Experts Predict: Tonight Will Not Make You Happy

 

imagePeople who have strongly-held politics and identify with one specific side — let’s call them “political partisans” — really get the short end of the stick.

A new study from the Kennedy School at Harvard, analyzing responses to the 2012 general election, found that pretty much everyone was deflated:

Employing a quasi-experimental regression discontinuity model we present two primary findings. First, elections strongly affect the happiness/sadness of partisan losers (for about a week), but minimally impact partisan winners.

I have no idea what a “quasi-experimental regression discontinuity model” is, but it sounds very science-y.

It also sounds sad. You’re upset for a week if you lose (understandable) but not really all that happy if you win? That’s hardly fair.

But it’s the intensity of the losers’ sadness that’s cause for concern:

…we show that partisans are affected two times more intensely by their party losing the U.S. Presidential Election than both respondents with children were to the Newtown Shootings and respondents living in Boston were to the Boston Marathon Bombings.

That’s not right. I mean, I’m sure it’s accurate — they employed a quasi-experimental regression discontinuity model, after all — but I have to wonder about people who take politics that seriously. This is a big, strong country, and if it made it through Woodrow Wilson and Jimmy Carter and James Buchanan, it’ll make it through anything.

That said, Scott Walker better win tonight or I will be totes depressed.

Image Credit: Flickr.

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  1. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    EJHill:Twenty years ago I heard Rush Limbaugh state, “If you want to be happy in life, you can’t base it on who wins and who loses elections.” Otherwise it will consume you.

    This is exactly why I don’t stay up and watch election results coverage.  I’d rather wake up the next morning, then find out who won and who lost.  Easier to deal with, and less stressful . . .

    • #31
  2. gts109 Inactive
    gts109
    @gts109

    The pouty Chris Matthews face meme pretty much proves the correctness of this theory despite how much I poo-pooed it above.

    • #32
  3. Lucy Pevensie Inactive
    Lucy Pevensie
    @LucyPevensie

    I want to revisit this post to say, through the grin plastered on my face, that it isn’t true.  I could not be happier.  I guess the Kennedy School of Government is as wrong about this as about everything else.

    • #33
  4. Stad Coolidge
    Stad
    @Stad

    Lucy Pevensie: the Kennedy School of Government

    An institution that should be abolished.  Or at least rename it “The Kennedy School of Harvard Indoctrination”.

    The ratio of conservative survivors to liberal survivors from this liberal bastion is very low . . .

    How’s Raconteur?

    • #34
  5. Lucy Pevensie Inactive
    Lucy Pevensie
    @LucyPevensie

    Stad:

    Lucy Pevensie: the Kennedy School of Government

    An institution that should be abolished. Or at least rename it “The Kennedy School of Harvard Indoctrination”.

    The ratio of conservative survivors to liberal survivors from this liberal bastion is very low . . .

    How’s Raconteur?

    Thanks for asking; he’s relieved. He’s over in Raleigh tonight at Republican headquarters.

    • #35
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