What About the Kurds?

 

So Turkey is bombing the Kurds in Syria. The Kurds in northern Iraq are (were?) very friendly to the U.S. Of course most of our allies fight for their own reasons and values and not as a favor to us. Same with the Syrian Kurds. Still, this looks like another case of our having a “that was then, this is now” attitude toward those we ‘befriend” in tough times. Memories of the fall of Saigon recur.

It is not our job to police the world or right every wrong. But what sort of deal have we made with Turkey and why? What is worth risking our credibility with those we will want to enlist for aid in the future?

Or is this anxiety just further proof that my neo-con impulses are madness, that Lindsay Graham knows nothing of geopolitics, that Bill Kristol still has no reason to mistrust Trump so much, and that I should just relax and be glad that “Hilary is not President” while the Donald plays 3d chess?

(If I had to say, I guess I would go with those who said more than a year ago that there are no good options in Syria, that we had been outfoxed by the Russians, etc. and that this is just the horrible, horrible price some must pay for Great Power mistakes.)

What say ye, Ricochetti?

Published in Foreign Policy
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  1. GFHandle Member
    GFHandle
    @GFHandle

    danok1 (View Comment):

    GFHandle (View Comment):
    What is a more stable, ISIS free mideast worth? Consider what the 9/11 attack led to.

    One thing I didn’t mention in my reply at #18: the 9/11 attacks led to an 18-year intervention by the United States that has arguably destabilized the region. One can make a case that one reason the intervention has lasted so long and led to such serious unintended consequences is because we went in with no actual objective. Destroying the Taliban wasn’t enough; we decided to try to build a Western-style nation in Afghanistan.

    We went into Iraq with no more of a goal than to topple Saddam and find the WMDs our intelligence services said were there. (We can add this to the long list of failures by the CIA/DIA/etc.) We then changed our objective to creating another Western-style nation in Iraq.

    Again, we need to carefully consider what our goals would be in Syria and the anticipated cost in lives of our troops. Then our esteemed Congresscritters need to vote on authorizing military force in Syria.

    Agree. My attempted point is if we don’t like our reaction to 9/11 think what “we” will do if ISIS gets loose again and manages mayhem on our soil. 

    • #31
  2. DrewInWisconsin, Thought Leader Member
    DrewInWisconsin, Thought Leader
    @DrewInWisconsin

    GFHandle (View Comment):
    Supporting the wrong Kurdish faction (thanks Obama) is part of this mess. See the first Federalist link above.

    Right. There are Kurds and then there are Kurds. One Kurdish group has been on the Official Terrorist Organization list longer than Al-Qaeda.

    • #32
  3. Reformed_Yuppie Inactive
    Reformed_Yuppie
    @Reformed_Yuppie

    Editor Note:

    Please do not use swear words or obscenities, per the Code of Conduct —Max

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):
    Preventing the rise of ISIS and an all-out war between Russia and a NATO ally isn’t enough?

    That’s two reasons that sound reasonable for someone to be there but it sounds as if it should be NATO.

    It’s not NATO’s job. Look, the downside of being one of the few adults in the room is that we are expected to knock this [expletive]off when it comes up. Nobody else is reliable. The UN? Please. They’ll send in some rice and penicillin after the refugees have already fled. It falls to us because we’re the only ones who have the stones to step up. Or at least we did. Obama wasn’t keen on having any balls. This mess is on him more than Trump. 

    • #33
  4. Bob Thompson Member
    Bob Thompson
    @BobThompson

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):
    Preventing the rise of ISIS and an all-out war between Russia and a NATO ally isn’t enough?

    That’s two reasons that sound reasonable for someone to be there but it sounds as if it should be NATO.

    It’s not NATO’s job. Look, the downside of being one of the few adults in the room is that we are expected to knock this s**t off when it comes up. Nobody else is reliable. The UN? Please. They’ll send in some rice and penicillin after the refugees have already fled. It falls to us because we’re the only ones who have the stones to step up. Or at least we did. Obama wasn’t keen on having any balls. This mess is on him more than Trump.

    Our troops supporting the Kurds against the Turks has no visible endpoint. 

    • #34
  5. Reformed_Yuppie Inactive
    Reformed_Yuppie
    @Reformed_Yuppie

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):
    Preventing the rise of ISIS and an all-out war between Russia and a NATO ally isn’t enough?

    That’s two reasons that sound reasonable for someone to be there but it sounds as if it should be NATO.

