3 Whisky Happy HourThe Ricochet PodcastGLoP CultureBeyond the Polls with Henry OlsenFederalist Radio HourCall Me Back - with Dan SenorThe Radio Free Hillsdale HourGray MattersDaily SignalThe Erick Erickson ShowGiving VenturesMom Wars3 Martini LunchChicks on The RightParsing Immigration PolicyWhat the Hell Is Going OnFreedom to LearnThe Learning CurveThe Conservative Woman’s GuideHeritage ExplainsNot Dead YetWho Funds that?The Glenn ShowFirst Things PodcastHillsdale DialoguesLaw Talk with Epstein, Yoo & CookeThe LibertarianThe Report Card with Nat MalkusThe Kevin Roberts Show with Larry O’ConnorThe American IdeaMadison’s NotesConservative Crossroads with Henry OlsenThe Back of the BookMartini ShotThe Dave Carter ShowThe Powerline ShowIn DissentHeard at HeritageSmart Girl PoliticsJames Lileks’ The DinerCase in Point: The Legal Show on the Hottest Legal Cases in Politics and CultureJobMakersOne on One with Robert DoarHomeschooling Journeys with Curious MikeHubwonk

Get the Ricochet app

Ricochet will work fine in a browser on your mobile devices, but for the best experience please download our app.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Become a member.

Tired of the toxicity of social media? Why not join Ricochet for just $5/month? Think of it as an online bar. Come in, have a drink, hang out, say whatever you want. But don’t badger, bully, or berate the other drinkers. That's our only rule.

  1. Main Feed/
  2. Quote of the Day - Predictions
January 4, 2025 at 5:45 PM

Quote of the Day - Predictions

Seawriter
@Seawriter

CONTRIBUTOR

To read this bio, please join Ricochet.

Join to bookmark18likesJoin to like21comments
It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future. – Yogi Berra

I can make one prediction about 2025 that I am absolutely confident will turn out to be true: 2025 won't turn out the way we expect.

I suppose everything may go as planned. Just as it is possible that you can get a royal flush when dealt a hand of cards. My 50+ years of experience as an adult makes me believe otherwise. Over that entire span of time, things never went as expected for a whole year. It might—maybe—go as expected this year, but I doubt it.

That doesn't mean every unexpected outcome is a disappointment. Let's see the hands of all the Ricochetti who on January 1, 2024, believed Donald Trump would not only win the presidency but win the popular vote and win all the battleground states by a big enough margin for a convincing, crushing victory. Now let's see the hands of everyone lying about that. (Strange, they seem to be mostly the same hands.) For that matter, how many expected Trump would even get the nomination back in December 2023?

Every year sees the appearance of black swans, unicorns, unexpected disappointments, and unexpected triumphs. An old saying applies: "If you want to make God laugh, make a plan." Predicting the future accurately is less important than adapting to it. Accept what you cannot change, improve what you can and keep moving. A former boss put it best: "Hope for the best; plan for the worst."

This post was promoted to the Main Feed at the recommendation of Ricochet's members.

Discussion (21)

Sign in to commentSign in
  • To read this bio, please join Ricochet.

    DaveSchmidt@DaveSchmidt·1y

    "Fasten your seat belts! It's going to be a bumpy ride."

  • CHARTER MEMBER

    To read this bio, please join Ricochet.

    Douglas Pratt@DouglasPratt·1y

    If 50% of the things that have been made possible by the Trump victory actually happen, I will call that a huge win.

    We need to fight for every single one, and not get dismayed or start arguing when some fail. Of course some are going to fail. Let's make sure enough succeed to sustain our precious country and our way of life.

  • CONTRIBUTOR

    To read this bio, please join Ricochet.

    Seawriter@Seawriter·1y
    ReplyingtoDaveSchmidt

    DaveSchmidt (View Comment):

    “Fasten your seat belts! It’s going to be a bumpy ride.”

  • To read this bio, please join Ricochet.

    Kevin Schulte@KevinSchulte·1y

    The next year would be easier to asses, if we didn't have evil people in DC and the media going about trying to create Black Swans .

  • To read this bio, please join Ricochet.

    Lilly B@LillyB·1y

    Thanks for this evergreen wisdom!

    Another great QOTD post by @Seawriter. You too can share some truth here by signing up for a January QOTD.

Scroll for later comments
+16 more comments
Join the conversation

You're seeing five of 21 comments. Sign in, or join for just $5 per month, to read them all and add your own.

Trending

Become a member.

Tired of the toxicity of social media? Why not join Ricochet for just $5/month? Think of it as an online bar. Come in, have a drink, hang out, say whatever you want. But don’t badger, bully, or berate the other drinkers. That's our only rule.

Join Ricochet

Get the Ricochet app

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play
  • •
  • •