perfect the enemy of the good. Woods/Rockwell etc are right in that the TPP isn’t perfectly free trade, thus they oppose it on those grounds. Other libertarians, such as myself, look at TPP and say “Is trade more free with TPP than without it” – we answer yes and thus come down in favor of the agreement.

    • #122
  3. Umbra of Nex, Fractus Inactive
    Umbra of Nex, Fractus
    @UmbraFractus

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Fred Cole (View Comment):

    Columbo (View Comment):
    And following the first anti-American American President … that is extremely refreshing.

    That’s nonsensical. Why would somebody want to be president of the United States if we’re anti-American?

    I never understood this particular attack on Obama – having a different vision for what America could be does not mean you hate it, it just means you’re wrong.

    If someone says the country would be better off if black people had less influence, would we not call him a racist?

    If someone says society would be better off if women had less influence, would we not call him misogynist?

    So if someone says the world would be better off if America had less influence….

    • #123
  4. Jamie Lockett Member
    Jamie Lockett
    @JamieLockett

    Remember a lot of libertarians hold to the Friedman school of trade which is that we should abolish all tariffs, quotas and regulations on imports immediately (Friedman said over a period of 5 years to allow for businesses to adjust) and just let the rest of the world react. This is opposed by most conservatives as far as I know. Hence you have those of us who will support measures like TPP which makes things better overall, if not perfect based on our ideology. 

    • #124
  5. Jamie Lockett Member
    Jamie Lockett
    @JamieLockett

    Umbra of Nex, Fractus (View Comment):

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Fred Cole (View Comment):

    Columbo (View Comment):
    And following the first anti-American American President … that is extremely refreshing.

    That’s nonsensical. Why would somebody want to be president of the United States if we’re anti-American?

    I never understood this particular attack on Obama – having a different vision for what America could be does not mean you hate it, it just means you’re wrong.

    If someone says the country would be better off if black people had less influence, would we not call him a racist?

    If someone says society would be better off if women had less influence, would we not call him misogynist?

    So if someone says the world would be better off if America had less influence….

    Given that most of the founders thought that America should stay out of world affairs I fail to see how this reflects on ones patriotism. 

    • #125
  6. Umbra of Nex, Fractus Inactive
    Umbra of Nex, Fractus
    @UmbraFractus

    Fred Cole (View Comment):

    Instugator (View Comment):
    The answer: because they are interested in “fundamentally transforming the United States of America”

    That to me would indicate love, not hate. If you love something, you want to make it better.

    But this was just … whatever. What does it even mean? Listen beyond that phrase to the rest of the clip and it’s just empty boiler plate. Like it could be said by a Republican or a Democrat.

    If you had told your wife that your goal was to “fundamentally transform” her, would she have married you?

    • #126
  7. Midget Faded Rattlesnake Member
    Midget Faded Rattlesnake
    @Midge

    Umbra of Nex, Fractus (View Comment):
    If someone says society would be better off if women had less influence, would we not call him misogynist?

    To be fair, several of us lady Ricochetti have penned OPs at one point or another lamenting the influence of women in general on modern life, and wishing there were less of it.

    • #127
  8. Jamie Lockett Member
    Jamie Lockett
    @JamieLockett

    Btw if you think the internecine conservative wars are annoying get a bunch of libertarians together. 10min in and they’ve all excommunicated each other as heretical statists and one of them has jumped naked from the stage. 

    • #128
  9. Jamie Lockett Member
    Jamie Lockett
    @JamieLockett

    I’d like to take this opportunity to declare Fred a vile statist. 

    • #129
  10. Fred Cole Inactive
    Fred Cole
    @FredCole

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    I’d like to take this opportunity to declare Fred a vile statist.

    That’s okay. Nothing you say matters bc it is not in perfect agreement with me. 

    • #130
  11. Jamie Lockett Member
    Jamie Lockett
    @JamieLockett

    Fred Asked me to post this:

    • #131
  12. George Townsend Inactive
    George Townsend
    @GeorgeTownsend

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Btw if you think the internecine conservative wars are annoying get a bunch of libertarians together. 10min in and they’ve all excommunicated each other as heretical statists and one of them has jumped naked from the stage.

    This gave me such a good laugh. I needed that. Thanks, Jamie!

    • #132
  13. Columbo Inactive
    Columbo
    @Columbo

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Columbo (View Comment):
    That got Mr. D’Souza literally thrown in jail. In America! Our libertarians yawned.

    I thought it was for a clear violation of campaign finance law.

    … surprising for a libertarian to be so cavalier about such selective Maoistic/Stalinistic political persecution … 

    • #133
  14. Columbo Inactive
    Columbo
    @Columbo

    Columbo (View Comment):

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Columbo (View Comment):
    That got Mr. D’Souza literally thrown in jail. In America! Our libertarians yawned.

