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  2. Ukraine Agrees to a 30-Day Cease Fire
March 12, 2025 at 11:05 AM

Ukraine Agrees to a 30-Day Cease Fire

Doug Watt
@DougWatt

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From ISW:

The United States and Ukraine agreed on March 11 to an immediate 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine contingent on Russia's agreement, and the US reportedly restarted intelligence sharing and military aid.

Some of the details from the meetings with US and Ukrainian representatives in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia:

The joint statement noted that the United States will immediately lift its suspension on intelligence sharing and military assistance to Ukraine. The United States and Ukraine also agreed to finalize a deal on minerals as soon as possible. Ukraine reiterated in the joint statement that European partners will be involved in the peace process. The United States and Ukraine also discussed humanitarian relief to Ukraine, especially during the ceasefire, including the return of prisoners of war (POWs), detained civilians, and forcibly deported Ukrainian children to Ukraine. Ukrainian Presidential Office Deputy Head Pavlo Palisa confirmed on March 11 that the United States has already resumed the flow of military assistance to Ukraine. A source close to the Ukrainian government told CNN that the United States also fully restored intelligence sharing to Ukraine on March 11.

Radio Free Europe is reporting that Ukrainian forces are leaving the Kursk region of Russia due to the fact that it is not a realistic bargaining chip in future negotiations. The cease fire would take place across the entire frontlines of Ukraine. US military aid stored in Poland that had been on hold is crossing into Ukraine at the present time.

While there has been no official word from the Kremlin, Russian military bloggers have been stating that the cease fire is unacceptable.

This post was promoted to the Main Feed by an editor.

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    Percival@Percival·1y

    Trump has in the past said there will be consequences. Maybe Vladimir the terrorist isn't done blowing up Ukrainian civilians yet. He might need to see the "economic sanctions" you referred to before. I hope they work.

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    Susan Quinn@SusanQuinn·1y

    I can't imagine Putin going along with this agreement. We'll see....

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    Eugene Kriegsmann@EugeneKriegsmann·1y
    Just finished Jim Geraghty's Morning Jolt. According to him, and he lists lots of other examples of Putin not doing what he promised to do, there is little chance that Putin will agree, and if he does even less chance that he will abide by the terms. His assessment of the Trump administration's handling of this situation is pretty grim, and I can find no argument against it. Trump seems to want peace at any price, so long as he doesn't have to pay the price. It all seems a little reminiscent of Biden and the Israel/Hamas conflict. It would be nice, for once, if an American president would allow morality to be the determiner of our foreign policy rather than just getting the job done. Trump's claim that he would end this war in mere days seems to be motivating him to do anything to achieve that goal, no matter who pays. Unless he pulls a very large, healthy rabbit out of his hat in the next few days, he is going to look like what he so often does look like, a blustering blowhard.
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    Percival@Percival·1y

    Trump's contempt for Zelenskyy has been made manifest. Putin has noted that and may play into that by "agreeing" and then provoking the Ukrainians to respond to violations of the cease-fire. Or he could make use of the thirty days to prepare a new offensive. Either way., the "Kick Me" sign on Trump's back may be more than the KGB thug can resist. I hope I'm wrong.

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    Doug Watt@DougWatt·1y

    An interesting side note when Russian and US reps met Russia wants direct flights to the US to resume. This could lead to resuming normal flights from Europe as well.

    Commercial traffic is more than just landing fees. Releasing sanctions could lead to trade resuming between Russia and the US as well as the EU.

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