Tag: 2016 Election

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No, not for the Presidential candidates (though they should be asked it too). This is a question for every incumbent GOP Congressman and Senator, preferably asked with reference to their primary challenger: Read More View Post

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So far we’ve covered Hillary vs. Trump and Hillary vs. Rubio. Now I have a 3rd scenario for your consideration. Suppose after a long and bruising primary campaign the fondest wish of political nerds comes true and we end up with a brokered convention. Trump enters with a plurality of delegates, but Rubio emerges as […]

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After all the interesting comments on the Hillary vs. Trump post, I thought about this potential matchup. I know Rubio is either first or second in the Ricochet poll, but I’ve also seen comments from some that they could never vote for Rubio, either because he’s the “establishment” candidate, soft on immigration, Gang of Eight, or […]

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Today Ted Cruz’s campaign (his campaign, not a SuperPAC) released a new immigration ad on their Youtube channel whose production qualities and tenor testify to a man who is not only serious, but has the chops to compete with the ad men and women on the Left. This is always where the GOP falls short, […]

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It was way past closing time at Paddy’s, but Bill had a soft spot for old, clapped out journalists like me, and I worked it to the max. “Say, Bill,” I said, “give me a free one for the road and I’ll tell you about the time I interviewed President Paul Ryan.” Read More View […]

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I don’t know how to post a poll here on Ricochet, or if I’m even allowed to. But on the Trump Reconsidered post a number of Ricochetti argued to not supporting Trump, or even starting a third party, if the nomination went to Trump. That’s crazy, if you ask me. I can’t stand Donald Trump and in […]

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Promoted from the Ricochet Member Feed by Editors Created with Sketch. Predictions: Top Ten Stories of 2016

 

Inspired by the last moments of this week’s Ricochet Podcast, I offer you my predictions for the Top Ten News Stories of 2016.

  1. US stock market crash. People will talk about it being the 1930s again.
  2. Hillary Clinton drops out of the race “for health reasons.”
  3. Electorate in UK votes to leave the European Union.
  4. Terrorist attack by jihadists at the Mall of America or a similar gun-free zone.
  5. Collapse of the Euro and the beginning of the break-up of the Eurozone into two zones.
  6. Republicans sweep White House, House of Representatives, and Senate.
  7. Trump leaves race after SEC Primary.
  8. Economic collapse in China as its centralized and managed economy implodes.
  9. Obama’s Imperial (and anti-American) Presidency becomes more so.
  10. Obama Administration’s Syrian refugee policy fails and poisons the Democrats electoral prospects.

Obviously, I’m not going to bet that all will occur, but I believe certain trends are going to result in events of this sort in 2016. It’s likely to be an annus horribilis for America and the Western world, with a few exceptions.

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Is it possible that Trump would be more successful in the general election (if nominated) than a regular Republican? And just for this simple reason: he’s not afraid of the media. I was listening to Jay Cost on the Weekly Standard podcast the other day and he was explaining how things went normally with the […]

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Promoted from the Ricochet Member Feed by Editors Created with Sketch. And That’s the Rest of the Story

 

Fox

The story is always the same: the mainstream media hits conservative politicians much harder than liberals. Each cycle we see conservative candidates spend more of their time defending themselves against erroneous reporting, instead of sharing their message. This is nothing new — almost cliché, really — but it’s now more transparent than ever. As society becomes less dependent on CBS, NBC, and ABC to tell them what to think, more people have determined that the MSM may not have always been providing them with whole truths:

Promoted from the Ricochet Member Feed by Editors Created with Sketch. Jeb at His Campaigning Peak Just Won’t Do

 

This is Jeb at his peak from the 1998 gubernatorial debate–before first winning statewide office against an incumbent party. In a few minutes you can appreciate how he faced a weak candidate and didn’t show in 1998 the qualities that we need in an America thrust to the left by his brother’s successor. Despite the conservative temperament on display, it was a different era: before 9/11, Iraq, the financial crisis, Obamacare and the Tea Party. The wonky folksiness could play in another era.

Does anyone seriously think that this is what is needed against Hillary in 2016?

Contributor Post Created with Sketch. The Dead Campaign Sketch

 

Dead-Campaign-Sketch(A multi-millionaire donor enters Right to Rise headquarters.)

Donor: Hello, I wish to register a complaint … hello, miss?