    It’s not NATO’s job. Look, the downside of being one of the few adults in the room is that we are expected to knock this s**t off when it comes up. Nobody else is reliable. The UN? Please. They’ll send in some rice and penicillin after the refugees have already fled. It falls to us because we’re the only ones who have the stones to step up. Or at least we did. Obama wasn’t keen on having any balls. This mess is on him more than Trump.

    Our troops supporting the Kurds against the Turks has no visible endpoint.

    My God people like you are insufferable. 

    • #35
  6. Bob Thompson Member
    Bob Thompson
    @BobThompson

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie(View Comment):
    Preventing the rise of ISIS and an all-out war between Russia and a NATO ally isn’t enough?

    That’s two reasons that sound reasonable for someone to be there but it sounds as if it should be NATO.

    It’s not NATO’s job. Look, the downside of being one of the few adults in the room is that we are expected to knock this s**t off when it comes up. Nobody else is reliable. The UN? Please. They’ll send in some rice and penicillin after the refugees have already fled. It falls to us because we’re the only ones who have the stones to step up. Or at least we did. Obama wasn’t keen on having any balls. This mess is on him more than Trump.

    Our troops supporting the Kurds against the Turks has no visible endpoint.

    My God people like you are insufferable.

    Well, there’s insufferable and there’s insufferable. Do you know for how long your above answer (I bolded) has been the standard?

     

    • #36
  7. Reformed_Yuppie Inactive
    Reformed_Yuppie
    @Reformed_Yuppie

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie(View Comment):
    Preventing the rise of ISIS and an all-out war between Russia and a NATO ally isn’t enough?

    That’s two reasons that sound reasonable for someone to be there but it sounds as if it should be NATO.

    It’s not NATO’s job. Look, the downside of being one of the few adults in the room is that we are expected to knock this s**t off when it comes up. Nobody else is reliable. The UN? Please. They’ll send in some rice and penicillin after the refugees have already fled. It falls to us because we’re the only ones who have the stones to step up. Or at least we did. Obama wasn’t keen on having any balls. This mess is on him more than Trump.

    Our troops supporting the Kurds against the Turks has no visible endpoint.

    My God people like you are insufferable.

    Well, there’s insufferable and there’s insufferable. Do you know for how long your above answer (I bolded) has been the standard?

     

    Standards exist for a reason. I’m not interested in hearing more Pollyanna babble from the Ron Paul wing of reddit Enjoy your noninterventionist fantasyland. 

    • #37
  8. ToryWarWriter Coolidge
    ToryWarWriter
    @ToryWarWriter

    I have little sympathy for the Kurds given there role in helping to perpetrate the first of the great Massacres of the 20th Century.  The Kurds were instrumental in the butchery of the Armenians.

    That being said, the US is withdrawing and leaving their allies in the lurch.  What a shock.  The USA has a long reputation for screwing over its allies and leaving a bunch of countries to fend for themselves.  In fact that number is so long I dont dare count it.  

    Much like you left large portions of Yugoslavia and various fighters who fought in WW2 to the tender mercies of the Soviets, so do you now leave the Kurds to the mercies of another one of your Cold War Allies.  Perhaps you should be asking yourselves if Turkey is going to go around killing the Kurds, why are you in an Alliance with them?  Why are you in NATO if its members are busy going around being barbarians?

    • #38
  9. DrewInWisconsin, Thought Leader Member
    DrewInWisconsin, Thought Leader
    @DrewInWisconsin

    How much blood and treasure should we spend? What’s the endgame look like? What’s the exit strategy? How do we know when we’ve reached “Mission Accomplished”?

    • #39
  10. Front Seat Cat Member
    Front Seat Cat
    @FrontSeatCat

    cdor (View Comment):

    I am not an expert on this nor, for that matter, anything else. So my non-expert opinion begins with an emotional gulp when listening to the stories about abandoning allies. Then my rational mind kicks in. I start to wonder if the Kurds, who seem to be tremendous fighters, cannot defend themselves. Haven’t they been doing precisely that for decades and more? They not only defend themselves, but they seem to be pretty darn good on the offense as well. This area of northeast Syria, while being alien and unattractive to us, is the Kurd’s homeland…or partial homeland, the rest stretching across northern Iraq, southeast Turkey, and even extending into northwest Iran. Wow, that’s a pretty diverse area. The Kurd’s are also somewhat diverse. The group that are called our allies in Syria, I believe they go by PKK, are communists of some sort. Again, I wonder why this is an issue over which we should risk deeper entanglement and potential immediate loss of the life or limb of our soldiers.

