“Predictions are hard,” goes the proverb, “especially about the future.” But as the 2020 election season ramps up and Democrats compete for the opportunity to take the White House, it seems as though everyone will try anyway. Some predictions are based on a close look at demographic and other long-term political trends, while others depend upon the very short term – that whatever is most important to Americans in November 2020 will decide the coloration of the electoral map.

AEI Senior Fellow and public opinion guru Karlyn Bowman joins the podcast to discuss Sean Trende’s analysis of the political landscape, whether demography is destiny, and how we might discern what surprising political trends may be on the horizon.

This lecture was originally delivered in January 2012.

Listen to the full lecture here.

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