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My Facebook feed has been filled recently with posts linking to articles about Ben Carson’s membership in the Seventh Day Adventist church. Most recently, people are accusing Trump of mocking Carson’s religious views, and last week a story came out about the Baptist Convention asking Carson to cancel a speaking gig he was scheduled for, […]

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In my day-to-day life I try my hardest to avoid talking about politics. Outside of my chosen social circle and my family, I don’t think it’s an appropriate subject. It can lead to so much conflict at work or school that I tend to keep myself as outwardly agnostic as possible. But there is one […]

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Contributor Post Created with Sketch. What Happened to Scott Walker?

 

shutterstock_297134234If you look back to the spring and early summer (a period before, it should be noted, he was even an officially declared candidate), there was a fair bit of talk about Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker as the “frontrunner” for the Republican presidential nomination. Fast forward to September, and we’ve got a new CNN poll that shows Walker as little more than a rounding error. He’s actually trailing Rick Santorum, who’s yet to make it to a prime-time debate.

Writing at Bloomberg Politics, John McCormick paints a grim picture of the current state of the Walker campaign:

Contributor Post Created with Sketch. She Doesn’t Even Break a Sweat

 

The deeper we get into this presidential campaign, the more impressed I am by Carly Fiorina’s outrageously high batting average. Whether she’s dominating in the undercard debate or giving Chris Matthews whatever the opposite of “a thrill up his leg” is, she has an innate ability to rise to the occasion more consistently than anyone else in this field. And now that she’s in Donald Trump’s crosshairs, she doesn’t seem to have any less moxie. This is pretty impressive:

Contributor Post Created with Sketch. Why the GOP Might Just Squeak Out the 2016 Election — Unless the Nominee is Terrible

 

Goldman Sachs is out with a note about its political forecasting model, and how the economy might affect the 2016 White House race. According to the Goldman model, the fundamental factors that matter most are real GDP, real consumption, and real personal income. With the 2012 election added to the sample, the change in non-farm payrolls also seems to have acquired more predictive power. And the stock market? Not so much.

Timing matters, too. Goldman: “It is only around the current stage of the presidential cycle (i.e., late in the year before the election) that economic variables tend to become useful in predicting the outcome, and not until Q2 of the election year that many indicators reach their maximum predictive value.” The bank also includes whether the incumbent party has held office for at least two terms, kind of a “fatigue” factor I suppose.

Promoted from the Ricochet Member Feed by Editors Created with Sketch. How to Insult Friends and Not Influence People

 

Obama PipelinesIf there is a perfect microcosm of President Obama’s foreign policy, it is the Keystone XL pipeline. The proposed oil pipeline would stretch from Alberta to the Gulf Coast, essentially duplicating pipelines already in existence or under construction. It would deliver much-needed crude oil in a cost-effective way to the great refineries of Texas and Louisiana and — at a stroke — reduce American dependence on hostile foreign sources while also giving an economic boost to America’s closest ally. All this makes Keystone XL the foreign policy equivalent of a no-brainer. The crude will come into America whether or not Keystone XL is approved, either in existing pipelines or via an overstretched rail system. There would simply be less crude and likely at a significantly higher cost. Even if one accepts the global warming theories peddled by the Obama Administration, the crude that would flow through Keystone XL would have only a marginal impact. In a world where China is building coal power plants at a record pace, a few hundred thousand barrels of Canadian heavy crude is dust in the balance.

So why has the Obama Administration blocked Keystone XL since almost the moment it entered office? While the issue is a minor one in domestic politics, it is of disproportionate importance to a small group of Democratic donors. These wealthy activists have accepted the tenets of the Greenista creed and regard industrial civilization with contempt. They do not view the extraction of resources – or the constructions of great pieces of infrastructure – as tools that allow ordinary people to live richer and better lives. They view industrial civilization as a threat to the goddess Gaia; the common man be damned.

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As we draw nearer to the next election cycle, Republicans seem to have one defining characteristic that sets them apart from those in the opposing party. This can be been seen among Republicans who self-identify as tried and true conservatives just as much those many would label as moderates. What is this defining characteristic? If […]

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Promoted from the Ricochet Member Feed by Editors Created with Sketch. Could Barack Obama Win a Third Term?

 

Barack ObamaApparently he thinks so. At an African Union summit in Addis Ababa earlier this week, President Obama declared:

“I actually think I’m a pretty good president,” he said. “I think if I ran, I could win. But I can’t. So there’s a lot that I’d like to do to keep America moving, but the law is the law.”