Ricochet Poll — October 18

 

In response to member requests, we’ll leave this one up longer before revealing final results.

<div id=”surveyMonkeyInfo”><div><script src=”https://www.surveymonkey.com/jsEmbed.aspx?sm=j1qLJq8VGmFgpXCuw96G9Q_3d_3d”> </script></div>Create your <a href=”https://www.surveymonkey.com/”>free online surveys</a> with SurveyMonkey, the world’s leading questionnaire tool.</div>

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Members have made 18 comments.

  1. Profile photo of Edward Smith Inactive

    I’ll take what I can get.

    • #1
    • October 18, 2012 at 9:48 am
  2. Profile photo of Mel Foil Inactive

    My only worry is that the Democrats will do much better at getting out their voters–all 120% of them.

    temp8.jpg

    • #3
    • October 18, 2012 at 10:07 am
  3. Profile photo of Last Outpost on the Right Thatcher

    What is the definition of “substantial”? Electoral? Popular?

    • #4
    • October 18, 2012 at 10:12 am
  4. Profile photo of Stan Hjerleid Thatcher

    Starting to see momentum which was missing. Debates real game changer. Think Benghazi is mistake O can’t recover from. Mitt has buried him on economy and jobless crap coming to light. Substantial win for Mitt.

    • #5
    • October 18, 2012 at 10:12 am
  5. Profile photo of Fred Cole Member

    Can we add an Unsure option?

    • #6
    • October 18, 2012 at 10:23 am
  6. Profile photo of J. Martin Hanks Member

    I said what I would bet on, but I didn’t say how much!

    • #7
    • October 18, 2012 at 10:34 am
  7. Profile photo of Pat in Obamaland Inactive

    I guess I’m in what they call the “Rob Long 9%”.

    • #8
    • October 18, 2012 at 11:34 am
  8. Profile photo of Salamandyr Inactive

    I think Romney is going to take the popular vote by a substantial, but smaller than Obama in 2008 margin, (something like around 52%). I think his electoral college victory will be much more substantial, breaking 300 EC votes.

    • #9
    • October 18, 2012 at 11:34 am
  9. Profile photo of Richard Young Member

    I kind of wish I were a betting man because this site (not Intrade), if I understand how it works, takes bets on the election and has Obama favored quite a bit.

    • #10
    • October 19, 2012 at 3:23 am
  10. Profile photo of Charles Mark Member

    As I recall it, Intrade didn’t do too well predicting what nine people would decide on Obamacare. 

    • #11
    • October 19, 2012 at 4:02 am
  11. Profile photo of The Mugwump Inactive

    Susquehanna poll just released data showing Romney up 4 in Pennsylvania! It’s going to be a tsunami, folks.

    • #12
    • October 19, 2012 at 4:21 am
  12. Profile photo of ConservativeWanderer Inactive
    ~Paules: Susquehanna poll just released data showing Romney up 4 in Pennsylvania! It’s going to be a tsunami, folks. · 3 minutes ago

    Woohoo!

    Link me ASAP, bro. I wanna blog that one.

    • #13
    • October 19, 2012 at 4:28 am
  13. Profile photo of dittoheadadt Member

    Not to go all Paul Rahe on y’all but late last year I called a radio talk show in Boston (Jay Severin, FYI) to tell him, essentially, that whoever the GOP nominee turns out to be will get at least 325 EC votes. I figured, as bad as Obambi was, there was NO one who voted for McCain who’ll vote for Obambi this year but millions who voted for Obambi who won’t vote for him this year. Granted, bad predictions are everywhere, and mine may turn out to be one as well. But back then common sense told me so, and today it’s looking more and more likely every day.

    • #14
    • October 19, 2012 at 4:43 am
  14. Profile photo of BrentB67 Inactive

    Some wishful thinking in this poll.

    • #15
    • October 19, 2012 at 5:53 am
  15. Profile photo of Jimmy Carter Member

    On those betting sites, Soros and his minions are manipulating those markets. Don’t let them affect You.

    I believe it was Trace Urdan Who posted or commented ’round Here about that.

    • #16
    • October 19, 2012 at 6:54 am
  16. Profile photo of T-Fiks Member

    What confuses me is Intrade. Every time I think Romney is picking up momentum I hopefully click over to the Intrade site–where I’m instantly drenched in cold water.

    This morning O’s winning odds still hovered above 60%. All those people voting with their own money suggests that my confidence may just be a product of living in a conservative bubble.

    Can anyone explain the Intrade paradox?

    • #17
    • October 19, 2012 at 12:44 pm
  17. Profile photo of ConservativeWanderer Inactive
    Tim Fikse: What confuses me is Intrade. Every time I think Romney is picking up momentum I hopefully click over to the Intrade site–where I’m instantly drenched in cold water.

    This morning O’s winning odds still hovered above 60%. All those people voting with their own money suggests that my confidence may just be a product of living in a conservative bubble.

    Can anyone explain the Intrade paradox? · 3 minutes ago

    Simple.

    Intrade is a completely self-selected “poll,” therefore it is inherently unreliable, because there is absolutely no attempt to achieve a sample that is representative of the nation as a whole.

    I put Intrade in the same category as fortune cookie fortunes.

    • #18
    • October 19, 2012 at 12:49 pm