Tag: Iowa

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Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America discuss what readers can expect in Jim’s new book, Between Two Scorpions. Joe Biden flip-flops on trade and calls President Trump “an existential threat” to the United States. Meanwhile, Democrats in Iowa grow more uncertain as to who they will support from the busload […]

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Spreading Joy to Soyville, RV-Style

 

Ohio farmers are worried. But a guy named Sonny has swung by in his RV to reassure them. Sonny Perdue, the US Agriculture Secretary, is on an RV tour of several “flyover” states, reassuring farmers along the way that tariff tiffs will not harm them.

As the soybean industry assailed President Donald Trump today for launching a trade war with China, U.S. Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue said Trump assured him that farmers in Ohio and across the country “will not be allowed to be the casualty in a trade dispute.”

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Hair Salon Owner in Iowa Fights Back Against Liberal Attacks

 

Ivanka Trump was making an appearance in Des Moines and she went to a local hair salon to have her hair done. When some other patrons of this salon heard about Ms. Trump’s visit, they responded the way you would expect. They initiated a social media storm, calling for a boycott of the salon and swearing never to go there again. Fortunately, the salon owner did not yield to the crap being thrown at her.

Any Ricochet members who live in the Des Moines area, check out Salon Spa W and give Ms. China Wong kudos for her response to the Facebook slam.

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Attention, Weeping Iowan Collegians: “Suck It Up, Buttercup”

 

Leave it to a sensible Midwestern state to come to terms with this latest outbreak of infantilism on college campuses following last week’s election results.

In Iowa, a state lawmaker plans to introduce a bill he simply calls “suck it up, buttercup”.

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We departed Rapid City on Saturday morning, heading due south on the Heartland Expressway, a road running between the Black Hills and the Badlands. We planned this as a brief travel day, just a 4 or 5 hour push to get to the middle of Nebraska along US 20 for one last easy camp. My […]

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So, last night, six different Iowa precincts were decided for the Democrats by coin toss. And Hillary Clinton won every single toss. The odds of winning six consecutive coin tosses is 1 in (2^6), or 1 in 64. More

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Celebrating or mourning Iowa? Here’s some historical perspective. If 2016 is like 1976, Ted Cruz is our nominee. More

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Trump’s Kryptonite

 

bergen-at-communipaw-13aug8Jersey City is a long way from Iowa, and in a sense even further from Manhattan, certainly if you travel way up the hill away from the river. And yes, record buyers have political opinions, too, even if collecting things is just an excellent distraction from tedious reality, one that doesn’t destroy your health. Around here, we stay away from the talking heads of Fox and MSNBC and just go out on the street and talk to the peeps. Like the guy who sells me my paper on Communipaw Avenue, far from the Wall Street crowd that’s rapidly taking over Jersey City.

“Steve, Donald Trump ain’t gonna run for nuttin,” says Rickie in his African-American twang as he hands me a paper through the car window. Sixty-something, skinny and a bit cramped-looking, he continues: “He don’t wanna lose. And he will lose big-time to Miss Hillary. Get it? Trump knows what folk will do when they get into that votin’ booth.” Rickie squints his eyes and crunches up his face to make a point. “Steve, you’ll see. You heard right here from Rickie.”

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What an Upset!

 

What an upset! No, no, I don’t mean for what’s-his-name, I mean for Ann Selzer. I feel badly for her, actually, because she was trying her best to damp down all the “Ann Selzer is the greatest pollster in the history of the world” hype in the full knowledge (as a statistician) that it was more likely she’d get it wrong at some point than it was that her winning streak would be uninterrupted.

I’m confident that over a series of elections, she’ll get it right far more often than I will. Her methodology makes sense, whereas mine’s like using Paul the Octopus. But I confess I’m surprised. My Iowa poll methodology either worked better than I expected, or it was a total fluke. Only one way to know: Let’s see if I can do it again.

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Just Three Things

 

It’s Iowa Caucus night, and just about everyone around here is busy worrying about the results, polls, social media trends, who visited where, and who is endorsing whom. I’m just taking a time out from wading through research on legislation that is being introduced in a few states across the union, and procrastinating on a long overdue column about the merits (demerits?) of some alternative psychological therapies. Needless to say, my mind has been miles away from national politics of late, which probably explains my relative absence here.

But tonight my inbox beckoned with a reminder that maybe someone around Ricochet might want to read my opinion on the current presidential race, and how I think it might turn out. Beyond what I think should be obvious — that Iowa has not really been a great bellwether in presidential races since they’ve only gotten three right — my general feeling is one of relief. This is at least the beginning of the end of the overly large field of candidates who have been generally unseen anyway.

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The following was posted before the results of the Iowa Caucus, so please feel free to disregard it I haven’t deleted it because (1) it is now a useful historical artifact and (2) it’s a reminder of Proverbs 16:18. More

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We’re Gonna Need a Bigger Vote

 

We're Gonna Need a Bigger Vote 1

Tonight the various contenders wishing to become president of the United States will get their first real test in the Iowa caucuses. The caucus (meaning “a gathering of Caucasians”) process involves Iowans grouping together to publicly debate which candidates have spent the most money in the state.

