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Kristol, whom I heard lamenting that the GOP is no longer a “Center-right” party is engaging in confirmation basis.
Trump isn’t keeping people from under 45 voting 2 for 1, it’s the Republican brand, REGARDLESS of Trump. They think Bill Kristol is just as big a racist who wants to hurt poor people as much as Trump, etc.
The cultural perception: Democrats are cool, they’re for young people, they give people stuff, they aren’t religious, they want to fight unfairness, they’re the smart people who go to college. Republicans want to hurt people, are greedy, don’t want black people to get ahead, etc, they’re the dumb people who want guns and can crack at any moment.
That has been the perception for a long time too. Arguably was like that in the Clinton years – maybe even before that. When Obama was reelected in ’12 a liberal friend of mine (great guy- just awful politics) said, “Hopefully, this will teach Republicans a lesson: they need to become accepting of people not like them – black and brown and gay people.” That was when Romney was the nominee. Although the ‘autopsy’ Priebus conducted sort of agreed with him, the Republicans I know weren’t taking that as the lesson.
Yeah but view it as a gradual takeover. 8 years of Clinton playing dirty and having a 24 hour news cycle, 8 years of Bush, who stole the election from Democrats in their narrative (they always win re-election in their narrative too), 8 years of Obama. That’s 24 years, two generations, and a huge media expansion of the echo chamber. I think some of our pundit class are in a bubble here on just how much cultural power there is and the momentum is still on their side because in addition to the drumbeat, our sources are now “Discredited” as part of these narratives (Faux News etc).