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Rasmussen: Party Affiliation in October
If, by chance, you think that Mitt Romney is going to lose tomorrow, let me suggest that you take a look at the data collected by Rasmussen on partisan identification over the last eight years. In October, 2008, he found that the Democrats had a 7.1 point advantage. In October, 2010, he found that the Democrats had a 2.9 point advantage. This October, however, he found that the Republicans had a 5.8 point advantage. If this is accurate, there will be a blow-out tomorrow. Barack Obama is the gift that keeps on giving. Take a close look at Rasmussen’s data. In this millennium, the Republicans have never been in better shape.
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Great info from the Fix. I wonder why they didn’t discuss Ohio. Rasmussen used to have it clearly written in his tracking poll updates that he weighted for party. It doesn’t say that anymore. I suppose if you’re a premium member you can find out that information.
What could be bad if he weighted his polls to reflect the party ID he currently has? Surely it would show a better Romney lead. Oh well, we’ll know in a few hours.
What could be bad if he weighted his polls to reflect the party ID he currently has? Surely it would show a better Romney lead. Oh well, we’ll know in a few hours. ·14 minutes ago
Ohio doesn’t report party IDs. This is a more comprehensive pure data site, but it won’t help with Ohio. I think the claims made about Ohio early voting are from polling.
Actually, they come from two sources. They look at the county early votes. The counties are then broken down by Obama/swing/McCain preference. The other way, I’m reliably informed by John Podhoretz, is that you can see which primaries the early voters voted in. I’m not sure how that info is sleuthed, but there you have it.