My Brilliant Prediction

 

Every once in a while, I’ll dictate a quick note into my phone, usually while driving, about an idea that I think I might be able to turn into a post one day, if the mood should strike me.  Most of those ideas aren’t worth bothering with, and I just scroll past them later.  I was perusing that list today, and I was stopped by a brilliant prediction that I made back in 2018:

Trump’s presidency has been much more successful than I expected.  Or anyone else.  If he continues to do this well, the only way the Democrats will be able to beat him in 2020 will be to return to their pattern of nominating a young, attractive, relatively unknown candidate with a short inoffensive voting history and outstanding speaking skills.  Still probably lose.  But that’s their only hope.

So I look at Joe Biden, and I look at my prediction, and I think, “Brilliant prediction, goofball…”  But on the other hand, maybe I was right – maybe Biden couldn’t beat Trump in an election.  Maybe.  Not sure.  But regardless, the same thought occurs to me now.  I know that Biden says he’s running for re-election, but I just can’t believe that.  I also can’t believe that the Democrats will run Kamala Harris.  So I figure they’ll go find a Bill Clinton / John Edwards / JFK type.  But the supposed “party of youth” seems to have a very thin bench in the younger age brackets.

Their most likely candidates would be Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, or Michael Bloomberg.  Sanders and Bloomberg will be 82 in 2002.  Warren will be 74.  All are as old, unlikeable, and lousy at communicating as John Kerry, Hillary Clinton, and Joe Biden.  So surely not, right?

Tulsi Gabbard is obviously the most attractive, likable, and inspiring figure they have on their roster, and she’ll be 43.  She would be a good choice.  But there’s just no way the Democrats will nominate her.

Which leaves Pete Buttigieg (42) and Beto O’Rourke (51).  Unlike Bill Clinton, neither is a particularly gifted orator.  But unlike Joe Biden, both are capable of speaking English and making sense.  So maybe.  I guess.  But both are bland as Wonder Bread.  On the other hand, just 20 years ago, the Democrats nominated Al Gore.  So who knows.

But I just don’t see how the Democrats can hope to be successful by continuing their recent pattern of John Kerry, Hillary Clinton, and Joe Biden.

Democrats currently control the Presidency, the House, the Senate, most of the judiciary, the media, the educational establishment, social media, corporate America, and the entertainment industry.  Their power would seem to be near absolute.

But I look ahead, and I try to put myself in their position, and I think “The Democrats have a very serious problem, here.”

Or maybe they don’t.  They ran a corrupt, unpleasant, decrepit fool in 2020 and he won an unbelievable 81 million votes – an all-time record.  Without even campaigning.  Against a very successful incumbent.  Who was vilified by the press, like every other Republican President.  But as Reagan, Bush, etc., will attest, this is not a new strategy for the Democrats.

But still, a very successful incumbent lost to a corrupt, unpleasant, decrepit fool.  So maybe it doesn’t matter who the Democrats run.

Maybe.

But as Democrats make things in America progressively worse, and as they run progressively worse candidates, perhaps the power could shift.  A bit.  Perhaps even past the margin of cheating election irregularities.  Perhaps.

It obviously didn’t matter who they nominated last time.  Maybe it will matter this time.

Maybe.

What do you think?

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  1. Stina Member
    Stina
    @CM

    Eventually, if they continue the pattern, the election “irregularities” will finally be seen for the fraud they actually are.

    But that’s a dangerous place to put themselves so I don’t understand why they made it as obvious as they did except for as a real world example of the villain confession.

    We have put together—and you guys did it for President Obama’s administration before this—we have put together I think the most extensive and inclusive voter fraud organization in the history of American politics.

     

    • #1
  2. hoowitts Coolidge
    hoowitts
    @hoowitts

    Dr. Bastiat: It obviously didn’t matter who they nominated last time.  Maybe it will matter this time.

    Nope.

    This is where I think conservatives remain confused…or at worst obtuse. Even in the face of such abject failure as the Biden administration, so many Democrats still think he is better than “the alternative”.  And before the sparks begin to fly, this is not specifically referring to DJT.

    Most Democrats and left-of-center independents, simply have been taught to hate Republicans. Hate Republicans. Ask any 10 Democrat friends…OK, go out and find 10 reasonable Democrats…damn, this is getting difficult. Just find 10 Democrats that will talk to you or give you the time of day. Even with nearly 40 years of perspective most will still say President Reagan was an abominable president. 

    During the 2016 campaign nearly every Trump voter expressed reservations pulling that lever. Never…and I do mean NEVER,  did I meet a Hillary voter express one iota of reservation voting for that witch candidate. 

    The Left is not driven by ideas of success but lean into their hate of the opposition. Pure Marx/Chomsky/Alinsky. It is the politics of envy.

    • #2
  3. Dr. Bastiat Member
    Dr. Bastiat
    @drbastiat

    hoowitts (View Comment):

    Dr. Bastiat: It obviously didn’t matter who they nominated last time. Maybe it will matter this time.

    Nope.

