What Do You Believe That No One Else Here Does?

 

Peter Thiel is well-known for asking this question in interviews:

PETER THIEL: The intellectual question that I ask at the start of my book is, “Tell me something that’s true that very few people agree with you on.” This is a terrific interview question. Even when people can read on the Internet that you’re going to ask this question to everybody you interview, they still find it really hard to answer. And it’s hard to answer not because people don’t have any ideas. Everyone has ideas. Everyone has things they believe to be true that other people won’t agree with you on. But they’re not things you want to say.

He himself was unforthcoming when asked the question, though:

TYLER COWEN: Peter, tell me something that’s true that everyone agrees with you on.

PETER THIEL: Well there are lots of things that are true that everyone agrees with me on. I think for example even this idea that the university system is somewhat screwed up and somewhat broken at this point. This is not even a heterodox or a very controversial idea anymore. There was an article in TechCrunch where the writer starts with “this is going to be super controversial” and then you look through the comments — there were about 350 comments — they were about 70 percent in my favor. So the idea that the education system is badly broken is not even controversial. You know, the ideas that are really controversial are the ones I don’t even want to tell you. I want to be more careful than that.

So what do you believe that puts you at odds with everyone else? What do you believe that puts you at odds with Ricochet, in particular?

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  1. Miffed White Male Member
    Miffed White Male
    @MiffedWhiteMale

    Jason Rudert:

    Concretevol:

    Spin:

    Concretevol:“Immigrants (legal and illegal) do work that Americans don’t want to do” is a true statement, not an excuse to pay lower wages.

    It is absolutely an excuse to pay lower wages. A company will only pay you the least amount it would cost to replace you. If someone will do what you do for less, the company is well within their rights to pay that someone instead of you.

    No, the hiring motivation is not low wages. Yes a business will pay what market forces allow to stay open but the other factor is if immigrants are the only ones applying for work they are going to be the only ones to get hired. If “average American” doesn’t bother to apply then they can’t complain about the wage scale because they don’t know what it is.

    There are a whole lot of people in this country who miss the idea of working in factories more than they miss actually working in factories.

    To rephrase:  most of the people who lament the loss of “good factory jobs” never worked in a factory.

    • #241
  2. user_1008534 Member
    user_1008534
    @Ekosj

    (4) Oswald shot Kennedy. Lone gunman. No Grassy Knoll shooter. The Single Bullet Theory is correct. But it is still an open question of whether he was part of a conspiracy.

    • #242
  3. EstoniaKat Inactive
    EstoniaKat
    @ScottAbel

    Modern-day Kansas is the cautionary tale of what happens when ideological, doctrinaire conservatism is allowed full flower. The Democrats own the vortex of suck in places like Detroit, Chicago, and California. The Republicans have Kansas, with its vortex of budget deficits, school cutbacks, and a new concealed-carry law that, even as a shooter (I occasionally to a gun range in Tallinn, Estonia), I think ranks up there with the worst ideas I’ve heard all year.

    The first Avengers movie was horrible.

    • #243
  4. user_45880 Member
    user_45880
    @Eiros

    By birth and nature, the human being is 100% selfish for himself and immediate family, and his first resort to settle conflict is with violence, unless conflict doesn’t affect him directly.  Then he does nothing.

    He must be TAUGHT to think and behave in civilized way.  If he does not dedicate self to morality from outside of his violent selfishness, he (or she) is just talking monkey who kills.

    • #244
  5. Miffed White Male Member
    Miffed White Male
    @MiffedWhiteMale

    Aaron Miller:Oh, here’s one:

    Fossilization is only possible in rare low-energy circumstances (static soil, benign chemicals, etc). Very few environments preserve bones in this way. So the fossil record is abysmally tiny and unrepresentative of most organisms in Earth’s history. Therefore, any theories and predictions based on this record are assuming a heck of a lot.

    Incidentally, take a look sometime at the skeleton of a sperm whale. Nobody would guess the true shape of the whale’s distinctive head by its skeleton alone. Biology involves a stunning number of variables which make extrapolation from limited information difficult.

