Tag: Mark Begich

A Bad Night For ObamaCare


shutterstock_137110268On December 24, 2009, sixty US Senators — all Democrats or independents caucusing with them — voted for the Affordable Care & Patient Protection Act. A scant five years later, only 33 (55%) of them are still in office. That’s an attrition rate of 45%, 15% per election, among members of body famously designed to be insulated from popular whim.

To be fair, there are a number of reasons for this that have nothing to do with ObamaCare: some senators have died; some have taken appointments in the Obama administration and been replaced by ideological clones; others elected during the last major wave reached their natural age of retirement. Still, it’s a historically high number.

Contrast that with the 39 Republicans who voted against ObamaCare: 27 (69%) of them are still in office; 9 (23%) retired; two lost primaries; and one resigned. In all, Republican attrition during the same period has been about 11% per election (see below for details).

A Wave Election?


In two recent posts — here and here — I drew attention to straws in the wind suggesting that the bloom is finally off the rose for Democrats and that neither Barack Obama nor Hillary Clinton nor the upcoming midterm elections are eliciting from them enthusiasm. There were, as I pointed out, no panels at the recent meeting of the American Political Science Association celebrating the accomplishments of the Obama Administration, next to no panels on the 2014 midterms, and — at a convention in which almost 4,000 papers were to be delivered — next to no papers dedicated to examining the achievements of “The One” and his party. It was almost, I suggested, as if the Obama Administration did not exist.

This indication of disillusionment might be taken as a sign that that another wave election like the one in 2010 could be in the offing. The latest polling data is consistent with such a presumption. As Guy Benson reports at Hot Air, the Republican Senatorial candidates are up 16 points in Montana, 14 points in South Dakota, and 24 points in West Virginia. David Perdue has a comfortable lead over Michelle Nunn in Georgia, and Mitch McConnell is well ahead of Alison Lundergan Grimes in Kentucky.