Ricochet is the best place on the internet to discuss the issues of the day, either through commenting on posts or writing your own for our active and dynamic community in a fully moderated environment. In addition, the Ricochet Audio Network offers over 50 original podcasts with new episodes released every day.
The men of GLoP reunite to discuss the hit Amazon Prime Video The Boys. Is it a parody? Is it an homage? Or just a dark comedy? We investigate (warning: there may be a minor spoiler or two in this segment). Also, when he was “Anonymous,” the New York Times described Miles Taylor as a senior administration official. Spoiler alert: he was not senior and was likely not privy to any of the discussions he wrote about in the Times column or his book. We discuss. Also, is streaming really more popular than broadcast TV? Rob Long has some thoughts. Finally, who is the real Homer Simpson? GLoP debates. And yes, there is a bit of talk about the impending election (brace yourselves, commenters!), a mildly risqué joke that may or may not offend several billion people, and GLoP finally answers the question millions have pondered: what does former Secretary of Labor Robert Reich and mass killer Charles Manson have in common? We’re certainly not going to spoil that one.
Subscribe to GLoP Culture in Apple Podcasts (and leave a 5-star review, please!), or by RSS feed. For all our podcasts in one place, subscribe to the Ricochet Audio Network Superfeed in Apple Podcasts or by RSS feed.
DonorsTrust
DonorsTrust is the community foundation for the liberty movement. Any donor-advised fund will simplify your giving and offer great tax benefits. Only DonorsTrust shares your principles. Visit donorstrust.org/ricochet to get your free prospectus.
I think trunalimunumaprzure was one of the planets where the rebel alliance mobilized in “Return of the Jedi”.
Protecting their communities from what?
My own addendum:
If the (D) wins, watch the Durham Investigations get shut down or gutted, and watch as many of the same corrupt perpetrators of the Obama FBI/DOJ/IC corruption magically have their ruined careers resurrected.
It should be fun to watch the MSM announce, with a straight face, Andrew Weissmann takes over at DOJ, and Peter Strzok takes over as FBI Deputy Director of Counter Intelligence, can’t wait to find Brennan and Clapper have switched CIA and DNI seats, how about Alexander Vindman in some high level Secretary of State post, etc. …. should be delightful.
These (D) thugs are currently so brazen and emboldened by the equally corrupt and complicit MSM/BigTech what’s to stop them from continuing where they left off with the Obama era corruption(ie: illegal spying on US Citizens and opposition political party campaigns , leaking, unmasking, etc.) and telling anyone who objects to go pound sand.
The only thing we have to stop these corrupt thugs is the election this Tuesday, and in a sane world the GLoP guys would be able to recognize the dangers of putting Joe Biden in the White House.
Oh, I don’t think it’s nefarious. Not one bit. Seems to me it’s completely obvious why the Trafalgar cross tabs were taken down. I can only think of one reason a pollster would do that less than a week out.
As for Silver’s EC map, can you give me the source/where you found it? I can’t find it on 538.com or on Silver’s Twitter feed. Would like to look at it myself before I comment on it.
Since March, John has been doing a podcast 5 days a week, and Jonah has been doing 2-4 shows a week for even longer. Start counting.
Ha! I’m doing that right now.
Yes, it has magically disappeared. Strange that. Almost like the Trafalger cross tabs. I ran across it on Twitter on October 17th. So, not that long ago and took a screen grab of the map itself.
This appears to be a more current 538 map that shows Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Florida going for Biden.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/fivethirtyeight-2020-election-forecast
To note: Not terribly different than the map I posted except they’ve conceded that Texas will probably go to Trump…so they may have modified their original projection.
See my Comment #29.
No, it’s not like the Trafalgar cross tabs, Brian. Silver –love him or hate him– has an entire site devoted to his work and provides a very clear guide to his methodology. An EC map he ran on Twitter two weeks ago is not the sum total of his work. Not by a long shot.
On the other hand, The Trafalgar Group has a number of polls on their website but when you click through to read the methodology (on their most recent poll of Florida for example), you get very little supporting data on how they arrived at their conclusions (Trump +2.1). Contrast this with say the data the Fox News poll that came out this afternoon provides. The difference is …something.
I’ll happily grant you that Silver is partisan. Granted. But so is Trafalgar and only one of them is providing the backup to their work.
You want to pin all your hopes and dreams on a poll that provides scant data on their methodology and procedures? Okey dokey — it’s a free country. I’m not a statistician, but it seems pretty risky to me.
No one will probably see this, but here’s the now obligatory screen shot taken during the recording of this episode:
Does that lighting mean Rob been placed into the witness protection program?
Tim Pool has some interesting insights on what’s happening in Florida. Worth a listen. H/T @occupantcdn
They’re all a little giddy at the thought of a Biden presidency, but it was a fun episode. I admit I hit the skip button when the Game of Thrones discussions start.
Hey, @brianwatt — How much longer do we have to take this guy seriously?
Don’t worry…it will all be over soon, and then you can start consoling the GLoP boys as they cry into your shoulder…remotely, of course…via Zoom…somehow.
One, I’m not worried; and two, you dodged my question. Your pollster of choice — the guy who you say is seeing something that just about every other pollster is missing on a gigantic scale– thinks Kanye West is preventing the President of the United States from winning Minnesota.
