Tag: 2016 Election

There Is No Long Game

 

shutterstock_180292460During his excellent speech before Congress, Sen. Ted Cruz repeated a common complaint of Republican voters:

The American people were told, “If only we have a Republican majority in the House, things will be different.” Well, in 2010, the American people showed up in enormous numbers and we got a Republican majority in the House. And very little changed. […] Then the American people were told, “You know, the problem is the Senate. If only we get a Republican majority in the Senate and retire Harry Reid as majority leader, then things will be different.” Well, in 2014, the American people rose up in enormous numbers, voted to do exactly that. We have had a Republican majority in both houses of Congress now for about 6 months. What has that majority done?

While debating the possibility of de-funding Planned Parenthood the other day, a fellow Republican insisted we needed total control — a Republican president and a Republican majority in both houses of Congress — for that to happen. Appropriations are not a significant authority, apparently. Since Roe v Wade, he told me, Republicans have enjoyed such total control for only two years, under President George W. Bush. That’s two out of 40 years. In order to prevent about a million children from being slaughtered every year, I’m being asked to wait for an electoral scenario which has only happened once in my lifetime.

Should Jindal Be Kicking Himself Over 2012?

 

Gov._Bobby_Jindal_in_Oklahoma_2015Those who follow my posting obsessively (i.e., weirdos) know that Gov. Bobby Jindal has been my favorite presidential hopeful since 2009. Sadly, my ardor is waning. The complete lack of people who agree with me makes inclined to give up and move on.

That’s too bad. Bobby Jindal has a great story to tell and is a strong conservative with wide experience. His problem is timing: in 2016 he’s running against the strongest GOP field ever. What if he had pulled an Obama and run in 2012 when he was “too young”? Would it have worked?

I suspect he would have won the nomination. Remember how desperate we were to find an alternative to Romney? I voted for Santorum in the Michigan primary — a man I didn’t particularly like —  just to protest the Romney juggernaut. The polls gave each challenger a bump in turn; heck, we even gave Herman Cain a look. Herman Cain! Bobby Jindal would have swept those jokers aside, swept up the anti-Romney vote, and brought in extra voters on his own. It would have been a cakewalk.

Member Post

 

If Republicans are seriously interested in getting some portion of votes from poorer black communities, then this is an opportunity.  A coalition of 34,000 churches is ending its relationship with the Presbyterian Church USA over its decision to recognize same-sex marriage. Preview Open

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A Disappointing Dark Horse

 

john-kasichI live in Ohio, where Gov. John Kasich just won reelection by a landslide against a scandalized opponent. I know he’s been mentioned as a possible candidate, but I’ve always discounted him out of complete indifference.

He hasn’t been a bad governor by any stretch of the imagination, but he did make one huge offensive mistake by going around his own party’s super-majorities to take the expanded Medicaid bait-and-switch from Obamacare. Other than that, I don’t really care for his folksiness and he doesn’t strike me as charismatic, but that doesn’t necessarily mean the electorate will agree.

I recently went to lunch with my adviser. Being a professor, he’s right around where you’d expect him politically. He’s basically a moderate Democrat. He even knocked on doors to get Obama reelected. But being a physicist, especially the experimental kind, he does have a certain level-headed nuanced way of interpreting things and an appropriate deference to evidence, even when it goes against party orthodoxy.

Member Post

 

I’ve spoken with more than one conservative friend at work who’s said “I’m tired of always having to vote for the lesser of two evils in a Presidential election.”  Now, a lot of people feel that way—heck, even I feel that way—but those Republicans won their primary battles fair and square.  However, I’ve started thinking […]

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2016: The Poli-Sci View

 

The 2016 presidential election includes at least these three storylines:

1) Democratic Win. Based on four factors: (a) Republicans have carried the popular vote only once in the last six presidential contests (Bush 2004); (b) the GOP could be in for an unwieldy nominating process — and maybe a nominee who doesn’t excite the base; (c) Democrats start the contest with 332 electoral votes in hand — well, “only” 303 if you put razor-thin Florida back in the red column; (d) assuming that nominee is Hillary Clinton, it’s as simple as widening the same gap that saved Barack Obama’s hide in 2012 (a record 20-point divide — +12 for Obama among women; +8 for Romney among men).

Member Post

 

In 2008, the time couldn’t have been better for the “First Black President.” In 2016, the time couldn’t be better for the “First Woman President.” After all Hillary is running and it’s her turn to be president. So who gets to be the tie breaker between the tired, worn out and over played hand of […]

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Member Post

 

Is this the deepiest GOP bench evah, OR WHAT!?!1??!? In all previous presidential elections, I’ve known years in advance whom I would support in the GOP primaries. Even in 2012, although technically I did cast a vote for Santorum, that was merely a “message” and I (reluctantly) supported Romney. But this year, I find myself […]

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You Agree with Jonathan Gruber (And He Agrees With You)

 

Gruberhog DayAsk any conservative why their fellow Americans elected Barack Obama President of the United States not once but twice and you’ll usually get a variation on the theme that includes the phrase “low-information voters.”

In other words, your countrymen are stupid — exactly what MIT professor Jonathan Gruber has been saying very publicly since he helped engineer the beginning of the end to private healthcare in America. This doesn’t necessarily put us on his plane, because we decry the situation while he believes in celebrating it and taking advantage of it. Still, we too should be ashamed — ashamed because we’re not doing a helluva lot to counteract that ignorance, neither as individuals or collectively as members of the center-right.

Sure, we blog. In the almost five years that this site has been up and running there isn’t a topic I haven’t opined on or scrawled my electronic box of crayons over. Yet I do so mainly for the amusement of the choir. (Like the church I’ve accepted that “like” is the new “amen.” Retweets are a “hallelujah!”)

Member Post

 

 Based on the results of the 2014 election, I am puzzled by President Obama’s reaction to it.  The voters indicated their highest priority as they went to the polls was the economy and jobs.  Yet Obama’s policy reaction in the last week was executive action on immigration, support for net neutrality, and an “agreement” with […]

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