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Henry’s guest for the final pre-election episode of the season has covered political campaigns for quite some time. But he’s never seen anything like the election we’re looking at today. Brit Hume and Henry discuss how the game has changed since they started: covering everything from the new media landscape, marked by a turn from the standard of neutrality to polling in the age of models, along with the fiercely divided electorate and these once-unimaginable candidates.
Plus, Henry rants his way through all the swing states to make as plain as possible the complicated rules and regulations, procedures and peculiarities that will affect the Election Day result rollout. And he does a lightning-fast ad roundup of the ultra-close House races in Colorado 8, Pennsylvania 10, Arizona 1, and Michigan 10 to consider whether they might push the needle just over the edge.
Happy Election Day, everyone!
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Sadly, watching the events of the last week, it appears to me that the GOP peaked early, and Kamala is now trending. There has been way too much overconfidence, especially when you have idiots like the governor candidate in North Carolina dragging the ticket, and a poor ground game. Too many unfocused victory laps going on- reminds me of GWB campaigning in California just before voting day in 2000, and all the “red wave” predictions in 2022. Byron York is also sounding the alarm bell, and Jim Geraghty advises that New Mexico, where Trump wasted today, is a lost cause.
I hope I am wrong, but I think Harris will win 50%-49%, the GOP will lose the House, and if they are lucky, max out at 51 senators. That is only if we don’t lose more Senate seats (e.g., Cruz, Fischer, etc.) and Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski don’t switch parties.
Maybe we will finally get smart in 2028.