Tag: Cruz

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I don’t care much whether the Republican candidate is Cruz or Rubio. Either would be preferable to Clinton/Sanders or Trump, and I don’t expect either to shake the foundations if elected.  That said, the pre-election polling that indicates voters in general prefer Rubio to Cruz is not significant. Why? Because current polls are asking people […]

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I’m voting in the Texas primary tomorrow.   I’d like to wait until Tuesday so that I have more information, but that’s a very busy day at work.   I may get up really early and vote at 7:00 when they open then race to work. I’m a  Cruz supporter.  I’ve been planning to vote […]

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Cassius: “The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars, But in ourselves, that we are underlings.”  Julius Caesar (I, ii, 140-141) (Names changed, but the people I discuss here are very real, and I’ve known them for decades).  Bob is a retired installer of siding and gutters, the son of another installer, and the grandson of […]

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Governor Romney is about to take incoming from the Trump firing squad. This afternoon he stated there is a bombshell in Trumps yet to be released taxes.  While Romney hasn’t endorsed any remaining candidates, one would assume he prefers the GOPe ticket over Trump. If his taxes are not released posthaste, are we looking at a window for Rubio or […]

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Nevada is over and we’re heading into Super Tuesday or the SEC Primary depending on which term you prefer this cycle. Donald Trump is busy warming up the fat lady and dragging a bow-tied pig in white gloves towards center stage with another smashing victory. Despite the fact that the GOP Nevada caucus was apparently chaotic, […]

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Where We Are After South Carolina

 

After taking a weekend to collect my thoughts and give myself a pat on the back about the effects of Nikki Haley’s endorsement of Rubio getting him second place in South Carolina let’s get down to brass tacks: What does it all mean?

Obviously it means a reprieve for Rubio, who successfully battled back from 5th place in New Hampshire, and another win for Donald and a big one; in a split field, he’s got the nomination on lock. Was it a terrible body blow for Cruz to come in third (politics goes by Toretto’s law, so don’t talk to me about ties)? Let’s go candidate-by-candidate again to take a look at how this can play out in the coming weeks before Nevada.

The South Carolina Primary: What to Watch For

 

shutterstock_371093699The New Hampshire primary had me eating crow with Kasich’s second place win: I bought the conventional wisdom from the polls that Rubio was going to come in second on his way to working the 3-2-1 strategy that his campaign was pursuing to the nomination.

But the post-New Hampshire spin has largely ignored Katich’s Kasich’s second place victory, since everyone was concentrated on the smashing Trump win and Rubio’s slide. As I expected Rubio’s, rebounded in the polling from his New Hampshire loss and seems to be in a strong third and possible second place in South Carolina.

I’ll bullet my three scenarios and then lay out probable spin based on placement for each candidate. I’ll be considering all February polls per RealClearPolitics. Sadly, we do not have an Emerson poll ready for South Carolina since they nailed Iowa and New Hampshire (relatively speaking).

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Tonight, Ted Cruz closed by noting that we should judge candidates based on when they had opposed Washington. His example of when he had opposed Washington was that he’d endorsed current law regarding Ethanol subsidies, under which it is phased out gradually. Could someone explain how Ted Cruz’s position, which is shared by the bulk […]

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Ted Cruz has one distinctive promise for fiscal policy; he’d take an axe to the government. The most prominent claim in this is the claim that he would abolish the IRS. The second most common claim is that he’d abolish “five departments”, one of which is the IRS. As an example, at CPAC, Hannity asked […]

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Fivethirtyeight did an analysis awhile back calculating how well Cruz, Trump, and Rubio needed to do in each state to be considered “on track” to the 1,237 delegates needed for the nomination. This is based on the demographics of each state and how well they do in relation to their presumed voter strengths. As you can […]

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The Iowa Outcome: How the Spin Will Work

 

It’s Iowa Caucus day and all of us fervently hope that with actual votes public persuasion sessions whatever happens in a caucus itself the craziness will subside and we’ll get on with the whole thing.

While we all have a preferred scenario, I see three plausible outcomes for Iowa which will be spun as positively as they can be by the campaigns.

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James, let me start by saying. I may have been mistaken about the Cruz tax plan. I’ve read a few pieces that offer that explanation. But, I am having a hard time coming to a conclusion on the subject. If Cruz’s flat tax is a vat tax, then what is the corporate income tax, if […]

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The Art of the Deal, iWe Style

 

I come from a culture that celebrates intelligence above almost all else, and I was raised to show off my mental and verbal chops. But a lesson that has been hard-learned (and, I suspect, is still being learned by Ted Cruz), is that there is a big – a YUGE – difference between showing that you are smarter than everyone else, and making them want to be on your team.

In my personal life, this is not about politics, but business. I run a disruptive company, in an industry in which everyone is engaged in classic “silo” thinking. They can work and see very well indeed, but only in one direction. With very, very few exceptions, there are no real generalists, people who can see the true big picture, can see how a single changed assumption can lead to changes across the entire industry.

Cruz Will Lose

 

I am just stating it now, for the record. Mind you, this is not a reflection on the character of the man, on his abilities, or on how great a president he would be if he would win the White House. No, I’m simply stating that he will not win the White House in the first place.

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In the debate on Tuesday I couldn’t square how Ted Cruz could state that his 10% flat income tax plan (that also eliminates payroll taxes) was revenue neutral when scored dynamically. Well two articles by Steven Moore and  Ramesh Ponnuru on NRO really helps explain what is going on. Basically both Ted Cruz and Rand […]

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We hear, now and then, that Ted Cruz is playing Minni Me to Donald Trump, or that Cruz is Trump Lite.  I have observed deference to Trump, from Cruz, but not much more than that.  As to Trump Lite, I think the rally on the Capitol grounds today provided an interesting contrast.  I had this […]

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