Tag: modeling

As other countries and individual American States open up, Toby laments that his opposition to the lockdown, and his new website, LockdownSceptics.org, is gradually taking over his life. After a promising start with Brexit, James is starting to believe that this Government is the worst of his lifetime.

And that’s mostly due to the PM’s early about-face in response to Neil Ferguson and his Imperial College modeling. (Note: After the show was recorded Ferguson resigned his position for breaking the lockdown rules with his married lover.)

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Thanks to everyone for commenting on my last post concerning antibody testing, especially @mendel and @valiuth, who put me in touch with some great resources. I’m going back to the well with a new request. Our Governor has said all along that he’s relying upon “science and modeling” to inform him on whether or not […]

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The coronavirus crisis has led to much discussion of modeling. One of the largest modeling projects in human history was the Soviet Union’s attempt to manage its entire economy on a top-down basis, including the use of sophisticated and then-state-of-the-art mathematical tools. Red Plenty…part novel, part nonfiction…is about the Soviet Union’s economic planning efforts as […]

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The good news is that the worst is likely to be past, nationally, in seven to ten days. The IHME model has been doing a pretty good job of forecasting deaths and resource usage. An update over the weekend has both brought down the count of anticipated deaths nationally, and greatly lowered both the deaths […]

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The Perils and Pleasures of Modeling

 

The term ‘model’ is much in the news, and I’m not talking about @RightAngles trade. It’s the term apparently favored by the media to describe a general area that may also go by: cybernetics, system dynamics, advanced statistics, simulation, control theory, and others. Having some academic and professional background in the domain, this is my (inevitably simplified) attempt to sketch its limits, so you can be smarter than the average journalist.

So, simplifying, as warned: There are two types of models. One is broadly statistical in approach. The other attempts to be more mechanistic.

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Due to the clamoring of thousands of you, I’ve written this post on the topic of Beauty and modeling. Well okay it wasn’t thousands of you. Okay it was Titus. And actually he didn’t exactly clamor (@titustechera). But when did I ever turn down an opportunity to post pictures of myself? Anyway in the PIT, […]

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