    I thought it was for a clear violation of campaign finance law.

    … surprising for a libertarian to be so cavalier about such selective Maoistic/Stalinistic political persecution …

    What’s not surprising ….

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dGjIW6XQnKo

     

    • #134
  15. blood thirsty neocon Inactive
    blood thirsty neocon
    @bloodthirstyneocon

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Ekosj (View Comment):

    Jamie Lockett: As a political matter, it remains to be seen how his base, vehemently opposed to most trade deals, will take the news that the President is going against them on one of his core campaign promises.

    This is part of the problem, misrepresenting the position. No one I know of is against trade or trade deals in general but trade and trade deals skewed against America and American workers. It’s like Democrats who misrepresent the position on illegal immigration as being against immigration in general. If you can’t get the basic facts right it’s hard to give credence to any analysis.

    Not a single person who holds this position can articulate what about these deals is skewed or bad. I’m still waiting to hear what was wrong with TPP a year ago that isn’t wrong with it today.

    Things were wrong then and they’re still wrong. For one thing, Vietnam gets to keep its tariffs on bovine carcasses and half-carcasses for two years, while US bovine carcasses and half carcasses go to 0% immediately. That’s completely unfair.

    Also, the year 1 tariffs on “meat and edible offal of poultry, not cut in pieces, fresh or chilled” starts at 36% for Vietnam, but ours starts at 0%. What a ripoff! I’ve got all this edible offal of poultry, not cut in pieces, fresh or chilled. I’ve gotta move it, but I can’t sell it to Vietnam without taking a huge haircut! Unfair!!!!

    • #135
  16. blood thirsty neocon Inactive
    blood thirsty neocon
    @bloodthirstyneocon

    Don’t even get me started on Vietnamese smoked rock lobster tariffs. I’m about to have a nervous breakdown just thinking about the  unfairness of it all. I demand a just and equitable tariff reduction schedule for all TPP countries!

    • #136
  17. Jamie Lockett Member
    Jamie Lockett
    @JamieLockett

    Columbo (View Comment):

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Columbo (View Comment):
    That got Mr. D’Souza literally thrown in jail. In America! Our libertarians yawned.

    I thought it was for a clear violation of campaign finance law.

    … surprising for a libertarian to be so cavalier about such selective Maoistic/Stalinistic political persecution …

    Do you have a less…sensationalist analysis of what happened?

    • #137
  18. Could Be Anyone Inactive
    Could Be Anyone
    @CouldBeAnyone

    Quake Voter (View Comment):

    A question for our libertarians: Why do so many prominent libertarians oppose the TPP? Tom Woods and Lew Rockwell oppose it. Many in the Mises school either oppose or are lukewarm. Not long into any debate at CATO and charges of “corporatist”, “mercantilist” and “faux free trade” are flying.

    Is it the IP dispute? Or the “perfect enemy of the possible” problem. Or the almost inevitable managed trade that results from these agreements?

    The Mises Institute, Rockwell, Woods camp are your isolationist anarcho-capitalists. Anything involving state activity, whether decreasing or increasing state power, is essentially a sin. I mean they support nullification and splitting the nation into dozens, if not hundreds, of small states so as to prevent military action from anyone. Its a very odd cocktail of ideas.

    • #138
  19. Fred Cole Inactive
    Fred Cole
    @FredCole

    Could Be Anyone (View Comment):

    Quake Voter (View Comment):

    A question for our libertarians: Why do so many prominent libertarians oppose the TPP? Tom Woods and Lew Rockwell oppose it. Many in the Mises school either oppose or are lukewarm. Not long into any debate at CATO and charges of “corporatist”, “mercantilist” and “faux free trade” are flying.

    Is it the IP dispute? Or the “perfect enemy of the possible” problem. Or the almost inevitable managed trade that results from these agreements?

    The Mises Institute, Rockwell, Woods camp are your isolationist anarcho-capitalists. Anything involving state activity, whether decreasing or increasing state power, is essentially a sin. I mean they support nullification and splitting the nation into dozens, if not hundreds, of small states so as to prevent military action from anyone. Its a very odd cocktail of ideas.

    Plus with Rockwell you also get conspiracy theories and alt med nonsense. 

    • #139
  20. Richard Easton Coolidge
    Richard Easton
    @RichardEaston

    Fred Cole (View Comment):

    Richard Easton (View Comment):
    He was the

    First, congratulations. You got me to put down my phone and use a keyboard to respond to you. I’m going to take this piece by piece.

    He was the most liberal senator.

    Okay, I’m sorry, but can we all agree that these designations are mostly bull [expletive]. Congress takes so many votes that depending on what you count and don’t count, you can declare almost anything.

