Tag: climate

Real Power: Volcano Puts Human Power in Perspective

 

Hat tip Power Line blog for pointing to an excellent eight-minute video on the massive volcanic eruption in Tonga. Tonga is a nation of islands, administratively organized into five groups. The northernmost group includes two small islands, Hunga Tonga and Hunga Ha’apai, that are really the surface evidence of a large volcano. They mark two points on the rim of the caldera. The latest and largest eruption in a very long time was captured on a Japanese and an American satellite, as well as by live phone video before the collapse of international communications. This eruption resulted in measurable increased water on the continental U.S. West Coast, with surges of 1 to 2 feet over 5,000 miles away from the source. The longer-term effect, depending on just how much ash is ejected high into the atmosphere, may be global temperature change for a year or more.

Steven Hayward at Power Line pointed out the potential physical and political/cultural effect:

Follow the Science, Really?

 

What follows is about an encounter on Facebook, or Meta. I don’t know which for sure, as it happened in the transition so I can’t say where it landed. So far, all my FB icons remain the same, untouched by the mind of Zuckerberg.

I have been reading a couple of books of apostasy, they being Apocalypse Never, by Michael Shellenberger, and Unsettled? What Climate Science Tells Us, What it Doesn’t, and Why It Matters, by Steven E. Koonin. I have been drawn to them in part to test my own skepticism, and to learn why they had jumped ship.

Briefly, both are still convinced that there is indeed climate change characterized by a small increase in global temperature. What they both reject is the proposition that this increase will be catastrophic in the near future and is an existential threat. They differ on possible resolutions of this “crisis”.

Rep. Jared Huffman, Democrat of California, joins “Plugged In”  hosts Josh Siegel and Neil Chatterjee to discuss a big week ahead in the House as it prepares to vote on the party’s climate and social spending bill.

He urges the Senate to keep intact the House’s version of the Build Back Better Act because, “we are late in the game and need to hurry up and get this over the finish line.”

Former Republican Rep. Carlos Curbelo of Florida, an original GOP climate champion, joins “Plugged In” hosts Josh Siegel and Neil Chatterjee to discuss his party’s “evolution” on climate change and why he thinks it can do more.

Curbelo also predicts a “big” policy solution on climate change will emerge in Florida, where residents are already “living” the effects of a warming planet.

Join Jim and Greg as they dissect new polls that show voters trusting Republicans more on several key issues and by wide margins.  They also roll their eyes at the climate summit in Scotland and at climate envoy John Kerry’s effort to end energy derived from coal altogether. And they unload at the Lincoln Project and its Democratic operative allies for Friday’s stunt aimed at looking like white supremacists were supporting the GOP candidate for governor in Virginia.

Join Jim and Greg as they welcome the news that President Biden’s anti-gun nominee to run the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms is unlikely yo get confirmed by the U.S. Senate. They also groan as Biden cracks down on emission standards as part of a massive push toward making us buy electric vehicles. And they push back as Rep. Rashida Tlaib wants taxpayers to pay $40 billion to cover the utility bills of low-income Americans because of the pandemic.

Join Jim and Greg as they slam radical Michigan Rep. Rashida Tlaib for wanting to defund Customs & Border Patrol, ICE, and the entire Department of Homeland Security. They also unload on the 40 leftist groups urging President Biden to look the other way on Uighur genocide and Hong Kong repression in order to build cooperation for a climate change agenda. And they have fun with John Kerry getting caught doing what John Kerry does best – thinking the rules don’t apply to him.

Jim & Greg are glad to see VP Kamala Harris finally deciding to visit the border amid mounting pressure from Donald Trump, conservatives, and some in the media. They also cringe at President Biden’s dishonest attempts to justify gun control and saying that anyone wanting to resist the government would need F-15s and nukes. Finally, they discuss China covering up their climate abuses by paying off American media outlets and nonprofits.

Join Jim and Greg as they welcome polls showing more Americans want their second amendment rights vigorously protected. They also go dizzy as President Biden trots out his third multi-trillion dollar spending binge.  And they react to a Vogue writer agonizing over whether to have a baby because she is convinced the child is damaging to the planet.

