I wanted to share this after returning from my local caucus. I won’t belabor the details, so here’s the quick takeaway: Senator Ted Cruz had a good night in my precinct — as he did statewide — fueled largely by the #NeverTrump movement; but, if the nomination’s not in hand by the convention, he might be in trouble. We had one person who spoke on behalf of Donald Trump, two who spoke for Governor John Kasich, and six who spoke for Cruz. But only three three of the pro-Cruz speakers were solidly in Cruz’s camp; the others were actually Kasich people encouraging votes for Cruz to stop the Trump Train.

If what’s happening in my precinct is at all representative of what’s going on elsewhere in the country, Cruz will have an even tougher time winning a contested convention than it might seem at first. Both of the state delegates my precinct elected said they were running because they wanted to be delegates to the National Convention, and they said they would support Senator Marco Rubio and Kasich (respectively) once they were freed to vote their minds after the first ballot.

I put myself forward as an alternative, not because I wanted to be a delegate, but because I thought Cruz supporters should be able to vote for someone who planned to support “their guy” at convention. It didn’t happen.