Tag: 2014 Election

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The vote in Iowa was a surprise. It went 7 more points in the GOP’s favor than expected. And while there was issues with the polling, this was a special outlier. As Harry Enten of FiveThirtyEight puts it: [Mainstream*] voters in Iowa without a college degree have shifted away from the Democratic Party. And if that shift persists, […]

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Glancing at the congressional district map, one area stands out: those sprawling, rural districts in Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa that stubbornly stay blue. Can anyone put these Nordic farmers on the couch and explain the psychology that keeps them voting Democratic? Preview Open

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Today was the first time since naturalization (in 1999) that I didn’t vote. And I grew up in the Soviet Union where this whole election thingy was a sham (Comrade Stalin famously quipped that it’s not important who votes; it’s only important who counts the votes). I would be mad as hell if I couldn’t vote […]

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As Harry Reid awoke one morning from uneasy dreams he found himself transformed on his couch into a Senate Minority Leader. He was lying on his hard, as it were armor-plated, back and when he lifted his head a little he could see his domelike brown belly divided into stiff arched segments on top of […]

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Are Republicans Going To Blow It Again?

 

More evidence that Republicans are flailing without a plan of action. Nate Silver* now has Democrats pulling close to even in the battle for the Senate:

Republicans’ odds have improved in several important races since the launch of our model. Democrats’ odds have improved in several others. But the two states with the largest shifts have been Colorado and North Carolina — in both cases, the movement has been in Democrats’ direction. That accounts for most of the difference in the forecast.

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Ricochet member Wendy Day is still polling way ahead of her opposition in the crowded Republican Primary race for a seat in Michigan’s House.  HERE is a wide-ranging interview with her.  Like Reagan, she is a former liberal who discovered conservatism, and knows how to communicate it well.  The August 5 primary will determine the winner […]

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Please Begin Slowly Counting Chickens

 

I am about to jinx the entire midterm election prospects for the Republican party, because I’m thinking that maybe we can — just a little — start counting the chickens.

Two data points. The first, from Gallup, showing Obama’s approval rating stuck in the low 40’s — and, juicier, his disapproval rating above 50%. That’s a very weak hand.