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On October 8th, 2023, Hezbollah joined the war against Israel. Now, nearly fifteen months later, a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon may be imminent.
As of this evening in Israel, the Israeli security cabinet has officially approved a ceasefire deal with Lebanon. Under the proposal, Israeli forces would withdraw from Lebanon within 60 days, while Hezbollah forces would relocate farther north, effectively establishing a buffer zone. The Lebanese Army would be stationed in southern Lebanon, to ensure that Hezbollah remains north of the Litani River.
To analyze the key terms of the agreement, and help us unpack its military, political, and social implications, our guest is David Horowitz.
David Horovitz is the founding editor of The Times of Israel. He was previously the editor-in-chief of The Jerusalem Post, and editor and publisher of The Jerusalem Report.
David on X: https://x.com/davidhorovitz
The Times of Israel: https://www.timesofisrael.com/
Hosted by Dan Senor
Discussion (1)
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The ceasefire comes down to this - the IDF needed a break to rest and refit and Hezbollah is badly hurt. An army built around fighting quick, decisive wars has gotten into two protracted conflicts with Hamas and Hebollah plus short, sharp actions against Iran and the Houthis. The IDF is betting that Hezbollah and Iran won't attack for several months, in which time they will rest and prepare for the next war. They have a letter from the US giving them permission to respond to Hezbollah ceasefire violations, and the Trump administration will be more supportive than Biden ever was.
Act II is coming, but who wins the next round depends on how well everyone prepares during this intermission.