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The New York Times explains that seafood prices are going up because of climate change. Overfishing and higher demand apparently do not affect prices, but warming that has little or no quantifiable effect on fish populations must indeed be why prices are rising. Dr. Roy Spencer's records of satellite data show a current global ocean warming trend of 1.3 degrees C per century, not all of which is attributable to human activities. A recent study suggests that large regions of the Pacific Ocean may have actually cooled in recent decades, but it takes very little warming to prove that a crisis is at hand.
On a more parochial note, here in Maryland climate change does not seem to have affected the Chesapeake Bay. The all-important blue crab population is up over 40% from 2025 (a down year), holding pretty stable on average — and the juvenile count is up. Hard winters are tougher on crabs (cold kills female crabs at a higher rate) than hot summers. Hopefully prices will come back down if the population stays healthy.
"Science" journalists who routinely offer dire predictions about the fate of coffee, beer, seaside towns, lovable animal species, etc. might have been devastated to learn that the IPCC dumped the extreme and silly model RCP 8.5 upon which all of the most dire predictions of climate change were based. I say "might" because one would have to do some cursory research and read some relevant professional literature to know that The Consensus (Flectamus genua!) has dropped its most extreme (and most popular) range of projected outcomes.
Much like the barrier layers that prevent the deep ocean from equalizing with surface temperature trends for several centuries, alarmist NGOs, brochures and the creation of those in-depth 30-second videos on social media may take years to overcome denial, willful ignorance and funding to let go of the habit of alarmist fantasies.
It is a fact that warming and CO2 have a logarithmic relationship; i.e., CO2 must double to achieve a constant warming rate. According to my careful study of the data available over the last 40 years, there is an even stronger logarithmic relationship between warming and the publication of deeply stupid predictions — small warming generates more and more idiocy. I made a graph, so it must be true.
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Discussion (4)
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Spurious Correlations
Correlation is not causation: thousands of charts of real data showing actual correlations between ridiculous variables.
tylervigen.com
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But there are graphs so it must be science. For example, in the Vostock ice core samples, the link between temperature and CO2 is so strong that CO2 levels rise 700-800 years after temperatures rise.
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Vostok Antarctic Core Ice Study shows that if you divide up the last 10,000 years into 200 year pieces, 1 out of 6 have a 4 degree temperature change.
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Yes, the problem is the general public doesn't know what "logarithmic" means. Probably most have not had to plot a logarithmic function on a graphic calculator, on paper, or by some program. People have heard the term "exponential", which has been applied to CO2 and global warming in the past. But it seems humans tend to think linearly more naturally. So when this material is put out to alarm people, they think each unit of CO2 directly is linked to an equal part of Climate Change chaos. This is a difficult hurdle to overcome in the debate.
I noticed the CO2 correlation some time ago as well. Perhaps change the messaging to something like: the instant effect of warming decreases with each additional contribution of CO2 decreases. The inverse of exponential.
This type of language might get through to people.