Tag: Black Voters

Why Bernie Doesn’t Appeal to Black Voters

 

“[O]ur survey suggests that if Sanders—or whomever Democrats ultimately choose—wants to win over black voters, a message stressing economic justice is not the best option; he needs to appeal explicitly to race (italics added). This finding builds on emerging work showing that the perception of threat on the part of racial minorities can encourage political participation, as has been demonstrated in the Latino community. It also builds on our finding, published in a previous study, that holding negative opinions of Trump can be a mobilizing force for African American voters.

Why is a message emphasizing racism so effective, relative to the alternatives? Simply put, race is the principal identity that resonates with the black community (italics added). History makes clear that racism affects every aspect of African Americans’ lives, so much so that most members of the black community perceive that they share a common fate (italics added). This is not to say that class isn’t sometimes important, but when it comes to political engagement, racial identity is a more reliable predictor of black political behavior (italics added). 

This passage from Politico, which discusses Bernie Sanders’ underwhelming performance with black voters during the Democrat presidential primaries, confirms several sad truisms that most Americans already know.

The Bond Between Democrats and Black Voters

 

Hat tip to Patrick Ruffini for the link to this interesting piece that shows how social pressure cements loyalty between Democrats and black voters.

There’s a kind of “Bradley Effect” where black voters are more likely to say they’re Democrats when asked by a black interviewer rather than a white interviewer. They also found that black voters will donate more money to Democratic candidates when faced with similar social pressure from other black Democrats.

This corroborates my hypothesis that voting Democrat, for black voters, is not a behavior. Rather, it is an attribute. It’s now what you do; it’s who you are.

Member Post

 

4. The black community needs to become politically competitive. Today Democrats know they will win without even bothering to campaign, without any regard for candidate quality. Republicans, on the other hand, know there’s zero chance of winning, no matter how good their candidate or his roots, record or pedigree in the district. Preview Open

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How the GOP Can Win Black Votes: Sideline the NAACP

 

A note: I’m using NAACP is a stand-in for itself and every other supposed “civil rights” organization that purports to speak on behalf of the black community, but, in actuality, has cast its own mission and history aside, and is now no more than a fully owned and operated subsidiary of the Democratic National Committee.

Let’s be clear here: any GOP plan involving the NAACP, the Urban League, the Leadership Conference on Civil Rights, the Congressional Black Caucus, etc., or any affiliated individuals (e.g., pastors, community organizers, etc.) in any outreach effort to the black community is not only a waste of time, but a willfully stupid act of self-sabotage. It earns you no goodwill, and it only arms them with extra credibility for when they inevitably turn around to smear you as a racist.

How The GOP Can Win Black Votes: Actually Talk to Black People

 

How should Republicans go about winning over black voters? Most of the articles I’ve seen with similar titles tend to offer a high overarching view of how Republicans should go about winning over more black voters than an actual plan on how to go about it.

What would an actual plan for this look like? How do you put into action? Where do you need to go? Who do you need to see and talk to? What arguments should you push? What pitfalls should you look out for?

Juneteenth: Emancipation Day

 

On June 19, 1865, Union Army Major General Gordon Granger read General Orders, Number 3, to the people of Galveston, Texas. It was two and a half years after the Emancipation Proclamation, but at last the words of freedom came to African-American slaves in Texas. This day became known as Juneteenth, and eventually became first an unofficial holiday and then a holiday recognized by some states.

General Granger wrote, in part:

The people of Texas are informed that, in accordance with a proclamation from the Executive of the United States, all slaves are free. This involves an absolute equality of personal rights and rights of property between former masters and slaves, and the connection heretofore existing between them becomes that between employer and hired labor. The freedmen are advised to remain quietly at their present homes and work for wages. They are informed that they will not be allowed to collect at military posts and that they will not be supported in idleness either there or elsewhere.

Member Post

 

Alabama special election turnout points to a serious problem in the midterms and 2020 if President Trump does not lead his administration in focused action and messaging towards African Americans. He must peel off enough traditionally Democratic votes to help keep and expand his legislative majorities. Fortunately, President Donald Trump has had his heart and […]

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Can Trump Win Over Blacks?

 

I heard something this week that made my jaw drop: Someone who, for decades, has said that Republican outreach to blacks is a waste of time now tells me that President Donald Trump might be uniquely capable of persuading another five percent of blacks to vote Republican.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-HB6XVmHXk

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Two reminders based on demographics: First, the “Turn Texas Blue” movement is just a fundraising ploy, not a serious campaign. While state R’s might act stupidly enough to get punished at the polls, there’s no reason to suspect Texas will go blue in Presidential elections anytime soon. Dems tell their donors that the growing Hispanic […]

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If Republicans are seriously interested in getting some portion of votes from poorer black communities, then this is an opportunity.  A coalition of 34,000 churches is ending its relationship with the Presbyterian Church USA over its decision to recognize same-sex marriage. Preview Open

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