    There is a secondary problem here. It involves thousands of captured ISIS soldiers being held by some Syrian democracy group. Most, or many of these prisoners are European. The Europeans, of course, will do nothing to keep these folks imprisoned. Turkey claims it will take responsibility. But Turkey is infamously supportive of ISIS and the Muslim Brotherhood because of the dictator, Erdogan. It is very possible that these ISIS thugs will be set free to rampage once again.

    Conclusion my friends: this sucks.

    With social media and people rising up and organizing, like the kids in Hong Kong, it may be up to the citizens of Turkey to decide how they want to live – I read the the Kurds wanted to annex and have their own country – so it’s complicated.  

    • #40
  11. DrewInWisconsin, Thought Leader Member
    DrewInWisconsin, Thought Leader
    @DrewInWisconsin

    A little more background:

    How Obama’s Team Set Up Trump’s Syrian Dilemma

     

    • #41
  12. Instugator Thatcher
    Instugator
    @Instugator

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    If you don’t know the answer to that then why are you commenting? Seriously, it’s in the first graph of pretty much every news story regarding this issue. 

    The Kurds aren’t allies. They are partner forces.

     

    • #42
  13. Instugator Thatcher
    Instugator
    @Instugator

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):
    The people we trained and funded to fight ISIS for us so that we could keep our hands clean.

    We did not train and fund them to “keep our hands clean”.

    • #43
  14. Instugator Thatcher
    Instugator
    @Instugator

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):
    Our troops supporting the Kurds against the Turks has no visible endpoint. 

    Since they haven’t done that (support kurds against Turks) it didn’t even have a beginning.

    • #44
  15. Instugator Thatcher
    Instugator
    @Instugator

    DrewInWisconsin, Thought Leader (View Comment):
    How much blood and treasure should we spend? What’s the endgame look like? What’s the exit strategy? How do we know when we’ve reached “Mission Accomplished”?

    Go look at the Website. It even has the campaign plan outline.

    https://www.inherentresolve.mil/

    • #45
  16. EJHill Podcaster
    EJHill
    @EJHill

    How many troops are we moving? According to one of the President’s National Security Advisors the answer is 50. Is that all that really stood between the Kurds and the Turks? 50?

     

    • #46
  17. Instugator Thatcher
    Instugator
    @Instugator

    EJHill (View Comment):

    How many troops are we moving? According to one of the President’s National Security Advisors the answer is 50. Is that all that really stood between the Kurds and the Turks? 50?

    Probably about right. Particuarly if we stay true to form and only move them out of the way of where the Turks are.

    When Turkey invaded the Kurdish areas of Syria in late 2017, early 2018 we didn’t have to move many people.

    It isn’t like this hasn’t happened before in the fight against ISIS, where we have to suspend our support to SDF fighting against ISIS (or where the SDF has to suspend the fight against ISIS) because the Turks got froggy. 

    • #47
  18. Skyler Coolidge
    Skyler
    @Skyler

    GFHandle: So Turkey is bombing the Kurds in Syria.

    I don’t much care.  Our time to help the Kurds was in 2003 through 2006.  That time has passed.  We gave them plenty of help.  It’s time for them to help themselves.

    • #48
  19. The Scarecrow Thatcher
    The Scarecrow
    @TheScarecrow

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    DonG (View Comment):

    Joe Biden was right. We should have divided up Iraq in to 3 chunks (Shia, Sunni, Kurd) the day Saddam died. It would have prevented ISIS and the mess in Syria. Turkey would have been pissed, but they’d be over it by now. Any efforts we make in this area should work towards a remaking of the British map that puts borders between different peoples rather than the mis-groupings made a century ago.

    You think Joe Biden would say that now with all the railing against nationalism by the Left?

    But I thought diversity/multiculturism was our strength?  

    • #49
  20. The Scarecrow Thatcher
    The Scarecrow
    @TheScarecrow

    Miffed White Male (View Comment):

    DonG (View Comment):

    GFHandle (View Comment):
    What is a more stable, ISIS free mideast worth? Consider what the 9/11 attack led to.

    To be honest, the 9/11 attacks could have been prevented if the FBI did any of the following:
    1) acted on discovered terrorist idea of flying hijacked jets into buildings
    2) acted on tip about guys in flight school wanting to fly jets, but not learn how to land or takeoff
    3) do their damn job and think one-step ahead of terrorists

    Occupying Middle East countries was never a requirement.

    Or, we just drop a nuke on them the next time they claim territory.

    Do our nukes still work? It’s been a while. Has anybody checked?