    If my kids dinosaur encyclopedia can be believed with regard to its recitation of the unbelievably low number of complete or partial skeletons upon with we make judgments about the behavioral characteristics of various types of dinosaurs, paleontologists are the biggest BS artists on earth.

    I don’t have the example in front of me, but in one case they’ve found something like a single partial skeleton, but the write-up of the dinosaur in question includes information about the herding and family-group characteristics of the specific species.

    • #245
  6. user_1050 Member
    user_1050
    @MattBartle

    It doesn’t matter how many hits or errors there were. All that matters are runs.

    • #246
  7. Ricochet Member
    Ricochet
    @BalticSnowTiger

    Claire Berlinski:1. An excessive enthusiasm for organized sports is the mark of a culture in decline;

    2. Factory farming is an obvious moral abomination;

    3. Our alliance with the Saudis is every bit as antithetical to our values and interests as an alliance with Iran.

    Ad 2.: Please define ‘factory farming’.

    • #247
  8. J Flei Inactive
    J Flei
    @Solon

    I’m the only one that I know of on Ricochet that still thinks civil unions for gay couples is the way to go.

    • #248
  9. Miffed White Male Member
    Miffed White Male
    @MiffedWhiteMale

    Aaron Miller:

    It’s a chicken-or-the-egg situation. The more people willing to do the hard and cheap grunt work, the more people will be free to perform higher-wage formal-education labor (and consider anything less to be socially inferior). The less outsiders doing the grunt work, the more insiders will fill those roles.

    The hyper-regulatory environment is also a factor. I know many immigrants work under identical conditions as natives, but illegals are valuable in many industries because they offer escapes from paperwork and regulations. And the Nanny State is often, though not always, willing to turn a blind eye to illegal workers so long as they are the right color.

    I know it was fiction and not a documentary, but it must have rung true to the people watching it at the time:  Go catch a couple episodes of the TV show “The Fugitive” from the 1960s.  David Jansen’s character would wander into a town, go the local store and offer to work for the owner for a few days.  No paperwork.  No tax forms.  Then he’d leave.

    • #249
  10. Ricochet Member
    Ricochet
    @ArizonaPatriot

    Aaron Miller:I believe that God, Satan, angels, and demons are active in the world on a daily basis. I believe that miracles occur every day.

    More exceptionally, I believe that miracles are not unnatural suspensions of God’s design. God is omniscient and eternal (beyond the constraints of time), and thus is not surprised by human choices or events. Miracles are part of the design. The “laws” of nature describe the regular but not necessary relationships among God’s creations.

    You’re not alone in these beliefs.

    • #250
  11. Frank Soto Inactive
    Frank Soto
    @FrankSoto

    Scott Abel:The first Avengers movie was horrible.

    You don’t like fun.  Got it.

    • #251
  12. Midget Faded Rattlesnake Inactive
    Midget Faded Rattlesnake
    @Midge

    Kate Braestrup:There is no such thing as Hell.

    And I say there is a such thing as Hell, but it may not be the point of no return it’s assumed to be. If we are to pray for the repentance of all, that includes those in Hell, so perhaps repentance is possible even in Hell.

    • #252
  13. user_137118 Member
    user_137118
    @DeanMurphy

    Thanks Arizona Patriot.  I believe demonic possession is a phenomenon.  It doesn’t matter to me if the “possessor” is a real entity or a psychological construct.  There does seem to be enough historical precedent that exorcism works.

    I also believe in ufos and aliens, but I don’t believe that they are necessarily extraterrestrial.  The similarity (to me) between those phenomena and the “fair folk” stories from before technology seem to suggest they are the same phenomena interpreted differently by the subjects in their own world views.

    The “Ancient Astronaut Theorists” are a hoot!

    • #253
  14. EThompson Member
    EThompson
    @

    Midget Faded Rattlesnake:

    Kate Braestrup:There is no such thing as Hell.