    This is where I think conservatives remain confused…or at worst obtuse. Even in the face of such abject failure as the Biden administration, so many Democrats still think he is better than “the alternative”. And before the sparks begin to fly, this is not specifically referring to DJT.

    Most Democrats and left-of-center independents, simply have been taught to hate Republicans. Hate Republicans. Ask any 10 Democrat friends…OK, go out and find 10 reasonable Democrats…damn, this is getting difficult. Just find 10 Democrats that will talk to you or give you the time of day. Even with nearly 40 years of perspective most will still say President Reagan was an abominable president.

    During the 2016 campaign nearly every Trump voter expressed reservations pulling that lever. Never…and I do mean NEVER, did I meet a Hillary voter express one iota of reservation voting for that witch candidate.

    The Left is not driven by ideas of success but lean into their hate of the opposition. Pure Marx/Chomsky/Alinsky. It is the politics of envy.

    It would be nice if you were wrong.

    But I don’t see how anyone could argue with one word that you said…

    • #3
  4. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    Beware of Manchin/Sinema 2024 . . .

    • #4
  5. Dr. Bastiat Member
    Dr. Bastiat
    @drbastiat

    Stad (View Comment):

    Beware of Manchin/Sinema 2024 . . .

    Right.

    No chance.

    • #5
  6. Western Chauvinist Member
    Western Chauvinist
    @WesternChauvinist

    You forgot AOC. 

    • #6
  7. DonG (CAGW is a Hoax) Coolidge
    DonG (CAGW is a Hoax)
    @DonG

    Gavin Newsom is who I am betting on.   He has good looks, height (6′ 3″), unlimited money, and the backing of the Calif. political mafia.   Maybe that crazy lady yelling about Starbucks being out of oat milk again can be his Veep. 

     

    • #7
  8. Dr. Bastiat Member
    Dr. Bastiat
    @drbastiat

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    You forgot AOC.

    Oh wow.

    Well, you’re right.  That would be interesting.

    Wow.

    • #8
  9. Dr. Bastiat Member
    Dr. Bastiat
    @drbastiat

    DonG (CAGW is a Hoax) (View Comment):

    Gavin Newsom is who I am betting on. He has good looks, height (6′ 3″), unlimited money, and the backing of the Calif. political mafia. Maybe that crazy lady yelling about Starbucks being out of oat milk again can be his Veep.

     

    Good thought.  And the media will report how great things are in California under his enlightened governance. 

    It doesn’t have to be true.  It just has to be on all the social media news feeds.  And they can do that.

    Yeah, maybe.

    • #9
  10. Bishop Wash Member
    Bishop Wash
    @BishopWash

    The DNC media machine has worked hard to make him presentable, a fawning documentary and LARPing as a parent. The supply chain issues happening as he’s the Secretary of Transportation should be a problem but how many viewers know of that connection? I’m sure he’ll run in 2024. When does he resign to start running?

    • #10
  11. navyjag Coolidge
    navyjag
    @navyjag

    Agree with Don G.  Gov. French Laundry a safer choice. Would get all the California delegates.  Also has lots of gay support given his same sex marriage advocacy when mayor of S.F.  An idiot but no doubt brighter than the moron now in the office. 

    • #11
  12. Dr. Bastiat Member
    Dr. Bastiat
    @drbastiat

    navyjag (View Comment):
    Would get all the California delegates. 

    Are there any Democrat candidates who would not?

    • #12
  13. navyjag Coolidge
    navyjag
    @navyjag

    Dr. Bastiat (View Comment):

    navyjag (View Comment):
    Would get all the California delegates.

    Are there any Democrat candidates who would not?

    No but he would beat any other Democrat who ran in the primary including Kamala. 

    • #13
  14. Fake John/Jane Galt Coolidge
    Fake John/Jane Galt
    @FakeJohnJaneGalt

    I figure it will be Mayor Pete.  Being gay, just went out and got some gay children so the pull the family bit.  It is not like he has to actually win.  All he has to do is make it look like he could so the cheating looks good.  

    Vote Gay, it is their turn.  Worked for Obama will work for Pete.  

     

    • #14
  15. Some Call Me ...Tim Coolidge
    Some Call Me ...Tim
    @SomeCallMeTim

      Who do you like in the Kentucky Derby?

    • #15
  16. philo Member
    philo
    @philo

    Dr. Bastiat: …he won an unbelievable 81 million votes…

    Yes…and in the most literal sense of the word. The implausibility of that number alone is the ultimate red flag for the corrupted election(s). It can never be explained, so they don’t even try.

    • #16
  17. hoowitts Coolidge
    hoowitts
    @hoowitts

    Dr. Bastiat (View Comment):

    hoowitts (View Comment):

    Dr. Bastiat: It obviously didn’t matter who they nominated last time. Maybe it will matter this time.

    Nope.

    It would be nice if you were wrong.

    But I don’t see how anyone could argue with one word that you said…

    • #17
  18. Richard Easton Coolidge
    Richard Easton
    @RichardEaston

    Hillary wants to run (or perhaps crawl).