    For example, Ben Sasse must love and support Donald Trump. After all, he votes with him 86.6% of the time.

    He was good pals with far lefties including well known people like Bill Ayers and more obscure radicals like Robert Creamer.

    Wow. So they … were friends? That bastard.

    I’m friends with all sorts of unsavory people of all political stripes. You could probably prove that I’m a fire breathing Trump supporter that way. After all, I’m part of an online community and used to work for Ricochet. And all you have to do is look at their front page to prove that it’s full of Trump supporters.

    He governed as a far Leftie; the R control of the House from 2011-2017 constrained him a bit.

    You’re right. And when the Democrats controlled Congress for his first two years, he nationalized the American health care sector and set up a single payer system.

    I may make a new post to deal with this at length.  I am working on several articles so it may be a while.  But I should comment that I lived in the Chicago area from 1993-2016 and one picks up a lot of things:

    1. My wife talked to Obama 1-1 in her office for 15 minutes in 1996.  She thought that he was unusually deceptive even for a politician.

    2. We were very good friends with Milt Rosenberg who interviewed Obama.  His campaign tried to shut down Milt’s Show twice in 2008.  They were thugs.  Milt said that he had never experienced this kind of attack from a campaign in over 30 years on WGN.

    3. Obama’s roommate in college said that he was a Marxist.  Some people grow out of that.  There’s no evidence of this for Obama.

    4.  Obama’s association with Bill Ayers appears to go back further than has been publically announced.  He appears to have been seeking out radicals rather than the reverse.  He states this explicitly in Dreams.

    5. I met a gentleman two weeks before the election who said that he had worked for Obama and that he was a dangerous radical.  I couldn’t confirm this but he had some interesting details about his work for O.

    6. You should check out Stanley Kurtz’s writings about Obama’s war on the suburbs.

    • #140
  21. I Walton Member
    I Walton
    @IWalton

    Fred Cole (View Comment):

    I Walton (View Comment):
    I think D’Souza makes the best case out there.

    D’Souza is a good example of what happens when you start with a premise and then cherry pick evidence to conform with the premise.

    He was making a case so used the best evidence at hand for the case he wanted to make.  Was it fabricated?    I didn’t need D’Souza to reach the same conclusion, but then I spent my life dealing directly or indirectly with the anti American left (and right) around the world.   It’s not hard to recognize especially with Obama because he seemed to believe and was consistent with that particular brand of anti colonial left.  You should see it now that they have the hysterical anti Trump US press to feed them a daily dose. In Latin America it’s a cultural bias, which I finally understood after serving in New Zealand where English speaking self-righteousness is purified by centuries of isolation.

    I didn’t like the TPP for the simple reason I don’t like these kinds of deals especially with Asians and  I didn’t trust Obama. For that matter I don’t trust the current administration to craft them either.  It’s too complex,we don’t have the same expertise, continuity and patience to come out ahead so we just please a few really pushy special interests.  However, I regret that this discussion ended where they all do about Trump’s character.

    • #141
  22. EDISONPARKS Member
    EDISONPARKS
    @user_54742

    Richard Easton (View Comment):

    Fred Cole (View Comment):

    Richard Easton (View Comment):
    He was the

    First, congratulations. You got me to put down my phone and use a keyboard to respond to you. I’m going to take this piece by piece.

    He was the most liberal senator.

    Okay, I’m sorry, but can we all agree that these designations are mostly bull [expletive]. Congress takes so many votes that depending on what you count and don’t count, you can declare almost anything.

    For example, Ben Sasse must love and support Donald Trump. After all, he votes with him 86.6% of the time.

    He was good pals with far lefties including well known people like Bill Ayers and more obscure radicals like Robert Creamer.

    Wow. So they … were friends? That bastard.

    I’m friends with all sorts of unsavory people of all political stripes. You could probably prove that I’m a fire breathing Trump supporter that way. After all, I’m part of an online community and used to work for Ricochet. And all you have to do is look at their front page to prove that it’s full of Trump supporters.

    He governed as a far Leftie; the R control of the House from 2011-2017 constrained him a bit.

    You’re right. And when the Democrats controlled Congress for his first two years, he nationalized the American health care sector and set up a single payer system.

    No, wait. The complete opposite of that. He imposed an individual mandate, something cooked up by Heritage, and proposed by congressional Republicans in the ’90s, and enacted at the state level by that socialist

    I may make a new post to deal with this at length. I am working on several articles so it may be a while. But I should comment that I lived in the Chicago area from 1993-2016 and one picks up a lot of things:

    1. My wife talked to Obama 1-1 in her office for 15 minutes in 1996. She thought that he was unusually deceptive even for a politician.