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So, Should I Caucus?

 

635501804068694446-2016IowaCaucus-720x163The Iowa caucuses will come to their tumultuous conclusion Monday. I live in Sioux County, here in the northwest corner of the state, and from what I can tell, Cruz, Trump, and Carson are the candidates of choice here. Carson will probably do very well, as this area is both very conservative and very religious. The various precincts will have large public rooms or gyms assigned for meeting, and the Democrats will probably gather in someone’s basement. My pastor encouraged everyone this morning to participate in the caucus and make their voice heard. I do believe in fulfilling one’s civic duty, and my vote and advocacy (primarily against Trump) would have some non-zero value.

Problem is, I’m not a Republican.

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Marco on the Move, or, a Sudden Eruption of Sanity?

 

As the Rubio campaign prepares to blanket Iowa with a 30-minute television specialThe Hill reports that “Buzz Builds for Rubio.” An excerpt:

Buzz is growing on the ground in Iowa around Marco Rubio, who many political watchers believe is set for a stronger-than-expected showing at Monday’s caucuses.

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Why Marco Might Still Surprise Us

 

In the last couple of days, polls indicate that Marco Rubio has finally begun gaining ground in Iowa, climbing from single to double digits behind Ted Cruz and, of course, The Donald. Since Cruz has the better organization and Trump is dominating television and radio, what accounts for Rubio’s modest surge?

In part, at least, this video, which has gone viral in Iowa. Evangelicals find it compelling, apparently, but I’d make a larger claim on its behalf than that: In its sheer honesty and authenticity, any voter would find it compelling. Who knows what this video might accomplish in the next 72 hours?

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Newspaper Endorses … Wait — Newspapers Are Still a Thing?

 

This is a preview from this morning’s The Daily Shot newsletter. Subscribe here free of charge.

TDS-Logo-BYes, defying all logic or reason, somehow newspapers are still a thing. The Des Moines Register is one and they have a circulation of 85,000 (almost 150,000 on Sundays!). And they actually print on actual paper. (It’s weird we know. They probably still use late 19th century street urchins in flat caps to deliver them.) Every four years (except when they don’t), the Des Moines Register endorses a candidate for President. This year, absent an incumbent, they made two endorsements.

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Iowa: Maybe It’s Time to Let Another State Go First?

 

rick-perry-visits-iowa-state-fairI was thinking today of the central role Iowa plays in electoral politics. It skews — unsurprisingly — traditional, conservative, and even religious. In fact, I think Iowa’s religious leanings (evangelical especially) cast a long shadow across the whole Republican nomination process. I mean, fer cryin’ out loud, the Iowa caucuses have Donald Trump trying to thump a bible. Huckabee has won here, Santorum too. Their success in this one state carried them a long way into the process, and losing here has eliminated much better-rounded candidates.

Now, what would happen, and what kind of candidates would the Republican Party put forward, if the nomination process proceeded in a different order? What kind of characters would we see making it to the later states if they surfed the wave created by a California win? I’m certain many flyover Republicans would not stand for such a thing, but the immense weight carried by religious voters in Iowa probably drives the coastal elites batty by the time they get their say in the process. Is there a better order? Is this the only way for social values and religious conservatives to have a real say in the nominating process?

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Time to Thin the GOP Herd

 

shutterstock_119196472At last, Lindsey Graham did the right thing. After months of increasingly irrelevant undercard debates and poll numbers in the naughts, South Carolina’s littlest senator suspended his campaign. He joins far more promising ex-candidates Rick Perry, Scott Walker, and Bobby Jindal who were unable to capitalize on today’s frustrated electorate.

Reviewing the polling this weekend, it’s past time for several others to follow their lead. Trump is still leading most surveys, Cruz has surged into prominence, and then there’s the amorphous lump of everybody else. Said amorphous lump represents a powerful constituency, as it holds a third of GOP primary voters. But divided among several candidates, these voters will lose out unless several of their current choices step aside.

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Has the Trump Meltdown Begun?

 

Many pundits wondered what would happen if Trump fell behind in the polls. Would he mellow a bit, lash out, or meltdown completely. Now that Dr. Ben Carson is running neck-and-neck with The Donald and has led in several surveys, we’re beginning to see what a desperate Trump looks like. According to Washington Post reporter Jenna Johnson, the marathon speech he gave in Fort Dodge, IA, Thursday night was something to behold.

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Ben Carson Is the New GOP Frontrunner

 

For the first time since July 18, Donald Trump is not the GOP frontrunner. To create their polling average, Real Clear Politics uses the four most recent major national polls and maps the trend over time. As of today, Dr. Ben Carson leads the pack with Trump a very close second.

RCP-polling

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