Permalink to Paul Ryan May Soon Enter the Race

Paul Ryan May Soon Enter the Race

 

Things may be about to change dramatically. This morning, on The Weekly Standard  website, Stephen Hayes reports that Paul Ryan is in the final stages of deciding whether to run for the Republican presidential nomination. I am told by someone very much in the know that this is true.

It is even conceivable that the argument I advanced back at the end of May has had an impact. According to Hayes, another Republican from Wisconsin told him, “With Paul, it’s more about obligation than opportunity. He is determined to have the 2012 election be about the big things. If that means he has to run, he’s open to it.”

This is borne out by an interview Ryan gave on Friday in an appearance on the Charlie Sykes show in Milwaukee. Here is what Ryan initially said:

Look, the way I see 2012 – we owe it to the country to let them choose the path they want our country to take. And I just have yet to see a strong and principled articulation of the kind of limited government, opportunity society path that we would provide as an alternative to the Obama cradle to grave welfare state.

Then Sykes pressed him, starting to ask, “Do you think that it is absolutely essential that there be a Republican candidate who is able to articulate…?” And Ryan cut him off:

I do. Because this is how we get our country back. We do it through a referendum letting the country pick the path not by having a committee of 12 people pick the path or not by having just the inertia of just letting the status quo just stumble through by winning a campaign based on dividing people.

And when Sykes asked him whether he understands why some people think that person should be he, Ryan responded:

Well, I keep hearing that. I’m hoping that people will step up and I’m hoping that somebody – I can help them fashion this. You know my story and you know my answer – and I haven’t changed it. We’ve got a long way to go. There’s 15 months left.

Things may soon get interesting, my friends, very interesting. Just remember. It ain’t over ’til the fat lady sings.

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Members have made 97 comments.

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  1. Profile photo of Whiskey Sam Inactive

    Professor Rahe, if your piece has any influence in getting Ryan to run, we all owe you a debt of gratitude.

    • #1
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:17 am
  2. Profile photo of George Savage Admin

    Oh happy day!  I have that Chris Matthews thing going on with my leg right now.

    • #2
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:17 am
  3. Profile photo of Mel Foil Inactive

    I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed?

    • #3
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:18 am
  4. Profile photo of The New Clear Option Inactive

    Run, Ryan, RUN! 

    • #4
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:19 am
  5. Profile photo of Pseudodionysius Member

    I’m having kittens!

    • #5
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:20 am
  6. Profile photo of katievs Member

    If he’s in, my tentative support for Romney collapses.

    I’m for Ryan with all my heart and mind.  Especially if he picks Rubio for VP.

    • #6
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:24 am
  7. Profile photo of Paul A. Rahe Contributor
    Paul A. Rahe Post author
    katievs: If he’s in, my tentative support for Romney collapses.

    I’m for Ryan with all my heart and mind.  Especially if he picks Rubio for VP. · Aug 16 at 8:24am

    I am with you on both counts.

    • #7
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:26 am
  8. Profile photo of David Williamson Member

    Good news, indeed 🙂

    First the Ricochet podcast, then the Ryan/Rubio podcast, then the presidential ticket… we can hope.

    • #8
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:29 am
  9. Profile photo of katievs Member
    etoiledunord: I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed? · Aug 16 at 8:18am

    Wasn’t he referring to a potential Senate run?  

    Hard to imagine anyone thinking he could be more effective as budget chairman than as President.

    I thought his earlier decision not to run had to do with the fact that he is rather young and his children are very young.  If that’s so, then the prospect of Bachmann, Perry or Romney being the nominee might have persuaded him that the country can’t afford for him to wait.

    • #9
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:30 am
  10. Profile photo of ctruppi Inactive

    A Rylan/Rubio ticket would be a dream-come-true.  The Biden/Rubio debate itself would be worth it. 

    • #10
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:31 am
  11. Profile photo of Whiskey Sam Inactive
    katievs

     If that’s so, then the prospect of Bachmann, Perry or Romney being the nominee might have persuaded him that the country can’t afford for him to wait. · Aug 16 at 8:30am

    Looks like we weren’t the only ones less than ecstatic about the current field.  Ryan/Rubio would be electric!