Question…Is it safe to assume that Democrat Early Voters are 100% voting for Biden when roughly 20 t0 30% of Trump rally attendees are Democrats? Is it safer to assume that upwards of 97% of Republicans are voting for Trump since there has been no deviation in that number for many months?
If the DNC isn’t spending any more effort to GOTV in Florida, does that indicate that they are confident that Florida is in the bag for them or just the opposite – that they’ve given up and are moving resources to the Midwest? Is that why the Biden campaign is instead concentrating efforts in Minnesota to keep it blue? Shouldn’t Minnesota be a reliable Democrat stronghold? Or are they getting feedback from Minnesota campaign operatives that the state could go for Trump? Shouldn’t Michigan and Wisconsin be reliable wins for Biden – isn’t that what the RCP averages in those states has been indicating for the past few months? Or is the Biden campaign more panicked about what’s happening on the ground?
I guess we’ll have the answers to these questions on Wednesday-ish or later depending on court challenges.
Re: Pennsylvania – My understanding is that fraud is still a very real possibility since the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that ballot signatures don’t have to match with the registered voter’s signature on file. Given the timeframe, SCOTUS isn’t likely to overturn that decision…so Cahaly’s warning about voter fraud should not be dismissed as crazy talk.
Granted there may be those who don’t like his bow tie or the way he parts his hair.
I think one can interpret Cahaly’s remark that Kanye’s name on the ballot is more of an irritant than a help. I wouldn’t get too excited about it. No more ridiculous than some of the projections about double-digit Biden leads in several battleground states, like the recent ABC/WaPo poll that had Biden up in Wisconsin by 17 points.
All the “smart” people have been telling us all summer that the biggest threat to the nation is QAnon.
They also have these polls they’d like you to see.
These quislings hate Trump so much that this is the guy they prefer instead?
Do not get it …. never did.
https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/10/a-collusion-tale-the-bidens-and-china/
None of Silver’s comments are surprising, or all that insightful. He is hedging, which any statistician would do when making predictions. She could win or he could win: Hey look! I was right!
By the way, applying my “Binary Choice Theory (TM)” on presidential elections (a theory attacked by many), whereupon I have posited that one of the 2 major party candidates will win in each election, I have never been wrong in my lifetime. Why am I not being featured as a talking head on all the political talk shows?!?
I’ve always figured the chances of something happening are either 0, or 100%, depending on whether or not it happens.
Hey look, I’m a genius too!
One more thing… I know that GLoP in not supposed to be about actual serious topics, but they wandered into a Section 230 issue, with predictable results. Mostly virtue signaling about how you have to be nuts to think that modifying Section 230 protections is a good idea, and how NOTHING CAN BE DONE about these companies. Though Rob did move in a more rational direction at the end. Lost in their reflexive dismissal of anything they disagree with as crazy, is the case made by Andrew C. McCarthy (10/20/2020) of National Review (and me!) , that modest revisions are warranted, but mostly we just need to properly apply the Section 230 provisions to these companies, as originally intended. Do you want to continue to enjoy the benefit of immunity from lawsuits? Fine, act like a platform not a publisher, and only regulate things like obscenity, which everyone knows does not include political opinions that you disagree with. Want to continue to act like a partisan publisher? That’s perfectly fine also, but learn to live by the rules that other publishers must, and be subject to lawsuits when you get out of line. It’s not that complicated.
Some people’s egos don’t permit them to admit they’re wrong. Instead they just double down, becoming more and more detached from reality.
For Rob Long, attacking Trump keeps alive, just barely, his hopes of a Hollywood comeback.
Both that Hollywood might come back, and that by showing he opposed Trump, they’ll let him back in.
Real Clear Politics has AZ for Trump now, just barely.
So, if we’re going to slavishly devote ourselves to what polling tells us – despite very recent history telling us how spectacularly wrong it can be – at least include the full boat of info before, again, summarily telling us that it’s over.
Just like they did before. I get it, I still think it’s a Biden win, but that was a weird discussion/projection as to how people see the election as a movie. What’s more likely: A couple of guys who follow the politics daily, so closely, that they develop their own affinity for it, or 300 million people fit into a simple box coughed up by the same two or three guys and the polls they watch all day?
Hm. I wonder.
It’s worth it! Aside from some of the polling discussion, which I still think is interesting (ultimately, pointless and useless, as polls don’t change votes), I laughed a lot in this episode.
Good stuff.
As mentioned by the pundits in the pod, those “game-changers”, even late in the game where change is occurring, don’t swing voters in enormous waves. It doesn’t change votes for people who have already made up their mind. It changes some votes at the margin, and that may have a bigger impact in some states vs. others.
We’re always talking about the middle. How many, in the middle, are actually paying enough attention to politics where they would switch their vote, if they even read the story (like the Comey example)?
How many? 10%? 50%? Half the middle? Depending on how big the middle is, undecideds maybe, that’s really more likely than not to be a small number.
But hey – be honest, per Yeti. Yeti is asking us to be honest in our feelings about unprovable theoreticals that one can only speculate upon, but if one has read Locke, one’s conclusions must somehow now be more valid.
Maybe I’ll just read a book this afternoon and this will somehow bolster the logic of my arguments, arguments and conclusions which will become more likely to occur because of said book-reading.
Per some reasoning done earlier, this should swing votes Biden’s way. It will convince voters in the middle that when Antifa sets fires to their business, it’s in defense of the community.