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  3. ‘It’s Going to Be Catastrophic’: Why the Next Pandemic Will Be Worse Than COVID
July 9, 2024
July 9, 2024The Heritage Foundation

‘It’s Going to Be Catastrophic’: Why the Next Pandemic Will Be Worse Than COVID

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The former director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is warning Americans to prepare for the next pandemic, which he fears will be more catastrophic than COVID-19.

Dr. Robert Redfield, a virologist who continues to treat patients suffering from COVID, oversaw the CDC’s initial response to the pandemic and served as a member of the White House’s Coronavirus Task Force under former President Donald Trump.

"We are going to have another pandemic," Redfield told The Daily Signal. "I do believe it's going to be much more catastrophic than the COVID pandemic."

Redfield predicted the next pandemic would be the bird flu, also known as H5N1. Its mortality rate is significantly higher than COVID: 52% of the 888 infected patients with H5N1 have died since 2003.

"COVID's mortality was about 0.6%," Redfield said. "Bird flu's mortality is going to be north of 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%. It's going to be catastrophic."

With more than 100 million chickens and turkeys already infected in the United States, Redfield said bird flu has also been found in 27 different mammals. And while there remains a low risk of infecting humans right now, another mishap like the COVID lab leak could quickly expedite bird flu's transmission.

"This is why I've called for a moratorium on gain-of-function research until we can have a broader public debate about it," he said. "I'm not convinced it needs to be done. I don't think there's really any benefit from it. Some of my colleagues disagree with me, but I think we shouldn't do it until we know how we do it in a safe, responsible, and effective way and we clearly can't do that at the present time."

Redfield served on a nonpartisan commission convened by The Heritage Foundation, which issued a blistering critique of China’s COVID-19 cover-up. The commission, which released its report Monday, blamed the communist government in Beijing for obfuscating the truth about the pandemic's origin and causing widespread damage and death as a result.


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