    • #11
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:34 am
  12. Profile photo of Grendel Member

    Thoughts flash and swirl through head like lightning-lit rain squalls in gusty Summer storm:

    • Bachmann, Romney, Gingrich, Cain all fold their tents and the Republican ticket of Ryan and Perry starts a 15-month persuade-America campaign.
    • Yawn.
    • Rick Perry isn’t a second-banana type guy, bless his heart.
    • But the Republican primary debates would be boring, with everyone agreeing with Ryan.
    • Like hell they would all agree.
    • Wait.  We’re right-wing crazies.  We believe in the purifying, strengthening power of competition.
    • Won’t it be fun to see the MSM catch Anybody-but-Ryan Fever and start giving Mitt and Newt and even Michele “strange new respect” coverage!
    • Oh but I want to see grown-up Ryan debate the never-matured, never-tested narcissist, BHO.  Talk about OIIOHH! 

    And Prof. Rahe, you can’t hide from us that the real reason you want PR to run is that it is the best way to prove out your diagnosis/prediction that Barack Obama is God’s gift to American conservatism.

    • #12
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:40 am
  13. Profile photo of WI Con Member

     Fantastic! I can more than live with Perry as well but I think Paul Ryan can articulate things best without looking like an oppourtunist or a nut.

    • #13
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:43 am
  14. Profile photo of EJHill Member

    paulryan2012.org, ryan2012.org and ryan2012.com have all been parked domains. Preventative medicine or advanced planning?

    (Cross-posted in Mollie’s thread)

    • #14
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:45 am
  15. Profile photo of katievs Member

    I love the kind of man who puts the good of his wife and children above his own political ambition.  

    Paul Ryan is clearly that kind of man.  

    But it could very well be that he now sees and grants that the situation we are facing is so grave that the future good of his children (and all our children) depends on there being a Republican nominee who can unite the two wings of the base, win over independents, decisively defeat Obama, then lead with courage, conviction and hard-won competence, as we try to beat back the leviathan of out-of-control government.

    • #15
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:45 am
  16. Profile photo of Brian Watt Thatcher

    I can’t be bothered with this news at the moment…still trying to see how Ben Bernanke can be tried for treason.

    • #16
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:46 am
  17. Profile photo of Right Wing Inactive
    etoiledunord: I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed? · Aug 16 at 8:18am

    Etoiledunord, assuming Ryan was being sincere when he said that, he may have recently realized–given the relative failure of the debt ceiling talks–that he overestimated his prospects of remaining effective in Congress.  The Senate won’t cooperate with any budget, and his fellow House members gets sucked into “pledges” like voting against debt ceiling increases and pushing unlikely Balanced Budget Amendments.  If he has changed his tune, I agree with the new thought: he will not make a measurable difference as the U.S. Rep. for Wisconsin’s 1st District.

    • #17
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:47 am
  18. Profile photo of Paul A. Rahe Contributor
    Paul A. Rahe Post author
    Grendel: Thoughts flash and swirl through head like lightning-lit rain squalls in gusty Summer storm:
    • Bachmann, Romney, Gingrich, Cain all fold their tents and the Republican ticket of Ryan and Perry starts a 15-month persuade-America campaign.
    • Yawn.
    • Rick Perry isn’t a second-banana type guy, bless his heart.
    • But the Republican primary debates would be boring, with everyone agreeing with Ryan.
    • Like hell they would all agree.
    • Wait.  We’re right-wing crazies.  We believe in the purifying, strengthening power of competition.
    • Won’t it be fun to see the MSM catch Anybody-but-Ryan Fever and start giving Mitt and Newt and even Michele “strange new respect” coverage!
    • Oh but I want to see grown-up Ryan debate the never-matured, never-tested narcissist, BHO.  Talk about OIIOHH! 
    And Prof. Rahe, you can’t hide from us that the real reason you want PR to run is that it is the best way to prove out your diagnosis/prediction that Barack Obama is God’s gift to American conservatism. · Aug 16 at 8:40am

    I confess.

    • #18
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:48 am
  19. Profile photo of katievs Member
    lindsavid
    etoiledunord: I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed? · Aug 16 at 8:18am
    Etoiledunord, assuming Ryan was being sincere when he said that, he may have recently realized–given the relative failure of the debt ceiling talks–that he overestimated his prospects of remaining effective in Congress.  The Senate won’t cooperate with any budget, and his fellow House members gets sucked into “pledges” like voting against debt ceiling increases and pushing unlikely Balanced Budget Amendments.  If he has changed his tune, I agree with the new thought: he will not make a measurable difference as the U.S. Rep. for Wisconsin’s 1st District. · Aug 16 at 8:47am

    Excellent point.

    • #19
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:49 am
  20. Profile photo of Mel Foil Inactive
    katievs
    etoiledunord: I believe I heard Ryan say that he could be more effective (shepherding his budget to adoption) where he is. So, what changed? · Aug 16 at 8:18am
    Wasn’t he referring to a potential Senate run?  