    And I say there is a such thing as Hell, but it may not be the point of no return it’s assumed to be. If we are to pray for the repentance of all, that includes those in Hell, so perhaps repentance is possible even in Hell.

    I may not believe in the Biblical definition of Hell, but I do believe that it exists right here on Earth.

    (Having an impressively bad day with a current home renovation.)

    • #254
  15. Aaron Miller Inactive
    Aaron Miller
    @AaronMiller

    I believe human beings are the only intelligent life in the universe. I would be surprised, though not disappointed, if even bacteria were discovered elsewhere.

    The rest of the universe is not thereby wasted space. It is an awe-inspiring testament to God’s grandeur and to His love for us. He has given us more than we could ever know, thereby assuring us of endless oppotunities for learning and action. It is the barest hint at the life of an immortal soul.

    • #255
  16. Cato Rand Inactive
    Cato Rand
    @CatoRand

    The Reticulator:

    Cato Rand:

    Miffed White Male:

    Cato Rand:

    Miffed White Male:In certain, very limited and extreme cases, genocide ain’t so bad.

    Ok, this one requires elaboration please? Or are you just baiting us?

    Not baiting, but I won’t go into detail either. Don’t worry, I’m not talking about the gays.

    Thanks, but my concerns extend beyond my own safety.

    I favor the eradication of the deer tick genome, no matter what unintended consequences might result from its absence. Does that count as genocide?

    I read the term “genocide” in its common sense of the eradication of a race of human beings.  I haven’t really thought about the deer tick so much, but I feel sure it would trouble me less.

    • #256
  17. Fricosis Guy Listener
    Fricosis Guy
    @FricosisGuy

    Troy Senik, Ed.:

    Tommy De Seno:

    Troy Senik, Ed.:1. The designated hitter position actually improves baseball

    Let’s keep this thread light and fun, Senik. No need for blasphemy.

    Sports, like most of life, benefits from comparative advantage. If every ninth batter is going to be someone with a .165 batting average, I’d just assume we pick someone at random out of the stands.

    My belief is an offshoot of Troy’s heresy: managing under the DH is more difficult because it emphasizes accountability in managing one’s pitching staff.

    NL managers have an out when they change pitchers: they can appeal to the need to score as cover for a decision to take out an effective pitcher. The so-called strategy of double-switching is a simple heuristic that doesn’t flummox AL managers during interleague play.

    An AL manager’s pitching-change decision must focus on pitching-related criteria: the starter has become relatively less effective, there’s a particular matchup that a starter/reliever is better able to exploit, the starter has to stay in to save the bullpen, etc. They can’t rationalize a bad result by saying: “well, I needed to change pitchers to try to score.”

    • #257
  18. Cato Rand Inactive
    Cato Rand
    @CatoRand

    Aaron Miller:Claire, this might be the most epic and interesting Ricochet conversation yet. Kudos!

    Agreed.  It’s definitely the most eclectic.  :)

    • #258
  19. EstoniaKat Inactive
    EstoniaKat
    @ScottAbel

    Frank Soto:

    Scott Abel:The first Avengers movie was horrible.

    You don’t like fun. Got it.

    Soto, are you baiting me?

    You want me to put the hammer down?

    soto

    • #259
  20. Cato Rand Inactive
    Cato Rand
    @CatoRand

    Solon JFlei:I’m the only one that I know of on Ricochet that still thinks civil unions for gay couples is the way to go.

    You are not alone.  Civil unions are well ahead of marriage around here, though they are a distant second after “go back in the closet.”

    • #260
  21. Cato Rand Inactive
    Cato Rand
    @CatoRand

    Aaron Miller:I believe human beings are the only intelligent life in the universe. I would be surprised, though not disappointed, if even bacteria were discovered elsewhere.

    The rest of the universe is not thereby wasted space. It is an awe-inspiring testament to God’s grandeur and to His love for us. He has given us more than we could ever know, thereby assuring us of endless oppotunities for learning and action. It is the barest hint at the life of an immortal soul.

