The First GOP Debate: One Thought

 

The last time around — in 2011 and 2012 — I followed developments minutely, profiling most of the candidates and hoping against hope that someone would emerge on the Republican side who was more impressive than the godfather of Obamacare. But it did not happen. In the world of the blind, the one-eyed man is king, and Mitt Romney was the one-eyed man. The Republican bench was bare. We had has-beens (Gingrich, Santorum) and never-could-have-beens … and so, late in the game, I reluctantly, then a bit too enthusiastically, embraced Romney.

This time, the Republican Party has such a plethora of talent that there are three serious possibilities who did not make the cut for the late-evening debate. Rick Perry, Bobby Jindal, and Carly Fiorina are all superior to the best of the candidates that we had last time.

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  1. Mike Rapkoch Member
    Mike Rapkoch
    @MikeRapkoch

    Agreed Paul. I do hope Jindal or Fiorina jump in the polls.

    • #1
  2. Concretevol Thatcher
    Concretevol
    @Concretevol

    I agree also.  I would guess Fiorina and Perry make the jump, just don’t see Jindal getting traction.

    • #2
  3. Frozen Chosen Inactive
    Frozen Chosen
    @FrozenChosen

    Uh, Rick Perry was a candidate last time

    • #3
  4. Chuck Enfield Inactive
    Chuck Enfield
    @ChuckEnfield

    Frozen Chosen:Uh, Rick Perry was a candidate last time

    Can you prove that?

    • #4
  5. Leigh Inactive
    Leigh
    @Leigh

    I still think they should have done some rotation between breaks rather than having two separate debates.

    • #5
  6. Umbra Fractus Inactive
    Umbra Fractus
    @UmbraFractus

    They should handle it like English soccer: Trump and Kasich get relegated, and the top two from the afternoon debate (I didn’t watch it, but it sounds like Fiorina and either Perry or Jindal) get promoted.

    • #6
  7. Percival Thatcher
    Percival
    @Percival

    They definitely need to come up with a better system of determining which candidates get into the debates. The margin of error on the polls in question were as high as 5-6%.

    • #7
  8. The Cloaked Gaijin Member
    The Cloaked Gaijin
    @TheCloakedGaijin

    Rick Perry with glasses is better than Rick Perry on back pain medication?

    However, is the Rick Perry on back pain medication better than the Rick Perry that endorsed Al Gore for president?

    Wasn’t this the plot of the movie Multiplicity?  Too many copies and the last one comes out messed up.  Or does the formula reverse for Rick Perrys?

    I’ll take Air Force pilot Rick Perry and glasses Rick Perry for the win.  Then I’d chuck the others.

    A pilot that insists upon wearing glasses.  Yeah, this is going to work out well.

    How about a combination of Katy Perry with Luke Perry?  That would be really handy when you need a brunette to play a Vulcan or Romulan with long sideburns.

    • #8
  9. raycon and lindacon Inactive
    raycon and lindacon
    @rayconandlindacon

    Once the Kabuki is over, JEB will be the anointed one for the GOP establishment, and we will have a replay of 2012.  Then we will content ourselves with four more years of ineffective opposition, if not outright collaboration with the left.  Once again a Republican congress will either make empty promises if they win or whine about the conservatives if they lose.

    After over 50 years of watching this happen, broken only by Reagan, who the GOP establishment was unable to defeat, those of us old enough realize that there is no organized opposition party to fight against the left cannot play.  If the GOP doesn’t get killed off, there will be no going back.

    And don’t think that the efforts of Obama will be stopped.  He represents the future of America if the left remains unopposed.

    • #9
  10. Titus Techera Contributor
    Titus Techera
    @TitusTechera

    I think your story of pure maidens betrayed by evil rakes forgot that before Reagan there was Goldwater…

    • #10
  11. raycon and lindacon Inactive
    raycon and lindacon
    @rayconandlindacon

    And Goldwater was vigorously opposed by the combined efforts of both the GOP establishment and the left.

    He did not win the presidency.

    • #11
  12. Titus Techera Contributor
    Titus Techera
    @TitusTechera

    raycon and lindacon:And Goldwater was vigorously opposed by the combined efforts of both the GOP establishment and the left.

    He did not win the presidency.

    Yeah, but don’t tell me it’s kabuki if conservatives cannot get their act together. Goldwater did win the nomination, when the establishment was rather more serious than it is now.

    Conservatism sometimes sounds like a kind of secret religion: Nobody is a conservative in public life. In politics you need politicians who need the support of the electorate. The establishment & the left have not somehow secretly made it impossible for conservatives to come up with good politicians.

    Are there not enough red states? What’s the problem? Why does the party base or some moiety thereof have to keep yelling for Mr. Carson or Mr. Cain or Mrs. Fiorina or whoever else was this kind of populist fantasy? It seems like conservatives either are unable to judge politicians or to support them or to really think about politics as requiring politicians. & this is not to say conservatives are the only ones who do kooky things–there are all those who support strange little politicians–Mr. Pataki, Mr. Huntsman, & however many others. & that’s leaving Mr. Trump out of it–I’m not ready to blame conservatism for that calamity.