    Hard to imagine anyone thinking he could be more effective as budget chairman than as President……

    · Aug 16 at 8:30am

    I was thinking, the comment also had to do with time and energy. It takes a lot of both to win the presidency in the first place. When you run for President, the budget is just one of several issues on your plate. You have to study everything and study it hard…energy, defense, trade, health, homeland security, etc. And then you have to travel day and night. Ryan will, by necessity, have to put budget detail work on the back burner. Is this the right time to do that? And maybe more important, will he be able to raise enough money? Can doctors, even great doctors, carrying a big bottle of bitter medicine raise a lot of money? Don’t know.

    • #20
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:53 am
  21. Profile photo of katievs Member
    etoiledunord

    Ryan will, by necessity, have to put budget detail work on the back burner. Is this the right time to do that? And maybe more important, will he be able to raise enough money? Can doctors, even great doctors, carrying a big bottle of bitter medicine raise a lot of money? Don’t know. · Aug 16 at 8:53am

    If he runs, the money will come.  And he’ll win.

    I think lindsavid is right.  The debt ceiling debacle has convinced him that no matter how good the budget chairman is, we can’t shrink government without capable and determined leadership from the President.

    • #21
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:57 am
  22. Profile photo of Illiniguy Member
    George Savage: Oh happy day!  I have that Chris Matthews thing going on with my leg right now. · Aug 16 at 8:17am

    And if Ryan gets into the race, Matthews will have something quite different running down his leg

    • #22
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:57 am
  23. Profile photo of J.Voss Inactive

    Oh Happy Day!  I have had an incredibly difficult time marshaling much enthusiasm for the present GOP field.  Just the thought of Paul Ryan tossing his hat in the ring brings me a tremendous feeling of relief.  Please, Run Ryan, Run!

    • #23
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:59 am
  24. Profile photo of EJHill Member
    lindsavid …he will not make a measurable difference as the U.S. Rep. for Wisconsin’s 1st District. 

    Here’s the point that I think others are making to him: 2012 is the year. If Obama makes his case against Republicans in toto next year then the GOP is also likely to lose the House, too. That leaves his cause completely dead. Either he believes what he’s been saying or he doesn’t. It’s a put-up-or-shut-up moment.

    • #24
    • August 16, 2011 at 8:59 am
  25. Profile photo of Illiniguy Member

    Another thing to consider is that if Ryan did run and get the nomination, it’d be a big boost for those down-ticket races

    • #25
    • August 16, 2011 at 9:00 am
  26. Profile photo of The King Prawn Member

    Let me be the first to say that Paul Ryan has no executive experience and that even his budget continues to grow the debt for a considerable amount of time. According to Mark Steyn, we only have until half way through the next administration to get our act together before collapse. The Ryan budget is a turning toward the right direction but perhaps not an enormous leap in the right direction.

    Every party needs a designated driver, and I did my imbibing at the Perry announcement.

    • #26
    • August 16, 2011 at 9:02 am
  27. Profile photo of raycon and lindacon Member

    Well, at last the GOP field is shaping up to a small group of high quality contenders.  Hopefully the group is large enough to dilute the left’s ad homonym attacks, and can stay with the campaign until we are left to decide in the later races, or even the convention.  If that can happen, then the mud slinging will cover a wide path, and reflect against the left rather than the individuals.

    I know that the evil of the GOP will be the focus, but it won’t stick to four or five targets as credibly to the naive voter pool.

    Cross posted from Mollie’s comments.

    • #27
    • August 16, 2011 at 9:02 am
  28. Profile photo of Mel Foil Inactive

    I certainly wouldn’t want to be on the other side, and have to debate Ryan on economics. Obama will be throwing up in the green room beforehand, I’m sure.

    • #28
    • August 16, 2011 at 9:06 am
  29. Profile photo of Illiniguy Member
    The King Prawn: Let me be the first to say that Paul Ryan has no executive experience and that even his budget continues to grow the debt for a considerable amount of time.

    You have to assume (hope) that a person with Ryan’s lack of ego will understand this and will surround himself with a much more competent core of advisors who would get him up to speed. With him in the Oval Office and a more amenable Congress, we should be able to accelerate the turnaround.

    • #29
    • August 16, 2011 at 9:13 am
  30. Profile photo of Stuart Creque Member

    Well, butter my bottom and call me a biscuit!

    I sure hope he runs.  It would offer a fantastic four-way debate between Romney, Perry, Bachmann and him.  Ryan might well come through that with the nomination.

    I’d be fascinated to see how it plays into Palin’s calculus as well.

    • #30
    • August 16, 2011 at 9:15 am
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