    • #18
  19. Dr. Bastiat Member
    Dr. Bastiat
    @drbastiat

    Richard Easton (View Comment):

    Hillary wants to run (or perhaps crawl).

    She’ll be 76 in 2024.  Young by recent standards, I guess.

    You’re probably right.  She’ll keep running until she can’t walk.

    Which, sometimes, she can’t.

    • #19
  20. Bishop Wash Member
    Bishop Wash
    @BishopWash

    Richard Easton (View Comment):

    Hillary wants to run (or perhaps crawl).

    But she was just flashing the white power sign at some event this weekend. Could be troublesome. Heard that the Clinton Global Initiative Money Laundering Group was restarted. Maybe she is running in 2024.

    • #20
  21. Dbroussa Coolidge
    Dbroussa
    @Dbroussa

    Stina (View Comment):
    Eventually, if they continue the pattern, the election “irregularities” will finally be seen for the fraud they actually are.

    Two reasons that the GOP resisted really pushing on those irregularities.  One was getting rid of Trump was, in the minds of the GOPe, the best thing that could happen to ensure they managed to get back to the real business of enriching themselves at the trough of the public.

    The second reason is that they figure that they can use the same tricks and do it better than the Dems did in 20.

    • #21
  22. kedavis Member
    kedavis
    @kedavis

    Dr. Bastiat (View Comment):

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    You forgot AOC.

    Oh wow.

    Well, you’re right. That would be interesting.

    Wow.

    AOC fails the “can speak coherently” test too, but at least she’s young.

    • #22
  23. Flicker Coolidge
    Flicker
    @Flicker

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Dr. Bastiat (View Comment):

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    You forgot AOC.

    Oh wow.

    Well, you’re right. That would be interesting.

    Wow.

    AOC fails the “can speak coherently” test too, but at least she’s young.

    But her eyes!  I find myself… mesmerized… by her… eyes.  I must say that Miss Cortez is… is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being I’ve ever known in my life.

    • #23
  24. Tex929rr Coolidge
    Tex929rr
    @Tex929rr

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Dr. Bastiat (View Comment):

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    You forgot AOC.

    Oh wow.

    Well, you’re right. That would be interesting.

    Wow.

    AOC fails the “can speak coherently” test too, but at least she’s young.

    I think actually too young for 2024.  Maybe not.  A quick search shows she will turn 35 in October 2024.  She strikes me as a self detonating sort of presidential candidate.

    A Trump/AOC race?  Oh, snap.

    • #24
  25. Gazpacho Grande' Coolidge
    Gazpacho Grande'
    @ChrisCampion

    Tex929rr (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Dr. Bastiat (View Comment):

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    You forgot AOC.

    Oh wow.

    Well, you’re right. That would be interesting.

    Wow.

    AOC fails the “can speak coherently” test too, but at least she’s young.

    I think actually too young for 2024. Maybe not. A quick search shows she will turn 35 in October 2024. She strikes me as a self detonating sort of presidential candidate.

    A Trump/AOC race? Oh, snap.

    Finally, a reality show I’d tune into.

    • #25
  26. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    Some Call Me …Tim (View Comment):

    Who do you like in the Kentucky Derby?

    Pete doesn’t have the wind. Go with Gavin, unless the track is muddy. Go with Kamala then.

    • #26
  27. Peckish Cedar Coolidge
    Peckish Cedar
    @PeckishCedar

    Gabbard might be setting us up as the “rational moderate” on Fox, then do her pivot after getting elected.  Otherwise, Gavin.

    • #27
  28. Headedwest Coolidge
    Headedwest
    @Headedwest

    Flicker (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Dr. Bastiat (View Comment):

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    You forgot AOC.

    Oh wow.

    Well, you’re right. That would be interesting.

    Wow.

    AOC fails the “can speak coherently” test too, but at least she’s young.

    But her eyes! I find myself… mesmerized… by her… eyes. I must say that Miss Cortez is… is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being I’ve ever known in my life.

    Whenever you start down this path, remember this: DONKEY TEETH and GOOGLY EYES.

    • #28
  29. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    Flicker (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Dr. Bastiat (View Comment):

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    You forgot AOC.

    Oh wow.

    Well, you’re right. That would be interesting.

    Wow.

    AOC fails the “can speak coherently” test too, but at least she’s young.

    But her eyes! I find myself… mesmerized… by her… eyes. I must say that Miss Cortez is… is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being I’ve ever known in my life.

    • #29
  30. hoowitts Coolidge
    hoowitts
    @hoowitts

    Flicker (View Comment):

    kedavis (View Comment):

    Dr. Bastiat (View Comment):

    Western Chauvinist (View Comment):

    You forgot AOC.

    Oh wow.

    Well, you’re right. That would be interesting.

    Wow.

    AOC fails the “can speak coherently” test too, but at least she’s young.

    But her eyes! I find myself… mesmerized… by her… eyes. I must say that Miss Cortez is… is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being I’ve ever known in my life.

    Don’t underestimate the effect of those doe-eyes on the emotional masses of the left. Same with Sir Gavin- the man certainly looks pretty in a suit.  Image is everything.

    • #30
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