Tag: Iowa Caucus

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After the Iowa Caucus, stories emerged of Sanders votes being miscounted for Hillary, or delegates meant for Sanders given to Hillary. It appears the Nevada caucus yesterday also had it’s share of issues. The above image was the official Democratic Nevada Caucus sign-in sheet at Precinct 5616. It was posted on Reddit by Bernie Sanders supporters, also detailing other antics that took place […]

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From the Editors’ Desk: Something Rotten in the State of Iowa?

 

shutterstock_351031370From the Des Moines Register’s editors:

What happened Monday night at the Democratic caucuses was a debacle, period. Democracy, particularly at the local party level, can be slow, messy and obscure. But the refusal to undergo scrutiny or allow for an appeal reeks of autocracy. The Iowa Democratic Party must act quickly to assure the accuracy of the caucus results, beyond a shadow of a doubt.

It doesn’t let up:

Ricochet Editor-in-Chief Jon Gabriel and Jim Sharpe welcome author and commentator David Limbaugh to discuss the Iowa Caucus, the New Hampshire primary, and the conservative movement in 2016.

And be sure to buy several copies of David’s latest book, The Emmaus Code: Finding Jesus in the Old Testament!

Trump’s Iowa Defeat Provides an Opportunity for a GOP Middle-Class Message

 

TrumpBoth Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio beat Iowa caucus expectations — set by polls and betting markets — while Donald Trump underperformed. Let’s focus on Trump for a moment. Caucus entrance polls described his core support last night as “caucusgoers who didn’t attend college, were more moderate and, first and foremost, listed immigration as their top issue,” according to the Wall Street Journal. So, the secular working class.

Now none of the other candidates are going to out-extreme Trump on immigration policy. Moreover, his sharp rhetoric and willingness to tolerate heat for being “politically incorrect” signals to supporters his seriousness on the issue. Mr. Trump won’t be pushed around! There is also evidence Trump has talked for some time about the need for a wall on the southern US border, again suggesting his views are more than just ones of convenience.

Yet given Trump’s self-promoted image and branding as a “winner,” his Iowa loss would seem to provide a window of opportunity for rivals to grab his voters. Bad news is poisonous for momentum stocks. Of course if Trump wins NH and wins it big, perhaps that moment is gone and his momentum returns. He regains his balance and resets. It’s like that moment in “Terminator 2: Judgement Day” when the frozen T-1000 is frozen by liquid nitrogen and shatters. But then the various bits and pieces begin to melt and flow back into each other, slowly reforming the shapeshifting android. Time is of the essence, Cruz and Rubio.

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Fivethirtyeight did an analysis awhile back calculating how well Cruz, Trump, and Rubio needed to do in each state to be considered “on track” to the 1,237 delegates needed for the nomination. This is based on the demographics of each state and how well they do in relation to their presumed voter strengths. As you can […]

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The media narrative coming out of the Hawkeye Caucaye last night seems to be that Marco Rubio won by finishing 3rd. See this tweet from Reuters: Marco Rubio emerges as champion of battered Republican party https://t.co/OyFbuWSjgT pic.twitter.com/bxKQZYnQlw — Reuters Top News (@Reuters) February 2, 2016 Preview Open

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Maybe New York Values Don’t Work in Iowa After All!

 

Iowa_Hawkeyes_logoEven saints – especially saints! – must have their nights in Gethsemane. Saints are, after all, human. And humans from prince to pauper have to suffer through trials and setbacks in this mortal coil. Donald Trump, who is certainly no saint, will doubtless have his Gethsemane tonight.

Is this – Iowa – therefore the end? Will the Trump campaign fold like a cheap suit? Is the air of invincibility all there ever was to the Trump candidacy?

Well, this is one Trump supporter who, while temporarily daunted, does not think so. I could list a string of technocratic justifications why not – Cruz was especially suited to Iowa, Rubio had a good night but Kasich will beat him in New Hampshire and Bush is never going to get out, Carson held valiantly on to his slice of the rebel vote (more power to him) – but ultimately it is the issues and Trump’s clarity on them, especially immigration and terror, that have gotten him to where he is and it is the issues that will carry him forward.

Just Three Things

 

It’s Iowa Caucus night, and just about everyone around here is busy worrying about the results, polls, social media trends, who visited where, and who is endorsing whom. I’m just taking a time out from wading through research on legislation that is being introduced in a few states across the union, and procrastinating on a long overdue column about the merits (demerits?) of some alternative psychological therapies. Needless to say, my mind has been miles away from national politics of late, which probably explains my relative absence here.

But tonight my inbox beckoned with a reminder that maybe someone around Ricochet might want to read my opinion on the current presidential race, and how I think it might turn out. Beyond what I think should be obvious — that Iowa has not really been a great bellwether in presidential races since they’ve only gotten three right — my general feeling is one of relief. This is at least the beginning of the end of the overly large field of candidates who have been generally unseen anyway.

Democracy Inaction

 

I’m watching the coverage of tonight’s Iowa Caucuses, and I am being reminded why I watch less and less cable news. Flipping between CNN and Fox News, I’m presented with breathless reports by people in rooms with lots of other people, marveling at the groupings of said people.

At Democrat caucus sites, I’ve heard reporters utter the phrase “this in democracy in action” many times, and the night is still young. Then, the camera pans over to four people while the reporter exclaims “These four people came over from the other camp!!!” You see, this is democracy in action, they keep telling me.

The Iowa Outcome: How the Spin Will Work

 

It’s Iowa Caucus day and all of us fervently hope that with actual votes public persuasion sessions whatever happens in a caucus itself the craziness will subside and we’ll get on with the whole thing.

While we all have a preferred scenario, I see three plausible outcomes for Iowa which will be spun as positively as they can be by the campaigns.