    I believe there is other life in the universe.  Lots of it.

    I believe there is other intelligent life in the universe.  Lots of it.

    I believe the latter is almost certainly too far away to ever meet, and the former quite probably is.

    • #261
  22. Aaron Miller Inactive
    Aaron Miller
    @AaronMiller

    I believe human-humanoid (alien) romances in sci-fi stories are more similar to beastiality than to inter-racial couples.

    But I wouldn’t be disappointed to discover asari in our galaxy.

    • #262
  23. PJS Coolidge
    PJS
    @PJS

    Solon JFlei:I’m the only one that I know of on Ricochet that still thinks civil unions for gay couples is the way to go.

    You are NOT alone.  Anecdote:  gay friends in UK have no desire to be “married.”  Civil union gives them everything they want, and they tell me most everyone they know feels the same way.  I believe them, as I do not ever see or hear any demands for recognition of gay marriage there.

    Also, I believe that a desire to change one’s sex is a mental illness. It is complete denial of reality.  I say this as the dear friend of a person who has completed the transition from man to woman.

    • #263
  24. PJS Coolidge
    PJS
    @PJS

    And PS to whomever made the crack about Reagan and Thatcher members:   I am a Reagan member because I had the money last year and want to keep Ricochet going.  I will have to drop down to Thatcher this year, as we are in a bit of a financial pinch.  I do not see myself as someone who has overpaid; I see myself as a supporter.

    • #264
  25. EThompson Member
    EThompson
    @

    PJS:And PS to whomever made the crack about Reagan and Thatcher members: I am a Reagan member because I had the money last year and want to keep Ricochet going. I will have to drop down to Thatcher this year, as we are in a bit of a financial pinch. I do not see myself as someone who has overpaid; I see myself as a supporter.

    Yikes, apparently I missed that one! The Editors should have deleted the comment purely for financial reasons.

    • #265
  26. Ricochet Member
    Ricochet
    @GrannyDude

    Also, I believe that a desire to change one’s sex is a mental illness. It is complete denial of reality.  I say this as the dear friend of a person who has completed the transition from man to woman.

    That’s interesting—is she happier than she was before?

    • #266
  27. user_139157 Inactive
    user_139157
    @PaulJCroeber

    I have no interest in political themed cruises.  As much as I adore the like minded and intellectually challenging, there is a deck lounger over there undisturbed.

    • #267
  28. iWc Coolidge
    iWc
    @iWe

    Titus Techera:

    iWe:

    Look, this is too confused. It seems to me you keep dodging. the important stuff.

    What I am actually doing is rejecting the premise of natural law, or an objective good.

    you imply, but will not reason publicly for all of us here, that there is a right way of life, that is, a way that is right for people by nature.

    Of course I do not make that claim. I do not believe it.

    It is really worse than bad form in you to subject us all to your criticism of mankind

    You see criticism because you think the world ought to be understood a certain way. I reject natural law and I reject an objective measure of the good.

    You cannot criticize people as bad or defective in any way without reference to the good.

    We really are talking past each other. I am not criticizing people for being bad or defective. I merely claim that they are not aware of how irrational they are.

    • #268
  29. iWc Coolidge
    iWc
    @iWe

    Solon JFlei:I’m the only one that I know of on Ricochet that still thinks civil unions for gay couples is the way to go.

    Nope. I have argued for this for years.

    • #269
  30. Ricochet Member
    Ricochet
    @ArizonaPatriot

    Scott Abel:

    Frank Soto:

    Scott Abel:The first Avengers movie was horrible.

    You don’t like fun. Got it.

    Soto, are you baiting me?

    You want me to put the hammer down?

    soto

    The first Avengers movie is a classic for Captain America’s best line, which was right before the fight pictured above:  “There’s only one God, ma’am, and I’m pretty sure he doesn’t dress like that.”

    This even topped Captain Kirk’s line — in the Apollo episode — “Mankind has no need for gods.  We find the One quite adequate.”

    • #270
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