Tag: John Kasich

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  I have often wondered about people who change their party affiliation from one to the other.  What changed their minds?  What would cause a conservative with an asserted conservative world view (less government, less taxes, more accountability) to become a tax-and-spend Democrat?  What would cause someone who viewed the government as the source of […]

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David French of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America pop some popcorn as Democrats will likely have to eliminate one of their members from the Senate Judiciary Committee and the one with the least seniority – California’s Kamala Harris – is furiously fighting to stay on the panel.  Of course, all of this is assuming Republicans will win the Mississippi Senate runoff Tuesday, in a race that has Republicans increasingly nervous.  They also roll their eyes as Ohio Gov. John Kasich is seriously considering another White House bid and David explains why Kasich is the answer to a question no one is asking.  And they shake their heads as Twitter starts banning users for “misgendering” or “deadnaming” transgenders online and perpetuates efforts to stifle all debate on the issue.

Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America have no good martinis to serve on Presidents’ Day.  They shake their heads as two survivors from last week’s school shooting label the NRA “child killers” and insist the group be disbanded and blast CNN for the leading questions that led to those statements.  They also groan as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell predicts the GOP will lose seats in the House and Senate, which would suggest he expects to be in the minority after an election map that couldn’t be better suited for Republicans.  And they slam CNN again for horribly biased questions to Ohio Gov. John Kasich, who is now demanding something be done about guns while scrubbing his website of language describing how he is a champion of the Second Amendment.

On this AEI Events Podcast, Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper and Ohio Gov. John Kasich discuss their proposal to stabilize the individual insurance market and to make a series of other health reforms with Vox’s Sarah Kliff. The two governors stressed the importance of stabilizing the individual insurance market in the near term and maintaining a bipartisan approach. They spoke of the need for compromise as the health care debate moves forward.

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) changed how the health insurance market works, making coverage available to everyone regardless of their health status. This year’s premium increase and the departure of insurers from some local markets have raised concerns that those markets are unstable. Uncertainty about the federal government’s commitment to promoting this market and paying insurers for new cost-sharing reductions required by the ACA has created new concerns for 2018.

Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America consider whether an independent ticket of Republican John Kasich and Democrat John Hickenlooper in 2020 would damage President Trump or simply dilute the anti-Trump vote.  They also demand a firm response from the Trump administration as the evidence of hostile Cuban acts against our diplomats in Havana piles up.  And they unload on House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi for trying to deny a permit for a “Patriot Prayer” event in San Francisco because such a gathering is akin to “shouting wolf in a crowded theater.”

David French of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America applaud Republican National Committee Chairman Ronna Romney McDaniel for simply stating there is no room in the Republican Party for white supremacists and that the GOP does not want their votes.  They’re also surprised by Steve Bannon’s on-the-record interview with a liberal publication, in which he dismisses the military option on North Korea, outlines his push for a trade war with China and more.  And they take a deep sigh as Ohio Gov. John Kasich gets closer to convincing himself there is a “moral imperative” for him to run against President Trump in 2020.

Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America like the new sanctions approved against North Korea, and they really like to see China, Russia, and other countries cooperating in this effort to rein in the isolated nation.  They rip the New York Times for suggesting Vice President Mike Pence is planning to run for president in 2020 if President Trump does not, all because Pence is doing a lot of fundraising events — and they enjoy a little Kasich-bashing as the same Times article conjectures about Ohio Gov. John Kasich launching a primary challenge to Trump. And they react to Dunkin’ Donuts blaming a confusing store layout for an employee’s refusal to serve two NYPD officers in Brooklyn.

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John Kasich, Republican governor of Ohio and failed presidential candidate, is no stranger to delusions of grandeur. According to a friend close to the Columbus political scene, Kasich was saying he still had a chance to win the nomination just 2 days before the Republican convention. When told that it was nonsense, he allegedly slammed […]

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Trump’s New PACs


So after winning the nomination Donald Trump has announced that he’s going to form Super PACs with the intention of defeating fellow Republicans Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and a third person, unnamed but widely believed to be Ben Sasse.

This is what I love about Trump. He is what is known as a mensch. You have to admire the mentality of a man who — while running for president — announces an effort to defeat his fellow Republicans because they didn’t support him, and yet says he’s mostly focused on defeating Hillary Clinton.

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There’s not a doubt in my mind that we are going to see left-wing violence on an unprecedented scale at the Republican Convention that will make ’68 Chicago look like a kindergarten playground quarrel. I call on Ohio Gov. Kasich to preemptively call out the National Guard to protect everyone at the convention and immediately […]

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What GOP Voters Are Thinking: A Snapshot from Maryland


Donald-trump-marylandBefore our local Maryland primary on April 26 — part of the so-called I-95 set of primaries that was Donald Trump’s penultimate victory before his clinching Indiana win — I spent a couple of days canvassing for John Kasich and local candidates door to door, at public places, and at the polls in Frederick and Montgomery Counties. I’ve done this a couple of times before elections and have never regretted it; I always learn a lot about what’s on other people’s minds.

