Driverless Cars Are Happening, Even If Some in Washington Don’t Get It

 

In a chat not long ago with me, an influential GOP member of Congress pooh-poohed self-driving cars based on the idea that people wouldn’t be interested in the technology. Voters like their pickup trucks! Apparently this politician didn’t know any parents with teenagers getting ready to get behind the wheel. Certainly some polls show consumer concern.

But I recall someone who rode in a driverless car with great initial apprehension, which later turned to boredom since the car drove like it had downloaded the brain of a driver’s ed instructor. Actually I think the phrase “grandmotherly” may have been used.

To the above point, some relevant analysis from Ben Evans:

Electric and autonomous cars are just beginning – electric is happening now but will take time to grow, and autonomy is 5-10 years away from the first real launches. As they happen, each of these destabilises the car industry, changing what it means to make or own a car, and what it means to drive. Gasoline is half of global oil demand and car accidents kill 1.25m people year, and each of those could go away. But as I explored here, that’s just the start: if autonomy ends accidents, removes parking and transforms what congestion looks like, then we should try to imagine changes to cities on the same scale as those that came with cars themselves. How do cities change if some or all of their parking space is now available for new needs, or dumped on the market, or moved to completely different places? Where are you willing to live if ‘access to public transport’ is ‘anywhere’ and there are no traffic jams on your commute? How willing are people to go from their home in a suburb to dinner or a bar in a city centre on a dark cold wet night if they don’t have to park and an on-demand ride is the cost of a coffee? And how does law enforcement change when every passing car is watching everything?

Anyway, this great Axios chart gives a feel for just how seriously global companies are taking the technology, as well as the many complex linkages between them.

Published in Economics, Science & Technology
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  1. Miffed White Male Member
    Miffed White Male
    @MiffedWhiteMale

    Polyphemus (View Comment):

    Not really related, But I’ve long had a theory that we really screwed up when we built the Interstate Highway system because we only built the divided highway with 2 sets of lanes. It should have been built with three sets of lanes. Then you could have one set “actively” going in each direction, with the third set of lanes used for maintenance: i.e. you always have one set of lanes that’s not in use, so you can patch/repair/rebuild without disrupting traffic, then switch another set of lanes onto that one, patch/repair/rebuild, and repeat.

    Imagine driving coast to coast on the Interstate without ever enduring lane closures or seeing Orange barrels on the side of the road. Plus the roads would be in better shape because they could be worked on proactively without disrupting traffic.

    I tell you, there is no off position on the genius switch…

    I like that idea a lot. I also have always thought that mixing heavy freight traffic with passenger cars was mistake. Trucks create a number of more fatal hazards and much more wear and tear than cars do. A separated lane for trucks is appealing to me.

    We have those.  They’re called railroad tracks.

     

    • #121
  2. cdor Member
    cdor
    @cdor

    Polyphemus (View Comment):

    Miffed White Male (View Comment):

    Polyphemus (View Comment):

    Much like HOV lanes that we see now, I could see lanes for self-driving cars that would have specialized interchanges to mix back into regular traffic. Maybe these lanes have fewer exits and maybe there is a fee for using them. That would be driven by any market force that makes this attractive enough. Personally, I could see getting into the express lane in a self-driving car for the 8 hour trip to Orlando to see Grandma and being able to read or watch a movie. It would essentially deliver for me the one lingering attraction to having a passenger rail line from here to there. It would also be a lot cheaper than a train ticket and I wouldn’t have to arrange a ride from the single train station in the area to where I’m going. The dedicated lanes may not be strictly necessary in the technical sense but they may be in a cultural sense.

    I’m sure that there is a much greater business case to be made for hauling freight this way. At any rate, it just seems to me that interstate limited-access highways are the easiest entry point for seeing self-driving cars/trucks entering into the picture compared to the vagaries of surface streets, neighborhoods, county/state roads, etc.

    Not really related, But I’ve long had a theory that we really screwed up when we built the Interstate Highway system because we only built the divided highway with 2 sets of lanes. It should have been built with three sets of lanes. Then you could have one set “actively” going in each direction, with the third set of lanes used for maintenance: i.e. you always have one set of lanes that’s not in use, so you can patch/repair/rebuild without disrupting traffic, then switch another set of lanes onto that one, patch/repair/rebuild, and repeat.

    Imagine driving coast to coast on the Interstate without ever enduring lane closures or seeing Orange barrels on the side of the road. Plus the roads would be in better shape because they could be worked on proactively without disrupting traffic.

    I tell you, there is no off position on the genius switch…

    I like that idea a lot. I also have always thought that mixing heavy freight traffic with passenger cars was mistake. Trucks create a number of more fatal hazards and much more wear and tear than cars do. A separated lane for trucks is appealing to me.

    Plus a bicycle lane, a motorized bicycle lane, an old people with walkers lane…we should have made the highways about a mile wide and every time something new comes along, all we have to do is paint another stripe. What were we thinking!?!

    • #122
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