Iran Launches Direct Assault on Israel

 

A wave of drones and ballistic missiles have been launched from Iran to Israel Saturday night, marking a new phase in the wider Middle East conflict. While Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp has been behind many attacks against Israel, tonight is the first instance of a direct assault from the territory of the Islamic Republic against the Jewish State.

The extent of the attack is not yet clear. The New York Times reports that more than 200 drones and missiles have been launched in the retaliatory strike—a response to the deadly strike on an Iranian embassy in Syria.

Israeli, American and other allied forces claim to have intercepted dozens of drones and most missiles before reaching the territory. Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari has confirmed minor damage to an Israeli military base and a single casualty to a young girl.

The United Nations Security Council is set to hold an emergency meeting Sunday afternoon.

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  1. TBA, sometimes known as 'Teebs'. Coolidge
    TBA, sometimes known as 'Teebs'.
    @RobtGilsdorf

    Many Happy Returns. 

    • #1
  2. Fritz Coolidge
    Fritz
    @Fritz

    The UN Security Council will no doubt condemn Israel for forcing Iran to launch an attack onto Israeli territory.  [spit]

    • #2
  3. Flapjack Coolidge
    Flapjack
    @Flapjack

    Fritz (View Comment):

    The UN Security Council will no doubt condemn Israel for forcing Iran to launch an attack onto Israeli territory. [spit]

    I have very little doubt that this will happen.  Surely the US won’t abstain from that vote, right?  

    • #3
  4. iWe Coolidge
    iWe
    @iWe

    Iran launched some 185 drones, 110 surface-to-surface missiles, and 36 cruise missiles at Israel, two Israeli officials tell The New York Times.

    https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-april-14-2024/

    • #4
  5. OccupantCDN Coolidge
    OccupantCDN
    @OccupantCDN

    Being a very presidential president, his schedule of very important issues will not be disrupted.

    He’s unable to react to events that occur after 4 PM Eastern.

    • #5
  6. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    I was highly alarmed by this attack, but something didn’t make sense to me when I heard that Iran “Announced” that they had launched drones and missiles at Israel.  I got an idea in my head and then it seemed to be confirmed when an Iranian official announced that “this should conclude matters.” I also kept in mind that Iran make a public statement about attacking Israel days beforehand.

    What I suspect is that Iran did the same thing they did against U.S. targets after Trump made the hit on Solemani and friends during his visit to Iraq – they launched a rocket attack that was meant to fail, but send a message to their own people and terrorist surrogates, that they were going to stand up to the big guys.  Iran doesn’t really want to get into a war with military superpowers that could wipe them off the map.  They just want to act tough, without riling the U.S. and Israel into taking devastating action.  If they really meant to do grievous damage, they would have launched a complete surprise attack, the way Hamas did.

    Any thoughts?

    • #6
  7. TBA, sometimes known as 'Teebs'. Coolidge
    TBA, sometimes known as 'Teebs'.
    @RobtGilsdorf

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    I was highly alarmed by this attack, but something didn’t make sense to me when I heard that Iran “Announced” that they had launched drones and missiles at Israel. I got an idea in my head and then it seemed to be confirmed when an Iranian official announced that “this should conclude matters.” I also kept in mind that Iran make a public statement about attacking Israel days beforehand.

    What I suspect is that Iran did the same thing they did against U.S. targets after Trump made the hit on Solemani and friends during his visit to Iraq – they launched a rocket attack that was meant to fail, but send a message to their own people and terrorist surrogates, that they were going to stand up to the big guys. Iran doesn’t really want to get into a war with military superpowers that could wipe them off the map. They just want to act tough, without riling the U.S. and Israel into taking devastating action. If they really meant to do grievous damage, they would have launched a complete surprise attack, the way Hamas did.

    Any thoughts?

    Counting Joup? 

    • #7
  8. Instugator Thatcher
    Instugator
    @Instugator

    Steven Seward (View Comment):
    they launched a rocket attack that was meant to fail,

    It didn’t fail. None were intercepted, very few missed their targets. American servicemembers were injured.

    In this case, it looks like there were established defensive CAPs and they were used. In all probability, the drones were detected by surveillance radar; while due to the comprehensive nuclear test ban treaty, the MRBMs were detected at launch. The treaty regime includes worldwide monitoring of high intensity heat plumes  via satellite with immediate notification to signatories.  The Iranian announcement has nothing to do with the response.