    2. We were very good friends with Milt Rosenberg who interviewed Obama. His campaign tried to suit down Milt’s Show twice in 2008. They were thugs.

    3. Obama’s roommate in college said that he was a Marxist. Some people grow out of that. There’s no evidence of this for Obama.

    4. Obama’s association with Bill Ayers appears to go back further than has been publically announced. He appears to have been seeking out radicals rather than the reverse. He states this explicitly in Dreams.

    5. I met a gentleman two weeks before the election who said that he had worked for Obama and that he was a dangerous radical. I couldn’t confirm this but he had some interesting details about his work for O.

    6. You should check out Stanley Kurtz’s writings about Obama’s war on the suburbs.

    Obama is a radical who got away with as much of a radical agenda as was politically feasible during his eight years.

    Obama’s most impressive quality as a politician was to make most people believe he was the reasonable moderate just trying to do what most folks wanted, and selling to the gullible (or those who just wanted to “like” Obama …. the crease in the pants and all … look at me, I voted for a black guy kind of “like” him) that anyone who opposed Obama’s policy agenda were the right wing radicals.

    • #142
  23. Jamie Lockett Member
    Jamie Lockett
    @JamieLockett

    Richard Easton (View Comment):
    3. Obama’s roommate in college said that he was a Marxist. Some people grow out of that. There’s no evidence of this for Obama.

    You mean other than the fact that he hasn’t advocated for Marxism? Thomas Sowell was a Marxist in college. It tells us nothing. 

    • #143
  24. Randy Webster Inactive
    Randy Webster
    @RandyWebster

    I fall into the “why fundamentally change something you love” camp.

    • #144
  25. Richard Easton Coolidge
    Richard Easton
    @RichardEaston

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Richard Easton (View Comment):
    3. Obama’s roommate in college said that he was a Marxist. Some people grow out of that. There’s no evidence of this for Obama.

    You mean other than the fact that he hasn’t advocated for Marxism? Thomas Sowell was a Marxist in college. It tells us nothing.

    I wrote “some people grow out of that.  There is no evidence of this for Obama.”  You quoted three sentences I wrote and ignored two of them.

    • #145
  26. Jamie Lockett Member
    Jamie Lockett
    @JamieLockett

    Richard Easton (View Comment):

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Richard Easton (View Comment):
    3. Obama’s roommate in college said that he was a Marxist. Some people grow out of that. There’s no evidence of this for Obama.

    You mean other than the fact that he hasn’t advocated for Marxism? Thomas Sowell was a Marxist in college. It tells us nothing.

    I wrote “some people grow out of that. There is no evidence of this for Obama.” You quoted three sentences I wrote and ignored two of them.

    The evidence being that he hasn’t advocated Marxism. 

    • #146
  27. Richard Easton Coolidge
    Richard Easton
    @RichardEaston

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Richard Easton (View Comment):

    Jamie Lockett (View Comment):

    Richard Easton (View Comment):
    3. Obama’s roommate in college said that he was a Marxist. Some people grow out of that. There’s no evidence of this for Obama.

    You mean other than the fact that he hasn’t advocated for Marxism? Thomas Sowell was a Marxist in college. It tells us nothing.

    I wrote “some people grow out of that. There is no evidence of this for Obama.” You quoted three sentences I wrote and ignored two of them.

    The evidence being that he hasn’t advocated Marxism.

    What do you think he has advocated?  It’s interesting to recount some of the lies his campaign told:

    1. He was never a Muslim – records in Indonesia surfaced that he was.

    2. He was never a socialist – Stanley Kurtz proved that he was a member of the New Party which was a socialist party.

    Obama was marinated in far leftism from an early age:

    3. Close association with far left people – Frank Marshall Davis, Bill Ayers, Louis Farrakhan (may not have been as close as the first two but interesting how they were able to hush it up), Al Sharpton etc.  I assume you know about Sharpton.  Would a R president be a guest on a radio show hosted by a KKK member?  Sharpton has blood on his hands.

    For Obama and zoning see

    https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/obama-fires-affh-warning-shot-over-hillarys-house-stanley-kurtz/

    • #147
  28. Fred Cole Inactive
    Fred Cole
    @FredCole

    Oh good. Obama the secret Muslim. 

    • #148
  29. Richard Easton Coolidge
    Richard Easton
    @RichardEaston

    Fred Cole (View Comment):

    Oh good. Obama the secret Muslim.

    I didn’t write that he was a Muslim today. His school records show that he was listed as a Muslim in Indonesia.  Do you dispute this.  His campaign denied it but the records show that his religion was Islam.

    • #149
  30. Columbo Inactive
    Columbo
    @Columbo

    Fred Cole (View Comment):

    Oh good. Obama the secret Muslim.

    Not so secret … your blindness is willful …

    • #150
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