Jim Geraghty of National Review and Greg Corombos of Radio America cheer the narrow lead of Republican Troy Balderson over Democrat Danny O’Connor in the special election for Ohio’s 12th Congressional District, but they fear the low GOP-voter turnout in a strong red district bodes badly for Republicans in the 2018 midterm elections. They also suspect Democrats will use the insider trading indictment against New York Rep. Chris Collins to paint Republicans as a  party of corruption and greed. And they’re perplexed by the public support for the release of John Hinckley, Jr., who shot four people during the attempted assassination of President Ronald Reagan in 1981.

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