A few takeaways from this season:

1) Trump had plenty of support in the places I went, across a considerable diversity of voters at many income and education levels. Unlike Trump supporters I had encountered on Twitter, most of his real-life voters were not angry or combative, though some were.

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According to CNBC, via a “senior campaign advisor,” Kasich plans to suspend his campaign now. Remember that the man who’d won a single state and only 153 delegates overall was sticking with his Quixotic campaign and it was totally not to be picked as Trump’s vice presidential nominee or to be a spoiler on the […]

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Modeling the GOP Nomination: Before Indiana


As described in sections 3.2 and 3.3 of the new PDF, the prediction model performed well last week. The median predicted delegates for Trump-Cruz-Kasich were 108-4-6, which compares well to the actual final delegate totals of 111-2-5.

The delegate model converted the actual voting shares in the states to actual delegates almost perfectly (only off by one in Rhode Island), and the model’s 80-percent confidence intervals for voting shares and delegates happened to contain the true value in all cases.

Indiana Predictions


shutterstock_218366983Ricochet, let’s have it out. Put it all on the line, and let’s hear the predictions for Indiana. Here is mine: I think this poll from NBC has it close, though I think Trump will exceed the 49 percent victory it predicts. For something closer to the final result, I look at this conclusion from the poll:

But 58 percent of likely Republican primary voters in Indiana say they disapprove of [Senators] Cruz and Kasich teaming up to beat Trump in the Hoosier State, while 34 percent say they approve of the move. What’s more, only 22 percent consider the Cruz-Kasich alliance a major factor in deciding their vote, 15 percent say it’s a minor factor and 63 percent say it would play no factor at all.

That, I suspect, is closer to the final result we’ll see tomorrow. Read together, those two statements indicate to me that the pact between Cruz and Kasich will suppress their aggregate turnout, as voters don’t care for the gamesmanship. Between that and Bobby Knight’s endorsement, I expect Trump to break 50 percent.

Cruz Cedes OR, NM Primaries to Kasich; Focuses on Indiana (UPDATE: Trump Responds)


Jeff Roe, Cruz for President’s campaign manager released the following statement late Sunday:

Having Donald Trump at the top of the ticket in November would be a sure disaster for Republicans. Not only would Trump get blown out by Clinton or Sanders, but having him as our nominee would set the party back a generation. To ensure that we nominate a Republican who can unify the Republican Party and win in November, our campaign will focus its time and resources in Indiana and in turn clear the path for Gov. Kasich to compete in Oregon and New Mexico, and we would hope that the allies of both campaigns would follow our lead. In other states holding their elections for the remainder of the primary season, our campaign will continue to compete vigorously to win.

What the GOP Can Learn from The Oscars


Trump OscarsEven after a big win for Donald Trump in the New York primary last night, it is still likely that no candidate will arrive at the convention with a majority of the delegates on the first ballot. A recent Wall Street Journal/NBC poll showed that 62% of republicans feel that the candidate with the most delegates should be the nominee, despite not having a majority.

One of the issues with this poll – that was discussed on a recent episode of the FiveThirtyEight election podcast – is how the question was asked. One wonders the outcome if the question was “should the party nominee be a candidate who the majority of the party did not vote for?”.

This is the trouble with accepting the winner of a plurality, rather than a majority. It becomes more probable that people will reject the winner rather than coalesce around an acceptable alternative.

Live from New York, It’s Tuesday Night!


This is a preview from Friday morning’s The Daily Shot newsletter. Subscribe here free of charge.

The Daily ShotTuesday, the Empire State went to the polls. New York is a big deal because it’s nominally the home state to three of the four leading presidential contenders. (Well, four of five if you include George Pataki.) Bernie Sanders is from Brooklyn (which explains the accent). Donald Trump is from Queens (which explains … a lot). And Hillary Clinton is a 100 percent authentic New Yorker who bought a mansion in Chappaqua to meet the residency requirements to run for Senate from a state she’d never lived in. (Not that we’re still bitter or anything…)

Rabbi Kasich Teaches Jews about Their Religion


KasichJohn Kasich: Governor of Ohio. Presidential candidate. Gentile.

Strolling through a Brooklyn neighborhood, he popped in to a Jewish bookstore to press the flesh and teach the assembled haredi Orthodox Jews a thing or two about their religion.

He began his lecture by dismissing the views of Ezra Friedlander, Kasich’s escort and a haredi publicist. When Friedlander noted that Moses is the most important historical figure to Jews, Kasich waved his non-kosher lobster-claw hand and said, “What are you talking about? Get out of here!”