    • #8
  9. MichaelCrane Inactive
    MichaelCrane
    @MichaelCrane

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Being a very presidential president, his schedule of very important issues will not be disrupted.

    He’s unable to react to events that occur after 4 PM Eastern.

    Nothing could disturb his “Hazel” binging.

    • #9
  10. kedavis Coolidge
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Being a very presidential president, his schedule of very important issues will not be disrupted.

    He’s unable to react to events that occur after 4 PM Eastern.

    And it’s ALWAYS after 4pm Eastern.

    • #10
  11. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    I was highly alarmed by this attack, but something didn’t make sense to me when I heard that Iran “Announced” that they had launched drones and missiles at Israel. I got an idea in my head and then it seemed to be confirmed when an Iranian official announced that “this should conclude matters.” I also kept in mind that Iran make a public statement about attacking Israel days beforehand.

    What I suspect is that Iran did the same thing they did against U.S. targets after Trump made the hit on Solemani and friends during his visit to Iraq – they launched a rocket attack that was meant to fail, but send a message to their own people and terrorist surrogates, that they were going to stand up to the big guys. Iran doesn’t really want to get into a war with military superpowers that could wipe them off the map. They just want to act tough, without riling the U.S. and Israel into taking devastating action. If they really meant to do grievous damage, they would have launched a complete surprise attack, the way Hamas did.

    Any thoughts?

    Agree.  And they said it’s done now  Any escalation after this isn’t on them, it’s on Israel.

    • #11
  12. Richard Easton Coolidge
    Richard Easton
    @RichardEaston

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    I was highly alarmed by this attack, but something didn’t make sense to me when I heard that Iran “Announced” that they had launched drones and missiles at Israel. I got an idea in my head and then it seemed to be confirmed when an Iranian official announced that “this should conclude matters.” I also kept in mind that Iran make a public statement about attacking Israel days beforehand.

    What I suspect is that Iran did the same thing they did against U.S. targets after Trump made the hit on Solemani and friends during his visit to Iraq – they launched a rocket attack that was meant to fail, but send a message to their own people and terrorist surrogates, that they were going to stand up to the big guys. Iran doesn’t really want to get into a war with military superpowers that could wipe them off the map. They just want to act tough, without riling the U.S. and Israel into taking devastating action. If they really meant to do grievous damage, they would have launched a complete surprise attack, the way Hamas did.

    Any thoughts?

    Agree. And they said it’s done now Any escalation after this isn’t on them, it’s on Israel.

    Unfortunately for Iran, Israel gets a vote on when it’s done. 

    • #12
  13. iWe Coolidge
    iWe
    @iWe

    I do not understand why Hezbollah did not launch at the same time, to overwhelm the defenses. 

    • #13
  14. Buckpasser Member
    Buckpasser
    @Buckpasser

    I’m sure the missiles were launched “accidentally.”  Even so, they were mostly peaceful missiles.

    • #14
  15. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    Ballistic missiles. Those seem like pretty worthless ballistic missiles. I’d like to know more about that. 

    • #15
  16. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    Fritz (View Comment):

    The UN Security Council will no doubt condemn Israel for forcing Iran to launch an attack onto Israeli territory. [spit]

    And for shooting down most of the attacks . . .

    • #16
  17. Charles Mark Member
    Charles Mark
    @CharlesMark

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    I was highly alarmed by this attack, but something didn’t make sense to me when I heard that Iran “Announced” that they had launched drones and missiles at Israel. I got an idea in my head and then it seemed to be confirmed when an Iranian official announced that “this should conclude matters.” I also kept in mind that Iran make a public statement about attacking Israel days beforehand.

    What I suspect is that Iran did the same thing they did against U.S. targets after Trump made the hit on Solemani and friends during his visit to Iraq – they launched a rocket attack that was meant to fail, but send a message to their own people and terrorist surrogates, that they were going to stand up to the big guys. Iran doesn’t really want to get into a war with military superpowers that could wipe them off the map. They just want to act tough, without riling the U.S. and Israel into taking devastating action. If they really meant to do grievous damage, they would have launched a complete surprise attack, the way Hamas did.

    Any thoughts?

    Agree. And they said it’s done now Any escalation after this isn’t on them, it’s on Israel.