    • #12
  13. Paul A. Rahe Member
    Paul A. Rahe
    @PaulARahe

    Frozen Chosen:Uh, Rick Perry was a candidate last time

    Only in a manner of speaking. He was coming off a major operation and feeling the after-effects of being put under. He is much, much better on his feet now.

    • #13
  14. Paul A. Rahe Member
    Paul A. Rahe
    @PaulARahe

    raycon and lindacon:Once the Kabuki is over, JEB will be the anointed one for the GOP establishment, and we will have a replay of 2012. Then we will content ourselves with four more years of ineffective opposition, if not outright collaboration with the left. Once again a Republican congress will either make empty promises if they win or whine about the conservatives if they lose.

    After over 50 years of watching this happen, broken only by Reagan, who the GOP establishment was unable to defeat, those of us old enough realize that there is no organized opposition party to fight against the left cannot play. If the GOP doesn’t get killed off, there will be no going back.

    And don’t think that the efforts of Obama will be stopped. He represents the future of America if the left remains unopposed.

    I hope that you are wrong, but …

    • #14
  15. Titus Techera Contributor
    Titus Techera
    @TitusTechera

    Paul A. Rahe:

    Frozen Chosen:Uh, Rick Perry was a candidate last time

    Only in a manner of speaking. He was coming off a major operation and feeling the after-effects of being put under. He is much, much better on his feet now.

    He cannot attract enough attention to be in the debates? Well, the real debates. Well, they’re not really debates. Let’s call it the pageant. & America now has a pageant where the right-of-center folks who said all-image-no-practice Sen. Obama was no good cannot be bothered to care about life-of-service-&-accomplishment Mr. Perry because they’ve got the hots for Mr. Trump, the last of the buffalo bullies.

    • #15
  16. Frozen Chosen Inactive
    Frozen Chosen
    @FrozenChosen

    Paul A. Rahe:

    Frozen Chosen:Uh, Rick Perry was a candidate last time

    Only in a manner of speaking. He was coming off a major operation and feeling the after-effects of being put under. He is much, much better on his feet now.

    I’ve seen Perry in a few interviews recently and while he is marginally better than he was in 2012 he is still far behind Rubio, Fiorina, Cruz and a few others when it comes to thinking on his feet.  He can read a speech but anyone can do that.

    I just don’t think Perry is that bright.  He’s not stupid by any means – just kind of average.  Reminds me of George Bush.

    • #16
  17. Frozen Chosen Inactive
    Frozen Chosen
    @FrozenChosen

    raycon and lindacon:Once the Kabuki is over, JEB will be the anointed one for the GOP establishment, and we will have a replay of 2012. Then we will content ourselves with four more years of ineffective opposition, if not outright collaboration with the left. Once again a Republican congress will either make empty promises if they win or whine about the conservatives if they lose.

    After over 50 years of watching this happen, broken only by Reagan, who the GOP establishment was unable to defeat, those of us old enough realize that there is no organized opposition party to fight against the left cannot play. If the GOP doesn’t get killed off, there will be no going back.

    And don’t think that the efforts of Obama will be stopped. He represents the future of America if the left remains unopposed.

    I agree that Jeb would lose but I’m not convinced any of the other candidates would win either.  We need to be unconventional in 2016.  The old ways just don’t work with this electorate.  I believe that Rubio and Fiorina offer our best hope to change the paradigm.

    • #17
  18. Umbra Fractus Inactive
    Umbra Fractus
    @UmbraFractus

    Frozen Chosen: I just don’t think Perry is that bright. He’s not stupid by any means – just kind of average. Reminds me of George Bush.

    Perry’s not used to debating; I don’t think he’s ever had any real competition. Even when he first took office he ascended from the Lt. Governorship when Bush became President, so there was no real primary process. And, of course, the idea that Texas Democrats might concern him is just laughable.

    • #18
  19. Titus Techera Contributor
    Titus Techera
    @TitusTechera

    Umbra Fractus:

    Frozen Chosen: I just don’t think Perry is that bright. He’s not stupid by any means – just kind of average. Reminds me of George Bush.

    Perry’s not used to debating; I don’t think he’s ever had any real competition. Even when he first took office he ascended from the Lt. Governorship when Bush became President, so there was no real primary process. And, of course, the idea that Texas Democrats might concern him is just laughable.

    It was not Dems that bothered him in Texas: It was the Bush family; they were political enemies. I believe he did fear one great primary challenge–Mrs. Kay Bailey Hutchinson?–but it didn’t happen in 2002, when I guess it would have been a more serious challenge–it happened in 2010… Still, it was not nothing-

    • #19
  20. Umbra Fractus Inactive
    Umbra Fractus
    @UmbraFractus

    Titus Techera: It was not Dems that bothered him in Texas: It was the Bush family; they were political enemies. I believe he did fear one great primary challenge–Mrs. Kay Bailey Hutchinson?–but it didn’t happen in 2002, when I guess it would have been a more serious challenge–it happened in 2010… Still, it was not nothing-

    KBH was a) pro-choice (though admittedly closer to Tom Meyer than the typical Democrat on the issue) and b) a former senator running at a time when anti-Washington sentiment was at its peak. All Perry really had to do was make the race into Washington vs. Austin* and he had it in the proverbial bag.

    *We make fun of Austin but it’s still preferable to Washington.

    • #20
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