    • #50
  21. TBA Coolidge
    TBA
    @RobtGilsdorf

    The Scarecrow (View Comment):

    Miffed White Male (View Comment):

    DonG (View Comment):

    GFHandle (View Comment):
    What is a more stable, ISIS free mideast worth? Consider what the 9/11 attack led to.

    To be honest, the 9/11 attacks could have been prevented if the FBI did any of the following:
    1) acted on discovered terrorist idea of flying hijacked jets into buildings
    2) acted on tip about guys in flight school wanting to fly jets, but not learn how to land or takeoff
    3) do their damn job and think one-step ahead of terrorists

    Occupying Middle East countries was never a requirement.

    Or, we just drop a nuke on them the next time they claim territory.

    Do our nukes still work? It’s been a while. Has anybody checked?

    I tried, but the Marines got all fussy. 

    • #51
  22. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    EJHill (View Comment):

    How many troops are we moving? According to one of the President’s National Security Advisors the answer is 50. Is that all that really stood between the Kurds and the Turks? 50?

    Their presence was a deterrent.  Turkey is very wary of killing US soldiers by mistake. Hence the phone call and the delay. 

    • #52
  23. EJHill Podcaster
    EJHill
    @EJHill

    Here’s my take (and I’m prepared to be vilified over it.)

    Trump doesn’t have this grand 4D chess geopolitical strategy. I don’t think any of his supporters think that. He does, however, have an instinctual sense that he doesn’t want to get American servicemen killed for a cause that he couldn’t look the parents in the eyes and explain it to them in their grief. 

    When we went to war 18 years ago that wasn’t an issue. We sent the most powerful and technologically advanced fighting force the world has ever known to go kick the asses of some goat herders with an 8th Century outlook on life, and we’re still there. Eighteen frickin’ years later. 

    Papa Bush screwed the Kurds and so did W. And along with Clinton and Obama they all sold a treatied ally, Turkey, weapons that they’ve used multiple times to kill ethnic Kurds. Then we get all the snarky tweets and holier-than-thou pronouncements on how Trump is the worst EVAH. Erick Erickson tweeting out that he reckoned that Trump can no longer be considered “pro life” as if the first concern of the American President is not the lives of Americans. 

    We have a lot of vets here, and the fellow mothers and fathers of current members of the armed forces. Maybe you can tell me if I’m out of line here, but I think my son is willing to die for his country if that’s what’s needed for the preservation of our liberty. I’m not sure policing the mess of ancient ethnic hatred half way around the world or “sending the right message” or jockeying with Vladimir Putin is high on anyone’s list. (Putin’s Russia, however mischievous, is not on par with the Soviets.)

    • #53
  24. Zafar Member
    Zafar
    @Zafar

    DrewInWisconsin, Thought Leader (View Comment):

    How much blood and treasure should we spend? What’s the endgame look like? What’s the exit strategy? How do we know when we’ve reached “Mission Accomplished”?

    IMHO the objectives seem to be:

    Keep Turkey and Syria locked in low level conflict qua occupation – keep Syria from getting too stable but also keep it from falling apart – keep the Kurds destabilising (but not too much) Syria, Iraq and Turkey.

    I don’t think the objectives include strong, stable states or a stable and peaceful Middle East.

     

     

    • #54
  25. Reformed_Yuppie Inactive
    Reformed_Yuppie
    @Reformed_Yuppie

    Instugator (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):
    The people we trained and funded to fight ISIS for us so that we could keep our hands clean.

    We did not train and fund them to “keep our hands clean”.

    Why did we do it then? Because from the outside looking in it appears that we found a cheaper way to get someone else to fight ISIS in Syria while minimizing the risk to American soldiers. 

    • #55
  26. Bob Thompson Member
    Bob Thompson
    @BobThompson

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Instugator (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):
    The people we trained and funded to fight ISIS for us so that we could keep our hands clean.

    We did not train and fund them to “keep our hands clean”.

    Why did we do it then? Because from the outside looking in it appears that we found a cheaper way to get someone else to fight ISIS in Syria while minimizing the risk to American soldiers.

    Don’t those Kurds live there?

    • #56
  27. Reformed_Yuppie Inactive
    Reformed_Yuppie
    @Reformed_Yuppie

    Can someone get Ron Paul over here a map?

    • #57
  28. Misthiocracy grudgingly Member
    Misthiocracy grudgingly
    @Misthiocracy

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    Reformed_Yuppie (View Comment):

    Bob Thompson (View Comment):

    GFHandle (View Comment):

    danok1 (View Comment):

    I won’t pretend to know what course we should take.