    Iran is up to its neck in every conflict in the Middle-East, and has inflicted or funded mass killings in Syria and Yemen. It has turned those two countries and Lebanon into failed States. It uses their territories to carry out attacks. Israel has shown remarkable forbearance in the face of attacks and threats  from Iran and its proxies. 

    • #17
  18. Instugator Thatcher
    Instugator
    @Instugator

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Ballistic missiles. Those seem like pretty worthless ballistic missiles. I’d like to know more about that.

    I wouldn’t say that. They were very accurate when Iran attacked the airbase in Iraq following the killing of Solomani. Rather, Israel has invested heavily in ballistic missile defense since Iraq attacked them with Scuds in 1991. Looks like that  investment paid off.

    I do love how the UN (and @zafar) beclowned themselves by blaming Israel for the attack and demanding a ceasefire.

     

    • #18
  19. JoshuaFinch Coolidge
    JoshuaFinch
    @JoshuaFinch

    Maybe one of Iran’s drones will drop a bomb on the golden dome.  That would be a delightful outcome to the mullahs’ chicanery.

    • #19
  20. Doctor Robert Member
    Doctor Robert
    @DoctorRobert

    Nuke Tehran.  Get it over with quickly.

    • #20
  21. philo Member
    philo
    @philo

    Zafar (View Comment): …And they said it’s done now  Any escalation after this isn’t on them, it’s on Israel.

    A wonderful display of the mentality and maturity of a typical sixth grade bully. The adults in the area should treat them appropriately. 

    • #21
  22. RufusRJones Member
    RufusRJones
    @RufusRJones

    Instugator (View Comment):

    RufusRJones (View Comment):

    Ballistic missiles. Those seem like pretty worthless ballistic missiles. I’d like to know more about that.

    I wouldn’t say that. They were very accurate when Iran attacked the airbase in Iraq following the killing of Solomani. Rather, Israel has invested heavily in ballistic missile defense since Iraq attacked them with Scuds in 1991. Looks like that investment paid off.

    I do love how the UN (and @ zafar) beclowned themselves by blaming Israel for the attack and demanding a ceasefire.

     

    Well, it seems pretty impressive that they shot so many of them down. It looks like a hard problem to me. 

    • #22
  23. John H. Member
    John H.
    @JohnH

    Ricochet Editors' Desk:

    The extent of the attack is not yet clear. The New York Times reports that more than 200 drones and missiles have been launched in the retaliatory strike—a response to the deadly strike on an Iranian embassy in Syria.

    “An” embassy in Syria? How many others does Iran have there?

    I’m being pedantic. It’s probably just a consulate. Maybe the newspaper article said that. I don’t have a New York Times subscription and I’m not giving them my e-mail address. Anyway, whatever Editors’ [sic] Desk this is coming from or being relayed through, I think details matter. Sometimes. The Middle East seems to cycle between insincere diplomacy and real fury, now thrilling to technicalities, now losing patience with them.

    • #23
  24. tigerlily Member
    tigerlily
    @tigerlily

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Being a very presidential president, his schedule of very important issues will not be disrupted.

    He’s unable to react to events that occur after 4 PM Eastern.

    I am just wondering if he does speak to the nation regarding this incident, will he condemn Iran as harshly as he has condemned Israel for defending themselves.

    • #24
  25. tigerlily Member
    tigerlily
    @tigerlily

    Wow – I don’t know what to make of this report assuming it’s true. What kind of ally are we to Israel if we had fore-knowledge of the attack and blessed it?

    • #25
  26. OccupantCDN Coolidge
    OccupantCDN
    @OccupantCDN

    tigerlily (View Comment):

    OccupantCDN (View Comment):

    Being a very presidential president, his schedule of very important issues will not be disrupted.

    He’s unable to react to events that occur after 4 PM Eastern.

    I am just wondering if he does speak to the nation regarding this incident, will he condemn Iran as harshly as he has condemned Israel for defending themselves.

    Nah. He won’t comment on it at all…

    By the time he gets back to the office, it’ll be Monday or Tuesday… If asked he’ll just respond with some version of:

    “Man! that was like 4 days ago!”

    • #26
  27. aardo vozz Member
    aardo vozz
    @aardovozz

    iWe (View Comment):

    I do not understand why Hezbollah did not launch at the same time, to overwhelm the defenses.