Join Jim and Greg as they welcome House Republicans trying to force the Biden administration to keep the effective Trump-era sanctions on Iran. They also unload on Biden for his ridiculous, non-binding goal of curbing greenhouse gas emissions by 50 percent by the end of the decade – and for his climate agenda that would really just grow government. And they have some fun with Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot suggesting police officers get permission from a supervisor before chasing criminals on foot.

 

Rob Long is in for Jim today. Rob and Greg react to New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo doing exactly what Rob said he would do to distract from his many scandals. Then they’re glad to see President Biden’s poll numbers sinking on immigration policy. They also explain how Biden’s “infrastructure” bill appears to include a bunch of Green New Deal provisions, guts freedom to work. And they call out the left’s refusal to acknowledge basic biological reality when it comes to determining a person’s sex.

Join Jim and Greg as they applaud Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for speaking the truth that schools should be open and there’s only one reason why they aren’t. They also shake their heads as a brutal cold snap causes power system failures and rotating blackouts through Texas – and the lessons that should be learned. And they take a bite out of Bill Gates for wanting all “wealthy nations” to switch to synthetic beef.

 

Join Jim and Greg as they welcome New York officials getting closer to the truth about nursing home deaths from COVID and how much Gov. Cuomo tried to cover up the numbers. They also hammer John Kerry and the Biden administration for smugly insisting that lots of energy industry workers will lose jobs but the green energy jobs will be even better. And while admitting limited knowledge of Wall Street, they discuss the GameStop trading chaos and the interesting political reaction to it.

Join Jim and Greg, even though there are no good martinis today. They wince as Joe Biden taps radical lefty Xavier Becerra to run the Department of Health and Human Services. They also walk through the thoroughly unsurprising allegations that New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo runs a toxic work environment. And they fume as the Chicago Teachers’ Union says returning to in-person instruction is due to racism, sexism, and misogyny while national unions convince Joe Biden to demand $100 billion to reopen elementary schools.

There may be no good martinis today but we’re still having a lot of fun! Join Jim and Greg as they groan over Biden’s choice of John Kerry to be a special envoy on climate change and Biden making the progressive climate agenda a major priority. They also tear apart the push for compulsory voting in the U.S. and why not caring about politics should remain one of our cherished rights. And they unload on Pennsylvania for implementing an arbitrary ban on alcohol sales in bars and restaurants on Wednesday.

Regulatory Climate Change

 

I work for a municipal utility that operates a small power plant in Missouri. Built in 1928, the plant houses nine diesel/natural gas generators, the oldest of which is a 1946 model (see video below). The plant served as the city’s primary source of power up till the 1980s when it became more economical to contract energy from larger plants. While they’re no longer the primary source of power for the city, they still serve a major role in fulfilling capacity and peaking needs for the city.

As part of my job, I handle the environmental compliance for the plant. Over the last decade, we’ve spent over $2 million to comply with Obama era EPA regulations. These engines run less than 75 hours each a year. Such a waste of money and time.

Join Jim and Greg as they applaud the normalization of relations between Israel and Bahrain and indications that Saudi Arabia may soon follow suit. They also discuss the premeditated shootings of two Los Angeles County sheriff’s deputies on Saturday and why Joe Biden condemns the shooting but not the people blocking the ambulances from reaching the hospitals and chanting that they hoped the deputies died.  And Jim explains why the wildfires in the western U.S. are exposing the extreme policies of some Democrats and environmental activists.

Rob Long is in for Jim today.  He and Greg appreciate the climate change crowd joining other far left activists in admitting what we’ve known for decades – that their real goal is to kill capitalism.  Rob also tears into New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo for his ongoing celebration of himself and for claiming people from other states are now flocking to New York to be safe from the virus.  Rob also explains why countless New York businesses are on the brink of collapse because of Cuomo’s callousness.  And they have fun with Berkeley, California’s decision to have unarmed civilian city workers make traffic stops instead of police.

The Perils and Pleasures of Modeling

 

The term ‘model’ is much in the news, and I’m not talking about @RightAngles trade. It’s the term apparently favored by the media to describe a general area that may also go by: cybernetics, system dynamics, advanced statistics, simulation, control theory, and others. Having some academic and professional background in the domain, this is my (inevitably simplified) attempt to sketch its limits, so you can be smarter than the average journalist.

So, simplifying, as warned: There are two types of models. One is broadly statistical in approach. The other attempts to be more mechanistic.