    However, those making the case that we need our troops in Syria supporting the Kurds, etc., need to make clear:

    1. Our objective, i.e., what would “victory” look like (I note that there can be more than one objective).

    2. How much treasure and blood we should expend to achieve this objective. To put it crudely, how many American troops need to die for this objective.

    3. Debate items 1 & 2 in the Congress and pass a resolution (or whatever passes for a Declaration of War these days) authorizing military action in Syria.

    If they’re not willing to do this, then get our troops out of there.

    1. I doubt binary choice between winning and losing exist. But one goal is stop a new ISIS.
    2. What is a more stable, ISIS free mideast worth? Consider what the 9/11 attack led to.
    3. Honest debate in this congress????

    Our troops supporting the Kurds against the Turks has no visible endpoint.

    Leaving our allies to get slaughtered does have a visible endpoint, but it’s not one we really want to reach. In that part of the world the best we seem to be able to hope for is an ending that stinks slightly less than some other alternative. I don’t know how you even win over there. And here I was promised that Jared has this under control.

    What ally are we leaving?

    If you don’t know the answer to that then why are you commenting? Seriously, it’s in the first graph of pretty much every news story regarding this issue.

    I want you to say it.

    The people we trained and funded to fight ISIS for us so that we could keep our hands clean. Those allies. The ones who did our dirty work while we abdicated responsibility and let the region become one giant proxy war with Iran and Russia. Those allies.

    Do we have any other reasons to keep or forces there or is that it?

    They’re not technically an “ally” if you don’t have a signed treaty.  In that case, they’re merely a proxy.

    • #58
  29. Richard Fulmer Inactive
    Richard Fulmer
    @RichardFulmer

    ToryWarWriter (View Comment):
    I have little sympathy for the Kurds given there role in helping to perpetrate the first of the great Massacres of the 20th Century. The Kurds were instrumental in the butchery of the Armenians.

    That was in 1915.  None of the Kurds now living was involved in that any more than any person alive today was a slave owner in the antebellum South.

    • #59
  30. Skyler Coolidge
    Skyler
    @Skyler

    TBA (View Comment):

    The Scarecrow (View Comment):

    Miffed White Male (View Comment):

    DonG (View Comment):

    GFHandle (View Comment):
    What is a more stable, ISIS free mideast worth? Consider what the 9/11 attack led to.

    To be honest, the 9/11 attacks could have been prevented if the FBI did any of the following:
    1) acted on discovered terrorist idea of flying hijacked jets into buildings
    2) acted on tip about guys in flight school wanting to fly jets, but not learn how to land or takeoff
    3) do their damn job and think one-step ahead of terrorists

    Occupying Middle East countries was never a requirement.

    Or, we just drop a nuke on them the next time they claim territory.

    Do our nukes still work? It’s been a while. Has anybody checked?

    I tried, but the Marines got all fussy.

    Did I tell about the time in 1987 when I was put in charge of delivering a nuke to a squadron for a QAST (Quality Assurance Subject Test, or something like that)?  They would take a nuclear weapon from the inventory, remove the fissable material, and drop it on a target to test everything along the process, but mostly to test if the darn thing would have gone boom.

    My job was to guard the weapon during delivery from Coronado to El Toro and from the ordinance crews at Headquarters and Maintenance Squadron 11 to prep the bomb, and then to VMA(AW)-242 (an A-6E TRAM squadron) for hanging it on an aircraft before it took off. The pilot would fly as fast as he could and then make a steep climb as he released the weapon, slinging it miles ahead of his plane.  He was graded on accuracy, I think he had to hit within 100 feet or some such crazy number.

    My guard crew had to fly to Coronado in helos, provide a security perimeter while taking delivery of the weapon, reboard the helos, etc.  We were escorted by armed AH-1T Cobras, and I think some fixed wing aircraft were also along.

    This was a big deal, as any commander with the nuke mission could tell you.  Except we had recently transitioned from being part of an attack air group to a fighter air group, and fighter guys hated bombing.  They were quite snobbish and wanted nothing to do with the headache of nukes.

    Well, long story short, after weeks of intense training despite lack of support from most of the group headquarters, I was told on the day of the mission that they sent a guy to pick up our small arms ammo that didn’t have an ammo license, so we had no bullets.

    The adjutant rummaged in his desk and strangely came up with 15 rounds of .45 and 30 rounds of 5.56mm.  I gave a bullet to each rifleman, and my SNCO and I split the pistol ammo.

    I’m really glad Khaddafi didn’t attack that day.

    • #60
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