    That may eventually happen. I’m concerned that this attack from Iran is only the first of many.  There are countries expressing disapproval of Iran’s attack, but with more attacks, I’m thinking there will be fewer expressions of disapproval, and as with Gaza previously, accepted as a “ new normal”.  Over time ( a few years , perhaps), Hezbollah may occasionally join in these rocket attacks until, one day, Israel faces another “October 7”, but from the North.

    • #27
  28. Steven Seward Member
    Steven Seward
    @StevenSeward

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    I was highly alarmed by this attack, but something didn’t make sense to me when I heard that Iran “Announced” that they had launched drones and missiles at Israel. I got an idea in my head and then it seemed to be confirmed when an Iranian official announced that “this should conclude matters.” I also kept in mind that Iran make a public statement about attacking Israel days beforehand.

    What I suspect is that Iran did the same thing they did against U.S. targets after Trump made the hit on Solemani and friends during his visit to Iraq – they launched a rocket attack that was meant to fail, but send a message to their own people and terrorist surrogates, that they were going to stand up to the big guys. Iran doesn’t really want to get into a war with military superpowers that could wipe them off the map. They just want to act tough, without riling the U.S. and Israel into taking devastating action. If they really meant to do grievous damage, they would have launched a complete surprise attack, the way Hamas did.

    Any thoughts?

    Agree. And they said it’s done now Any escalation after this isn’t on them, it’s on Israel.

    My wife thought that the attack might have been more to goad Israel into striking back, rather than to damage them.  That way Iran could have the excuse to launch a more devastating attack that would garner praise from all the world’s bad guys and leftists.  They just had to know that drones, which take hours to reach Israel and are easily detected by radar and shot down, would do no serious damage.  Tiger Lily’s comment about Iran informing Turkey, our NATO ally, about the attack beforehand, is further evidence that this was not meant to be a Pearl-Harbor like surprise event.  I would assume that Iran has a pretty good idea of the strength of Israel’s “Iron Dome” and “David’s Arrow” missile defense systems, since they have been in full operation and on public display for the last two decades.

    There is yet a third theory that Iran was testing Israel’s defense systems to see how many hits they could absorb at once, in order to gauge how many missiles are needed in a future “major attack.”

    • #28
  29. MarciN Member
    MarciN
    @MarciN

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    Zafar (View Comment):

    Steven Seward (View Comment):

    I was highly alarmed by this attack, but something didn’t make sense to me when I heard that Iran “Announced” that they had launched drones and missiles at Israel. I got an idea in my head and then it seemed to be confirmed when an Iranian official announced that “this should conclude matters.” I also kept in mind that Iran make a public statement about attacking Israel days beforehand.

    What I suspect is that Iran did the same thing they did against U.S. targets after Trump made the hit on Solemani and friends during his visit to Iraq – they launched a rocket attack that was meant to fail, but send a message to their own people and terrorist surrogates, that they were going to stand up to the big guys. Iran doesn’t really want to get into a war with military superpowers that could wipe them off the map. They just want to act tough, without riling the U.S. and Israel into taking devastating action. If they really meant to do grievous damage, they would have launched a complete surprise attack, the way Hamas did.

    Any thoughts?

    Agree. And they said it’s done now Any escalation after this isn’t on them, it’s on Israel.

    My wife thought that the attack might have been more to goad Israel into striking back, rather than to damage them. That way Iran could have the excuse to launch a more devastating attack that would garner praise from all the world’s bad guys and leftists. They just had to know that drones, which take hours to reach Israel and are easily detected by radar and shot down, would do no serious damage. Tiger Lily’s comment about Iran informing Turkey, our NATO ally, about the attack beforehand, is further evidence that this was not meant to be a Pearl-Harbor like surprise event. I would assume that Iran has a pretty good idea of the strength of Israel’s “Iron Dome” and “David’s Arrow” missile defense systems, since they have been in full operation and on public display for the last two decades.

    There is yet a third theory that Iran was testing Israel’s defense systems to see how many hits they could absorb at once, in order to gauge how many missiles are needed in a future “major attack.”

    All of those theories are plausible to me. All of them. 

    • #29
  30. TBA, sometimes known as 'Teebs'. Coolidge
    TBA, sometimes known as 'Teebs'.
    @RobtGilsdorf

    JoshuaFinch (View Comment):

    Maybe one of Iran’s drones will drop a bomb on the golden dome. That would be a delightful outcome to the mullahs’ chicanery.

    Yes, Muslims would never forgive Israel for that. 

    • #30
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